Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

29 smart money signals detected, totaling $150,953.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

5-wallet funded cluster

A profitable high-volume sports/esports trader from a 5-wallet funded cluster bought Aurora before a fast 15-point move, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than routine flow.

  • This wallet has a solid record: 66% wins across 386 resolved bets and $139k profit.
  • Five wallets linked to the same funder have put $6.4k into this setup, which points to shared conviction.
  • They bought Aurora at 89¢ before the price jumped to 94¢ in about 4 minutes.

$1,447 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 64%

Funded cluster backing Aurora

A profitable high-volume serial cross-market bettor from a known 5-wallet funded cluster bought Aurora before a sharp 40-point move, suggesting coordinated conviction despite this being a liquid esports market.

  • This wallet has a long record: 253 wins in 386 resolved bets and about $139k profit.
  • Five wallets tied to the same funder have shown up on prior runs, and this group put nearly $5k behind Aurora here.
  • The buy went in at 84¢ and the market is now 90¢ after a sharp move, showing the trader got ahead of the jump.

$4,976 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 64%

80% win-rate esports bettor

A proven 80% win-rate bettor with broad cross-market success bought Aurora after a sharp move in a heavily traded match market, making this a followable momentum-style entry despite the high price.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades across 177 bets and is up about $35,000
  • They have traded 41 related markets across 31 events, which suggests repeatable event-driven skill rather than a one-off punt
  • Aurora already moved up 40 points and this wallet still bought at 90¢, showing conviction even after the breakout

$1,436 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 75%

91% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 91% win rate bought Aurora before a sharp 40-point move, suggesting strong signal value despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $47k on $157k invested
  • They bought Aurora at 80¢ before the price jumped to 90¢, catching a 40-point move
  • The market saw an 11.4x volume spike, showing broader money rushed in behind the same side

$2,317 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 91%

Repeat new-wallet whale

A 3-day-old wallet has already made 15 large flagged bets and just bought Aurora before a sharp 33-point move, suggesting aggressive early conviction worth monitoring despite the limited resolved history.

  • This 3-day-old wallet has already triggered 15 large-bet alerts, showing unusually aggressive activity for a brand-new account
  • They bought Aurora at 68¢ before the market moved up to 72%, and the alert caught a 33-point price jump
  • The bet is meaningful versus the market's $12.9k liquidity, so this size likely reflects real conviction rather than routine flow

$1,486 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 92%

91% win-rate bettor

A very high-performing sports trader with a 91% win rate and nearly $2.0M profit bought Aurora after a major market move, making this worth watching despite the bet being modest relative to market volume.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime
  • They trade heavily across 215 related markets, which suggests repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • Aurora had already surged 33 points, and this wallet still paid 79¢, showing conviction even after the move

$1,609 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 92%

5-wallet sharp cluster

Five linked wallets put about $21.9k behind Aurora in a coordinated esports bet, including two very strong historical performers, creating a clear cluster signal worth watching despite the market later mean-reverting to 50/50.

  • Five linked wallets bet the same side with about $21.9k total, a strong coordinated conviction signal.
  • Two wallets in the cluster have standout records, including one bettor winning 91% of 857 resolved markets and up nearly $2.0M.
  • They bought Aurora as high as 72-79¢ before the market snapped back to 50¢, giving a much better follow price than the original entries.

$21,875 on Aurora

5-wallet esports cluster

A proven profitable esports trader in a 5-wallet funded cluster sold Aurora heavily alongside coordinated PARIVISION buying, helping drive a 29-point price move.

  • This wallet has a long track record: 253 wins in 386 resolved bets and about $139k profit
  • Five linked wallets funded by the same source put about $13.4k on PARIVISION, a strong one-sided signal
  • The move helped push Aurora down 29 points, so the cluster was early on a major repricing

$2,597 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 64%

5-wallet PARIVISION push

A high-volume serial sports trader with a 71% win rate joined a 5-wallet one-sided push into PARIVISION during a sharp pre-match volume and price surge, making this coordinated flow worth tracking despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor has a 71% win rate across 11,058 resolved markets and nearly $59k in profit
  • Five wallets piled into PARIVISION for $13.4k total as the price jumped 23 points
  • The trader paid 58¢, while PARIVISION is now back at 50¢, offering a better follow price

$1,965 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 70%

6-wallet Aurora pile-in

A very new wallet with repeated sizable betting activity joined a 6-wallet one-sided push into Aurora before the market moved from 64¢ to 74¢, making this coordinated esports flow worth watching despite the small sample on wallet history.

  • 6 wallets all bought Aurora, totaling $28.7k in one direction
  • This 2-day-old wallet has already been flagged 8 times and has put nearly $9.4k to work
  • They bought at 64¢ and the market is now 74¢, so the move already went their way

$1,385 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 69926219, $19,915 (97% win rate)
  2. 0x9eca...5a59 Outcome 69926219, $19,511 (91% win rate)
  3. 0xea2b...1fc6 Outcome 69926219, $9,246 (65% win rate)
  4. 0x70c1...dba0 Outcome 69926219, $8,673 (92% win rate)
  5. 0x733b...7260 Outcome 69926219, $8,072 (88% win rate)
  6. 0xbff7...92fb Outcome 69926219, $6,634 (80% win rate)
  7. 0x8479...40df Outcome 69926219, $4,999 (97% win rate)
  8. 0xf3ce...a57a Outcome 69926219, $4,663 (94% win rate)
  9. 0x60c3...5947 Outcome 69926219, $4,580 (100% win rate)
  10. 0xfa88...85a5 Outcome 69926219, $4,523 (74% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

ResolvedDota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$150,953 tracked29 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Aurora and PARIVISION in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 20 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against PARIVISION. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$1,447 on Aurora at 89¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$4,976 on Aurora at 84¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$1,436 on Aurora at 90¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$2,317 on Aurora at 80¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$1,486 on Aurora at 68¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$1,609 on Aurora at 79¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$21,875 on Aurora at 62¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$2,597 on PARIVISION at 25¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$1,965 on PARIVISION at 58¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$1,385 on Aurora at 64¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$1,160 on Aurora at 59¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$3,315 on Aurora at 72¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$21,196 on PARIVISION at 39¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$1,155 on PARIVISION at 23¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$2,113 on PARIVISION at 43¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$14,646 on PARIVISION at 54¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$1,005 on Aurora at 51¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$3,350 on Aurora at 46¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$2,242 on Aurora at 57¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$5,325 on PARIVISION at 54¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$2,518 on PARIVISION at 54¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$24,909 on Aurora at 63¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$9,893 on PARIVISION at 64¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$1,089 on Aurora at 37¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$1,274 on Aurora at 36¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$1,245 on PARIVISION at 65¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$4,619 on PARIVISION at 50¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$1,549 on PARIVISION at 69¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

38d ago

$7,257 on Aurora at 35¢

Related Theses