Part of: FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 17, 2026 If Toulouse FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $248,768.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Ligue 1

Notable Trades

94% winner, mixed side

A highly profitable 94% winner is active here, but the same-wallet opposite-side trades make the directional signal less clean.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $276K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 56 events with a 94% hit rate.
  • The latest trade was a Yes buy at 84¢, though an opposite No buy one minute earlier makes this less straightforward.

$4,284 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable wallets moving together

Four wallets, including two strongly profitable bettors, bought Toulouse Yes together into a fast-rising soccer market.

  • Four wallets bought the same side within minutes, totaling $8.1k on Yes.
  • Two of the buyers win 71% of resolved bets and are up about $60k–$75k lifetime.
  • The market has already moved up 43% this week, so this looks like coordinated momentum rather than a random large bet.

$8,063 on Yes

17-wallet funded cluster

A large 17-wallet funded cluster is taking the No side against a heavily rallied Toulouse market, despite this individual wallet having a weak history.

  • 17 linked wallets share the same funder and have put about $4.7K into this setup.
  • This trade bought No at 29¢ after Yes had rallied 31.5% over the week.
  • The position is meaningful versus the order book, at about one-third of listed liquidity.

$2,657 on No | Wallet win rate: 51%

Elite bettor fading favorite

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 79% long-run win record and extensive cross-market history is fading Toulouse by selling Yes, equivalent to buying No at 28¢.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up about $1.86M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 412 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • Selling Toulouse at 72¢ is equivalent to buying No at 28¢, a contrarian fade of the current favorite.

$2,962 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable serial trader

Profitable high-volume serial trader is effectively buying Toulouse Yes while the market is breaking sharply upward.

  • This bettor has a long record: 1,186 resolved trades and about $785k in lifetime profit.
  • They are effectively buying Toulouse to win at 83¢ as the No price breaks far below its prior range.
  • The market has strong momentum, with Yes up 28 points in the past day and 48.5 points over the week.

$1,580 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%

$1.2M profitable serial trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader effectively bought Toulouse Yes at 35¢ and the market has already moved sharply in that direction.

  • This bettor wins 63% of resolved trades and is up about $1.2M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 77 events and 104 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
  • This trade was effectively a Toulouse Yes buy at 35¢, before the market moved up to about 46¢.

$5,424 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%

New 8-0 sports bettor

A 3-day-old wallet with an 8-0 resolved record and $5.2k profit is buying Toulouse No during a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This new bettor has won all 8 resolved trades and is up $5.2k so far.
  • They bought $1.2k of No at 61¢, adding to a repeat pattern of flagged bets.
  • Market volume is surging 181x above normal ahead of the match.

$1,220 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Last-minute profitable sports whale

Huge last-minute live-sports buy from a highly profitable wallet with 7 wins in 8 resolved bets and a $4.1M lifetime P&L.

  • This bettor has won 7 of 8 resolved bets and is up $4.1M lifetime.
  • They put $199k on Yes in the final minutes, including $138k just 2.8 minutes before resolution.
  • Volume spiked 181x and Yes has already moved up 4 points today.

$199,086 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable repeat bettor

Despite a weak detector score, the wallet has unusually strong early results and is adding a Yes position on a liquid sports market.

  • This wallet is up $4.1M lifetime and has won 7 of 8 resolved bets.
  • It has been flagged 171 times before, suggesting repeat large-position activity rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 39¢ follows a 7.5-point weekly move toward Yes.

$2,712 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable whale flips Yes

Surface cautiously: despite weak composite signals and mixed early trades, this is a highly profitable repeat-flagged wallet that net flipped toward Yes ahead of kickoff amid a large volume spike.

  • This bettor is up about $4.1M lifetime and has won 7 of 8 resolved bets.
  • They first bought No, then quickly bought more Yes, leaving their latest and larger exposure on Yes around 39¢.
  • Market volume spiked about 70x ahead of the match, with Toulouse odds already up 3 points today.

$7,789 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0xbee5...a636 Yes, $499,219 (82% win rate)
  2. 0xfea3...d227 No, $165,275 (58% win rate)
  3. 0x9495...9a27 No, $143,190 (64% win rate)
  4. 0x507e...beae No, $85,225 (50% win rate)
  5. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $65,030
  6. 0x3c59...1766 Yes, $22,221 (72% win rate)
  7. 0x4956...e2c7 No, $17,383 (70% win rate)
  8. 0xf68a...5b1b No, $16,000 (51% win rate)
  9. 0xc3ac...b964 No, $12,563 (69% win rate)
  10. 0xad89...f6e1 Yes, $12,138 (68% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Wolfsburg fail to win

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?

ResolvedFC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC$248,768 tracked12 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLigue 1
Yes
84¢
No
16¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 17, 2026 If Toulouse FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Yes
88¢
71¢
54¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?

14h ago

$4,284 on Yes at 84¢

84¢84¢

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?

1d ago

$8,063 on Yes at 78¢

78¢84¢6¢

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?

3d ago

$2,657 on No at 29¢

29¢16¢13¢

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?

5d ago

$2,962 on No at 28¢

28¢16¢12¢

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?

7d ago

$1,580 on Yes at 83¢

83¢84¢1¢

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?

8d ago

$5,424 on Yes at 35¢

35¢84¢49¢

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?

8d ago

$1,220 on No at 61¢

61¢16¢45¢

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?

8d ago

$199,086 on Yes at 41¢

41¢84¢43¢

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?

8d ago

$2,712 on Yes at 39¢

39¢84¢45¢

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?

8d ago

$7,789 on Yes at 39¢

39¢84¢45¢

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?

8d ago

$5,077 on No at 63¢

63¢16¢47¢

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?

8d ago

$7,915 on No at 63¢

63¢16¢47¢

Related Theses