Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,110.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
5-wallet funded cluster
A profitable wallet from a 5-wallet linked cluster bought Xtreme Gaming after a fast 17-point price drop, suggesting coordinated conviction on a liquid esports market.
- This wallet has a real track record: 222 wins in 332 resolved bets and about $111k profit
- Five wallets funded by the same source have been flagged on this thesis, which points to coordinated conviction
- They bought Xtreme Gaming at 60¢ right after a fast 17-point drop, a level they likely saw as mispriced
$1,885 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 67%
5-wallet sharp cluster
A 5-wallet linked cluster is leaning into Natus Vincere on a liquid esports market, led by one wallet with a perfect 53-for-53 resolved record and accompanied by a sharp 17-point price move.
- A linked 5-wallet group is backing Natus Vincere, with 3 wallets already putting $3.6k on the same side.
- One wallet in the cluster is 53-for-53 on resolved bets and up $77k, which makes this flow worth tracking.
- Two wallets sold Xtreme at 62-63¢, equivalent to buying Natus at 37-38¢, below the current 40¢ price after a fast 17-point move.
$3,567 on Natus Vincere
Sharp bettor in 6-wallet cluster
A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 75% win rate joined a 6-wallet one-sided move into Xtreme Gaming ahead of a pre-match volume spike, making this coordinated esports buy worth surfacing.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $254k across 776 bets
- Six wallets all bought Xtreme Gaming, putting $7.4k on the same side
- They entered at 54¢ before the price moved to 56¢ during a 29.6x pre-match volume spike
$1,109 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 75%
6-wallet esports pile-in
Six wallets piled into Xtreme Gaming during a sharp pre-match volume surge, led by a highly active cross-market bettor with a large profitable history buying below the current price.
- Six wallets all bought Xtreme Gaming, putting $7.4k on one side of this market
- One of the bettors has 1,329 resolved trades and is up $66k lifetime
- They bought at 53¢ and the market is already at 56¢ after a 29.6x volume spike
$1,045 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 60%
90% win-rate bettor buying
A proven sharp bettor with a 90% win rate joined a 6-wallet one-sided move into Xtreme Gaming during a clear pre-match volume surge, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 90% of their trades and is up about $60.9k across 335 resolved positions.
- Six wallets all bought Xtreme Gaming in the same window, totaling $7.4k on one side.
- They entered at 55¢ while the market now sits around 56-57¢, with match volume running nearly 30x normal.
$1,074 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 90%
53-0 sharp joins cluster
A proven sharp bettor with a perfect 53-for-53 record bought Natus Vincere at 48¢ alongside same-side flow from two other wallets during a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor is 53 for 53 on resolved markets and up $77k, which makes any fresh bet worth tracking.
- Three wallets all bought Natus Vincere in the same window, adding coordinated conviction behind this side.
- They entered at 48¢ during a 100x volume spike, implying they saw value before the market drifted to 46¢.
$984 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 100%
6-wallet sharp cluster
Six coordinated wallets, including one with a 90% win rate, bought Xtreme Gaming at 52-55¢ before a sharp move to 64¢, making this a strong sports flow signal worth surfacing.
- Six wallets piled into Xtreme Gaming within minutes at 52-55¢, and the price has already jumped to 64¢.
- One of the buyers wins 90% of resolved bets, and another wins 75% with $254k in profit.
- Five wallets share the same funder, which points to coordinated conviction rather than random betting.
$7,445 on Xtreme Gaming
Top Holders
- 0xd599...bf55 — Outcome 18304051, $8,644 (70% win rate)
- 0xf8fb...0b50 — Outcome 18304051, $5,927
- 0x70c1...dba0 — Outcome 18304051, $5,000 (91% win rate)
- 0xfa88...85a5 — Outcome 18304051, $4,000 (63% win rate)
- 0xef62...cf76 — Outcome 18304051, $3,598 (53% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 18304051, $3,493 (54% win rate)
- 0x2f2a...9c0a — Outcome 18304051, $3,076 (47% win rate)
- 0x69bf...0c5d — Outcome 18304051, $2,294 (87% win rate)
- 0x9eca...5a59 — Outcome 18304051, $2,104 (100% win rate)
- 0x533e...47f4 — Outcome 18304051, $2,052 (100% win rate)
