Part of: FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $248,768.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Ligue 1
Notable Trades
94% winner, mixed side
A highly profitable 94% winner is active here, but the same-wallet opposite-side trades make the directional signal less clean.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $276K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 56 events with a 94% hit rate.
- The latest trade was a Yes buy at 84¢, though an opposite No buy one minute earlier makes this less straightforward.
$4,284 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable wallets moving together
Four wallets, including two strongly profitable bettors, bought Toulouse Yes together into a fast-rising soccer market.
- Four wallets bought the same side within minutes, totaling $8.1k on Yes.
- Two of the buyers win 71% of resolved bets and are up about $60k–$75k lifetime.
- The market has already moved up 43% this week, so this looks like coordinated momentum rather than a random large bet.
$8,063 on Yes
17-wallet funded cluster
A large 17-wallet funded cluster is taking the No side against a heavily rallied Toulouse market, despite this individual wallet having a weak history.
- 17 linked wallets share the same funder and have put about $4.7K into this setup.
- This trade bought No at 29¢ after Yes had rallied 31.5% over the week.
- The position is meaningful versus the order book, at about one-third of listed liquidity.
$2,657 on No | Wallet win rate: 49%
Elite bettor fading favorite
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 79% long-run win record and extensive cross-market history is fading Toulouse by selling Yes, equivalent to buying No at 28¢.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up about $1.86M lifetime.
- They have traded across 412 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Selling Toulouse at 72¢ is equivalent to buying No at 28¢, a contrarian fade of the current favorite.
$2,962 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable serial trader
Profitable high-volume serial trader is effectively buying Toulouse Yes while the market is breaking sharply upward.
- This bettor has a long record: 1,186 resolved trades and about $785k in lifetime profit.
- They are effectively buying Toulouse to win at 83¢ as the No price breaks far below its prior range.
- The market has strong momentum, with Yes up 28 points in the past day and 48.5 points over the week.
$1,580 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
$1.2M profitable serial trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader effectively bought Toulouse Yes at 35¢ and the market has already moved sharply in that direction.
- This bettor wins 63% of resolved trades and is up about $1.2M lifetime.
- They have traded across 77 events and 104 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
- This trade was effectively a Toulouse Yes buy at 35¢, before the market moved up to about 46¢.
$5,424 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
New 8-0 sports bettor
A 3-day-old wallet with an 8-0 resolved record and $5.2k profit is buying Toulouse No during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This new bettor has won all 8 resolved trades and is up $5.2k so far.
- They bought $1.2k of No at 61¢, adding to a repeat pattern of flagged bets.
- Market volume is surging 181x above normal ahead of the match.
$1,220 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%
Last-minute profitable sports whale
Huge last-minute live-sports buy from a highly profitable wallet with 7 wins in 8 resolved bets and a $4.1M lifetime P&L.
- This bettor has won 7 of 8 resolved bets and is up $4.1M lifetime.
- They put $199k on Yes in the final minutes, including $138k just 2.8 minutes before resolution.
- Volume spiked 181x and Yes has already moved up 4 points today.
$199,086 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Profitable repeat bettor
Despite a weak detector score, the wallet has unusually strong early results and is adding a Yes position on a liquid sports market.
- This wallet is up $4.1M lifetime and has won 7 of 8 resolved bets.
- It has been flagged 171 times before, suggesting repeat large-position activity rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 39¢ follows a 7.5-point weekly move toward Yes.
$2,712 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Profitable whale flips Yes
Surface cautiously: despite weak composite signals and mixed early trades, this is a highly profitable repeat-flagged wallet that net flipped toward Yes ahead of kickoff amid a large volume spike.
- This bettor is up about $4.1M lifetime and has won 7 of 8 resolved bets.
- They first bought No, then quickly bought more Yes, leaving their latest and larger exposure on Yes around 39¢.
- Market volume spiked about 70x ahead of the match, with Toulouse odds already up 3 points today.
$7,789 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 64091481, $152,980
- 0x3c59...1766 — Outcome 76794666, $22,221 (72% win rate)
- 0x040d...1a5e — Outcome 76794666, $4,584 (72% win rate)
- 0xfb13...5946 — Outcome 76794666, $2,100 (94% win rate)
- 0x4956...e2c7 — Outcome 76794666, $2,000 (72% win rate)
- 0x7e43...afab — Outcome 76794666, $1,920
- 0xd75a...fdec — Outcome 76794666, $1,229 (45% win rate)
- 0x5444...7f39 — Outcome 76794666, $1,000
- 0x7fea...8f74 — Outcome 76794666, $857 (57% win rate)
- 0x1a59...a57e — Outcome 76794666, $555
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