Part of: Spain vs. Saudi Arabia

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

43 smart money signals detected, totaling $649,195.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

New wallet caught late move

A 6-hour-old wallet bought $11.4k of Spain Yes at 89¢ just before the market moved to 99¢ amid a major volume spike.

A brand-new wallet put $11.4k on Spain at 89¢ and the price quickly moved to 99¢.
Market volume spiked 120x above its usual pace, suggesting a broader rush into the same side.
The bet landed seconds before the listed end time, making the timing unusually sharp.

$11,394 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

99% serial cross-market sharp

A serial cross-market trader with a 99% resolved-bet win rate placed a $63.7k Spain Yes bet amid a 116x volume spike shortly before the scheduled match time.

This bettor has won 99% of 1,407 resolved bets across 108 events.
They placed $63.7k on Spain at 89¢ just before the scheduled match time.
Market activity spiked 116x above its historical average, supporting the move.

$63,717 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%

Linked sharp wallets buying No

High-score coordinated contrarian No flow with linked wallets and a proven 81% winner participating, despite the market now heavily favoring Spain.

Three linked wallets put $5.9k into No, part of $9.7k of same-way buying.
One wallet in the flow wins 81% of its bets across 278 resolved positions and is profitable.
Entry around 9–10¢ is a contrarian bet against a market now pricing Spain near 99%.

$9,742 on No

Sharp sports bettor buying favorite

A profitable 85% sports bettor is buying Spain Yes at 89¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike, making this worth surfacing despite the market being highly liquid.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $15K lifetime.
They bought Spain at 89¢, showing confidence even at heavy-favorite odds.
Market volume is running 72x above its historical average ahead of the game.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

92% winner backing favorite

Surface due to sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 92% resolved win record with positive P&L and is backing Spain despite a highly liquid favorite market.

This bettor has won 35 of 38 resolved bets and is slightly profitable overall.
Their past wins beat market odds by about 19 percentage points, suggesting real selection edge.
Buying at 89¢ is a high-confidence favorite bet with limited upside but a strong track-record signal.

$4,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

83% winner backs favorite

Sharp-wallet override: despite only a weak new-wallet signal, this bettor has an 83% record across 36 resolved bets and is adding $5,000 on Spain Yes.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved bets and is up about $1.7k lifetime.
They put $5,000 on Spain at 89¢ in a very liquid market.
The bet is on a heavy favorite, so the edge is mostly the wallet’s track record rather than market mispricing.

$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

89% win-rate sharp

Proven sharp wallet with 89% win rate and +$169k P&L is buying Spain Yes despite the market being highly liquid.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $169k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 157 events with over $1.0M staked.
The bet is on a heavy favorite at 89¢, so the edge is likely small but backed by a strong track record.

$1,210 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

Sharp sports bettor buying favorite

Sharp wallet with a 78% record and strong edge is buying Spain despite the market already being highly liquid and priced at 89%.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $2,000 lifetime.
Their past wins came at much lower average odds, suggesting they have beaten market prices before.
Spain is already priced at 89%, so this is a lower-upside copy but backed by a proven wallet.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable serial sports trader

A very high-volume profitable sports trader bought Spain Yes ahead of kickoff while the market is seeing a 40x pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has a massive track record: 46,400 resolved bets, a 69% win rate, and $429K lifetime profit.
They trade across hundreds of sports events, with $4.8M flagged in similar cross-market activity.
Market volume is running 40x above its historical average before the match.

$2,272 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%

83% winner backs favorite

Sharp-wallet override: a profitable bettor with an 83% record bought Spain Yes despite the market already pricing Spain around 90%.

This bettor has won 83% of resolved trades and is up $7.5k lifetime.
They bought Spain at 90¢, showing confidence even at heavy-favorite odds.
The market is very liquid, so this is more about following the bettor’s track record than order-book impact.

$1,468 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 38686085, $937,946
0xe426...2222 — Outcome 38686085, $471,482
0x37e4...c991 — Outcome 38686085, $160,035 (77% win rate)
0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 38686085, $137,874 (65% win rate)
0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 38686085, $121,341 (81% win rate)
0x0a63...fc03 — Outcome 38686085, $93,071 (81% win rate)
0x0914...9c93 — Outcome 38686085, $79,596 (23% win rate)
0x6c8c...6b71 — Outcome 38686085, $70,000 (100% win rate)
0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 38686085, $62,262 (59% win rate)
0xe558...dcd2 — Outcome 38686085, $41,329 (71% win rate)

Related Theses

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Heroic sweeps Gaimin Gladiators

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Bilibili Gaming dominates Anyone's Legend

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Brazil-Japan match will happen

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Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

ResolvedSpain vs. Saudi Arabia$649,195 tracked43 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 21, 2026 If Spain wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.