Part of: UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $99,654.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp fight cluster

Three wallets, including two highly profitable sharp bettors, bought Juan Diaz before a major move to 100%.

  • Two bettors in this cluster win 93%+ of their resolved bets and are up a combined $605K lifetime.
  • The lead wallet bought Juan Diaz at 43¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
  • This was coordinated one-way flow, with 3 wallets putting $7.2K on the same fighter.

$7,191 on Juan Diaz

Elite MMA sharp buying underdog

Elite profitable UFC bettor sold Juan Diaz, equivalent to buying Malcolm Wellmaker, with a strong long-term record and supporting one-sided flow despite the market currently moving against the position.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved positions and is up $1.53M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with 591 events tracked and $3.15M in volume.
  • Five wallets are leaning the same way on Malcolm Wellmaker, totaling $19.6K.

$2,693 on Malcolm Wellmaker | Wallet win rate: 88%

Proven UFC sharp with cluster

Sharp profitable UFC bettor with a 78% resolved win rate bought Malcolm Wellmaker, alongside one-sided cluster flow and a pre-fight volume spike, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $464K lifetime.
  • Five wallets bought Malcolm Wellmaker in the same direction, totaling $19.6K.
  • The entry was 68¢ during a price spike, but the market has since pulled back to 44¢.

$6,290 on Malcolm Wellmaker | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable bettor joins cluster

A profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Malcolm Wellmaker alongside a 5-wallet one-sided cluster and a sharp pre-fight volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $467k lifetime across 2,350 resolved markets.
  • Five wallets bought Malcolm Wellmaker in the same window for $19.6k total.
  • The market saw a 38x pre-fight volume spike and a fast 12.5-point move upward.

$2,735 on Malcolm Wellmaker | Wallet win rate: 55%

Sharp UFC cluster

High-conviction UFC flow with 8 wallets buying Malcolm Wellmaker, including multiple profitable serial bettors and an 86% winner up $1.5M lifetime.

  • Eight wallets put $72.9k on Malcolm Wellmaker in the same direction.
  • One bettor wins 86% of resolved positions and is up $1.5M lifetime.
  • The buying came with a 55x volume spike and pushed Wellmaker up 12.5% in about 3 minutes.

$72,862 on Malcolm Wellmaker

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial sports trader with a massive lifetime P&L is buying Juan Diaz amid a large pre-fight volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 1,001 resolved bets and is up $10.7M lifetime.
  • They have traded 63 markets across 51 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
  • Juan Diaz at 32¢ is a contrarian underdog entry while pre-fight volume is surging.

$1,593 on Juan Diaz | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable serial UFC bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large lifetime edge is buying Juan Diaz as a UFC underdog at 32¢.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 1,001 resolved bets and is up $10.7M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 50 events with $1.47M in tracked positioning.
  • Entry at 32¢ backs Juan Diaz as an underdog despite the market currently pricing him around 34¢.

$1,357 on Juan Diaz | Wallet win rate: 70%

Sharp UFC bettor buying favorite

Sharp profitable UFC bettor with an 86% record is making a nearly $5k buy on Malcolm Wellmaker in a relatively quiet market.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $89k lifetime.
  • They put nearly $5k on Malcolm Wellmaker at 69¢, a large bet relative to recent market activity.
  • Entry at 69¢ suggests they see the favorite as still underpriced despite already trading around 70%.

$4,933 on Malcolm Wellmaker | Wallet win rate: 77%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4bff...fc26 Outcome 82236499, $650,600 (93% win rate)
  2. 0x4b1f...49e6 Outcome 82236499, $26,428 (79% win rate)
  3. 0x3c3f...75cf Outcome 82236499, $9,368 (82% win rate)
  4. 0xd353...f6ac Outcome 82236499, $4,000 (61% win rate)
  5. 0x20a8...f004 Outcome 82236499, $4,000 (80% win rate)
  6. 0xd27c...c081 Outcome 82236499, $3,741 (80% win rate)
  7. 0x6a32...0086 Outcome 82236499, $3,500 (83% win rate)
  8. 0x994b...c047 Outcome 82236499, $2,912 (60% win rate)
  9. 0x360b...982f Outcome 82236499, $2,500 (50% win rate)
  10. 0x5b1b...65d7 Outcome 82236499, $1,948 (67% win rate)

Related Theses

Thunder win, avoid 220 total

Covers 3 related markets

Thunder will beat Spurs

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)

This market will resolve to "Malcolm Wellmaker" if Malcolm Wellmaker is officially declared the winner of the fight against Juan Diaz at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Juan Diaz" if Juan Diaz is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)

64d ago

$7,191 on Juan Diaz at 54¢

UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)

64d ago

$2,693 on Malcolm Wellmaker at 69¢

UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)

64d ago

$6,290 on Malcolm Wellmaker at 68¢

UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)

64d ago

$2,735 on Malcolm Wellmaker at 59¢

UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)

64d ago

$72,862 on Malcolm Wellmaker at 68¢

UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)

64d ago

$1,593 on Juan Diaz at 32¢

UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)

64d ago

$1,357 on Juan Diaz at 32¢

UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)

68d ago

$4,933 on Malcolm Wellmaker at 69¢

Related Theses