Part of: Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 12 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $163,933.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Sharp NBA spread bettor

Sharp sports bettor with an 88% record and strong profit is buying Timberwolves against the spread amid elevated pre-game volume.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $90.6K lifetime.
  • Their past wins came around 53¢ on average, close to this 48¢ entry.
  • The market is highly active pre-game, with volume running 15x above its historical average.

$1,675 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 88%

New 8-0 sports bettor

New 17-day wallet has repeatedly made large bets and is already 8-0 with $7.1k profit, now buying Timberwolves spread at 48¢.

  • This new bettor is 8-0 on resolved trades and up $7.1k from $16.5k invested.
  • The wallet has been flagged 6 times already, with $9.6k in notable bets across 8 positions.
  • They are buying Timberwolves at 48¢ in a very liquid market, so the edge is the bettor’s early track record rather than market thinness.

$1,872 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable new whale flips sides

A 4-day-old wallet with $206k early profit and repeated large flagged bets is buying $24.9k of Spurs -9.5 at 52¢ after closing the opposite side.

  • This 4-day-old bettor is already up $206k across $532k invested.
  • They have been flagged 5 times for large bets, totaling $265k in notable flow.
  • After closing a Timberwolves position, they bought $24.9k of Spurs at 52¢.

$24,853 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable new whale active

A 4-day-old wallet with $208k early profit and repeated large flagged bets is making $131k of NBA spread trades during a huge pre-event volume spike, though the mixed direction suggests active positioning rather than a clean one-way thesis.

  • This 4-day-old bettor is already up $208k and has had five large-bet alerts totaling $265k.
  • They traded $131k on this NBA spread while market volume spiked over 10,000x versus its historical average.
  • The latest effective position points to Spurs around 52¢, with a tight 1¢ spread and heavy same-day liquidity.

$130,815 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 100%

88% sharp sports bettor

Sharp sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $725k lifetime profit is buying Timberwolves +9.5 at 48¢, with a long history of profitable cross-market sports positioning.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved positions and is up $725k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 115 events with $1.44M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Buying Timberwolves at 48¢ implies they think the +9.5 spread is mispriced despite a liquid market.

$3,717 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor bought Timberwolves +9.5 at 48¢, despite the trade size being modest in a liquid market.

  • This bettor is up $1.22M lifetime across more than 2,000 resolved trades.
  • They have traded 142 markets across 83 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports strategy.
  • Entry at 48¢ implies they see Timberwolves +9.5 as better than a coin flip.

$1,001 on Timberwolves | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5b4e...0232 Spurs, $47,794 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x1117...3532 Spurs, $35,000 (61% win rate)
  3. 0x6ac5...4b6e Timberwolves, $31,057 (44% win rate)
  4. 0x9495...9a27 Spurs, $26,449 (64% win rate)
  5. 0x4852...67c4 Timberwolves, $24,475 (88% win rate)
  6. 0x5268...135d Timberwolves, $14,461 (52% win rate)
  7. 0x86e7...613e Spurs, $8,000 (53% win rate)
  8. 0x16bb...8492 Timberwolves, $7,744 (88% win rate)
  9. 0x4df3...788f Timberwolves, $6,753 (71% win rate)
  10. 0x6323...9fee Timberwolves, $5,388 (97% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Royals beat Tigers tonight

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

ResolvedTimberwolves vs. Spurs$163,933 tracked6 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball
Spurs
52¢
Timberwolves
49¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 12 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

MIN
49-33
Frost Bank Center
SAS
62-20
Draft Kings
Spread: SA -9.5O/U: 218.5ML: +300/-380
Win Prob
Poly: 52¢
Last Play
Game hasn’t started
Price History — “Spurs
55¢
53¢
50¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

1h ago

$1,675 on Timberwolves at 48¢

48¢49¢1¢

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

1h ago

$1,872 on Timberwolves at 48¢

48¢49¢1¢

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

2h ago

$24,853 on Spurs at 52¢

52¢52¢

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

2h ago

$130,815 on Spurs at 52¢

52¢52¢

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

3h ago

$3,717 on Timberwolves at 48¢

48¢49¢1¢

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

3h ago

$1,001 on Timberwolves at 48¢

48¢49¢1¢

Related Theses

Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | PolySpotter