Part of: France vs. Senegal - More Markets

Spread: France (-1.5)

16 smart money signals detected, totaling $269,440.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought France -1.5 at 37¢ before a massive move to 96¢, alongside a 25.7x volume spike and 54-point price impact.

  • This bettor is up $67.7k across 141 resolved bets and has traded 41 markets across 26 events.
  • They bought France -1.5 at 37¢ before the market jumped to 96¢.
  • The market saw a 25.7x volume spike and a 54-point price move in France’s favor.

$5,000 on France | Wallet win rate: 58%

Profitable wallets fade Senegal

Five wallets, including two profitable high-volume traders, collectively exited Senegal, which is equivalent to leaning France against the spread, though much of the flow appears to be position-closing rather than fresh exposure.

  • Two high-volume wallets in this group are profitable, up about $275K and $82K lifetime.
  • Five wallets moved the same way, selling Senegal for $8.9K total, equivalent to buying France near 32¢ on average.
  • The move came as Senegal’s price fell sharply, suggesting coordinated conviction away from Senegal covering.

$8,877 on France

Profitable bettor exits favorite

A profitable 75% winner is exiting a France spread position after a major odds drop, which is a weaker but still notable bearish signal on France.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $4.6K lifetime.
  • They sold France at 19¢ after holding a much larger position, signaling they no longer want exposure to France -1.5.
  • The market has moved sharply against France, down about 20 points in the last day.

$1,881 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 81%

96% winner joins France cluster

Elite 96% winner with $2.0M profit bought $40k of France -1.5 alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $2.0M lifetime.
  • They bought $40k of France at 39¢, implying a roughly 2.6x payout if France win by 2+ goals.
  • Six wallets are all buying France, with $123k total flowing the same way.

$40,245 on France | Wallet win rate: 96%

Profitable sharp backs underdog spread

A highly profitable 76% win-rate sports bettor is buying Senegal, alongside heavy same-direction flow and a large pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.86M lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought the same Senegal side for about $96.8K total.
  • Market volume spiked 53x before the match, matching the one-sided Senegal flow.

$2,625 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 76%

4-wallet Senegal pregame steam

High composite alert driven by coordinated one-sided pregame Senegal buying and a major volume spike, though the specific wallet has a weak short track record.

  • Four wallets bought Senegal the same way, totaling about $96.8K in coordinated flow.
  • This 8-day-old wallet has now placed $156K in flagged large bets, including $19.1K here.
  • Market volume spiked 52.8x before kickoff, suggesting strong pregame positioning.

$19,112 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 33%

Million-profit bettor cluster

Surface because a highly profitable sports wallet and several other wallets bought Senegal together during a major pre-game volume spike, though there is also heavy opposing flow on France.

  • A bettor up $1.86M lifetime joined the Senegal side, with a 76% record across 3,576 resolved trades.
  • Six wallets bought $27.9K of Senegal around 61¢ within minutes.
  • The spread market is seeing a 64x pre-game volume spike, showing heavy sharp activity before kickoff.

$27,886 on Senegal

93% win-rate sports sharp

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought France -1.5 at 41¢.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $49k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 78 events with a strong 93% hit rate.
  • Entry at 41¢ implies a roughly 2.4x payout if France win by 2+ goals.

$3,406 on France | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable new repeat bettor

A 5-day-old repeat bettor with early profits is buying Senegal against the France -1.5 spread after $38k of recent flagged activity.

  • This new wallet is already up $13.9k after just 5 days of activity.
  • It has won all 6 resolved bets so far, with $38.4k in recent flagged trades.
  • The bettor is backing Senegal at 60¢ in a very liquid World Cup spread market.

$2,000 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 100%

6-day repeat whale

A 6-day-old repeat large bettor with 11 prior flagged bets and an early 6-1 resolved record is buying Senegal against the France -1.5 spread before a volume spike.

  • This 6-day-old wallet has already triggered 11 large-bet alerts totaling about $218k.
  • It has won 6 of its first 7 resolved bets, suggesting the early sports flow is worth tracking.
  • The bettor bought Senegal at 59¢, taking the side that France fails to win by 2+ goals.

$6,994 on Senegal | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd1c5...cbd0 Outcome 10823716, $521,578 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x89dd...f662 Outcome 10823716, $228,701 (100% win rate)
  3. 0xd0ad...f568 Outcome 10823716, $200,000 (33% win rate)
  4. 0x8372...5223 Outcome 10823716, $125,000 (76% win rate)
  5. 0x3dfb...abaf Outcome 10823716, $120,000 (50% win rate)
  6. 0x7c1e...bab3 Outcome 10823716, $99,999 (90% win rate)
  7. 0xa8e0...ad50 Outcome 10823716, $51,559 (58% win rate)
  8. 0x7a88...41cc Outcome 10823716, $45,000 (63% win rate)
  9. 0xcb58...43c2 Outcome 10823716, $40,000 (100% win rate)
  10. 0x1117...3532 Outcome 10823716, $36,424 (66% win rate)

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France Spain or England wins

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Covers 7 related markets

Spread: France (-1.5)

ResolvedFrance vs. Senegal - More Markets$269,440 tracked16 signalsSportsFIFA World CupGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 16 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Senegal". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spread: France (-1.5)

1d ago

$5,000 on France at 37¢

Spread: France (-1.5)

1d ago

$8,877 on France at 32¢

Spread: France (-1.5)

1d ago

$1,881 on Senegal at 81¢

Spread: France (-1.5)

1d ago

$40,245 on France at 39¢

Spread: France (-1.5)

1d ago

$2,625 on Senegal at 61¢

Spread: France (-1.5)

1d ago

$19,112 on Senegal at 61¢

Spread: France (-1.5)

1d ago

$27,886 on Senegal at 61¢

Spread: France (-1.5)

1d ago

$3,406 on France at 41¢

Spread: France (-1.5)

1d ago

$2,000 on Senegal at 60¢

Spread: France (-1.5)

1d ago

$6,994 on Senegal at 59¢

Spread: France (-1.5)

1d ago

$19,956 on France at 40¢

Spread: France (-1.5)

1d ago

$2,870 on France at 41¢

Spread: France (-1.5)

2d ago

$53,129 on France at 39¢

Spread: France (-1.5)

2d ago

$4,000 on France at 39¢

Spread: France (-1.5)

2d ago

$10,730 on Senegal at 61¢

Spread: France (-1.5)

2d ago

$60,730 on Senegal at 61¢

Related Theses