Part of: Canadiens vs. Lightning

Canadiens vs. Lightning

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $111,058.

Categories: Sports, NHL, Games, Hockey

Notable Trades

Sharp-led Lightning cluster

Three wallets pushed into Lightning with $13.5k of one-sided flow, including a 12-0 profitable bettor and a rapid 18.5-point move against Canadiens.

  • A bettor with a 12-0 record and $16.5k profit is buying Lightning at 60¢.
  • Three wallets put $13.5k on the same side, enough to move Canadiens down 18.5 points in minutes.
  • Two traders are exiting Canadiens positions, suggesting a clear shift toward Lightning before the game.

$13,519 on Lightning

85% winner backs favorite

A highly profitable 85% win-rate wallet with massive cross-market sports history bought $7.9k of the favorite amid a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.2M lifetime.
  • They put $7.9k on this side at 61¢, showing fresh conviction before game time.
  • Market volume is running 22x above normal and the price is up 19 points today.

$7,930 on Canadiens | Wallet win rate: 86%

5-day wallet, 7-0 record

New 5-day wallet with repeated large-bet flags, a 7-0 resolved record, and $42k profit is taking Lightning at 40¢ despite a liquid NHL market.

  • This new wallet is 7-for-7 on resolved bets and is already up $42,009.
  • It has been flagged 19 times for large bets, with $81,597 total previously detected.
  • Buying Lightning at 40¢ is a contrarian entry after Canadiens moved up 20 points in the last day.

$2,000 on Lightning | Wallet win rate: 100%

98% sports sharp buying underdog

Proven high-edge sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and $5.8M profit is buying Lightning at 39¢ after a major move against them.

  • This bettor has won 384 of 390 resolved positions and is up $5.8M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 39 events with the same 98% hit rate.
  • Entry at 39¢ goes against a 20-point move, implying they see value in the underdog.

$4,800 on Lightning | Wallet win rate: 99%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial sports trader bought Canadiens at 42¢ before a sharp move to 62¢, with volume spiking into the game.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 307 resolved markets and is up about $308K lifetime.
  • They bought Canadiens at 42¢ before the market moved to 62¢, showing strong timing.
  • Market volume spiked 24.8x versus normal as odds moved sharply toward Canadiens.

$2,100 on Canadiens | Wallet win rate: 67%

98% winner buying Lightning dip

Surface: a highly profitable 98% sports bettor and another profitable new wallet are both buying Lightning after a sharp price drop, creating coordinated contrarian flow.

  • A bettor with a 98% record and $5.8M profit bought Lightning at 39¢.
  • A newer wallet up $42k also joined at 40¢, making it 3 wallets and $15.3k on the same side.
  • Lightning has fallen about 21 points today, so this is a sharp contrarian buy near 38–40¢.

$15,300 on Lightning

Last-minute Canadiens cluster

Coordinated late money is buying Canadiens minutes before resolution despite the lead wallet having a weak historical record.

  • Three wallets bought Canadiens in the same direction for $18.4K total.
  • This wallet put $10K on Canadiens at 41–42¢ just minutes before scheduled resolution.
  • Market activity spiked 34.6x versus its normal pace, suggesting late momentum.

$10,000 on Canadiens | Wallet win rate: 55%

Linked wallets backing favorite

Coordinated Lightning buying from 3 wallets, including linked accounts, is reinforced by a high-volume profitable serial sports trader shortly before game time.

  • Three wallets bought Lightning the same way, totaling $8.7K, with two wallets sharing a funder.
  • This bettor has a long track record: 6,073 resolved bets and about $79.6K in profit.
  • The buy came around 60¢ shortly before puck drop, implying confidence in the favorite despite a liquid market.

$3,481 on Lightning | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable bettor in linked Lightning flow

Moderately interesting because a highly profitable repeat bettor joined a small linked-wallet Lightning cluster, though the bet is modest relative to this very liquid NHL market.

  • This repeat bettor is up about $2.1M across 179 resolved bets.
  • Three wallets bought Lightning in the same window, with two of them sharing a funder.
  • Entry at 59¢ is slightly better than the current 60% market odds.

$3,481 on Lightning | Wallet win rate: 50%

Sharp cluster buying Canadiens

Strong one-sided NHL flow led by a highly profitable 85% winner, with $35.6K buying Canadiens amid a 14x volume spike and major 24h price move.

  • A bettor who wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.2M helped lead this Canadiens buy.
  • Four wallets bought $35.6K of Canadiens within 14 minutes at around 61¢.
  • Market volume is 14x normal, and Canadiens have already moved up 20 points in the last day.

$35,604 on Canadiens

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 10682529, $49,477 (73% win rate)
  2. 0xe3c9...4b9c Outcome 10682529, $33,849 (86% win rate)
  3. 0x6a32...0086 Outcome 10682529, $17,999 (78% win rate)
  4. 0xd38a...8d26 Outcome 10682529, $17,248 (79% win rate)
  5. 0x5df5...c44c Outcome 10682529, $15,463
  6. 0x84cb...28ad Outcome 10682529, $12,308 (99% win rate)
  7. 0x21f3...35e3 Outcome 10682529, $10,593 (74% win rate)
  8. 0x8a6c...0b3f Outcome 10682529, $9,833 (49% win rate)
  9. 0xc49f...9e05 Outcome 10682529, $9,000 (96% win rate)
  10. 0xa0f2...1848 Outcome 37673945, $6,590 (38% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Canadiens vs. Lightning

ResolvedCanadiens vs. Lightning$111,058 tracked12 signalsSportsNHLGamesHockey

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 3 at 6:00PM ET: If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

MTL
2
48-24-10
Final
TB
1
50-26-6
MTL +136TB -162O/U 5.5
Arena
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Attendance
19,092

Notable Trades

Canadiens vs. Lightning

8d ago

$13,519 on Lightning at 60¢

Canadiens vs. Lightning

8d ago

$7,930 on Canadiens at 61¢

Canadiens vs. Lightning

8d ago

$2,000 on Lightning at 40¢

Canadiens vs. Lightning

8d ago

$4,800 on Lightning at 39¢

Canadiens vs. Lightning

8d ago

$2,100 on Canadiens at 42¢

Canadiens vs. Lightning

8d ago

$15,300 on Lightning at 39¢

Canadiens vs. Lightning

8d ago

$10,000 on Canadiens at 42¢

Canadiens vs. Lightning

8d ago

$3,481 on Lightning at 60¢

Canadiens vs. Lightning

8d ago

$3,481 on Lightning at 59¢

Canadiens vs. Lightning

8d ago

$35,604 on Canadiens at 61¢

Canadiens vs. Lightning

9d ago

$1,200 on Canadiens at 40¢

Canadiens vs. Lightning

10d ago

$11,644 on Lightning at 58¢

Related Theses