Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 semifinal between Spirit and Team Falcons at the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs. Spirit wins the market if they finish at least 2 maps ahead on the handicap; otherwise Team Falcons +1.5 resolves as the winner. The market is scheduled to resolve by June 20, 2026, with $22,125 in smart money tracked and recent signals showing underdog buying activity.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Spirit and Team Falcons in the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 20 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins 2 or more maps than Team Falcons in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team Falcons". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,420.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
738-bet winner joins cluster
Strong one-sided Team Falcons buying backed by a profitable high-volume bettor, coordinated cluster flow, and a 121x pre-event volume spike.
- One bettor has won 71% of 738 resolved bets and is up $112K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought Team Falcons the same way for $22.6K total before the match.
- Market volume spiked 121x above normal, suggesting fresh conviction around this side.
$22,638 on Team Falcons
85% winner buying underdog
Sharp esports bettor with an 85% record and strong positive P&L is buying Spirit + map handicap at 35¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $11.9K lifetime.
- They have beaten market odds by about 30 percentage points across 59 resolved positions.
- Entry at 35¢ implies a nearly 3x payout if Spirit covers the handicap.
$1,782 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0xa16a...33a1 — Team Falcons, $32,276 (99% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — Spirit, $30,000 (61% win rate)
- 0x92ee...90e6 — Team Falcons, $22,017 (71% win rate)
- 0x29b5...cc6c — Spirit, $20,078 (57% win rate)
- 0x5faf...1183 — Spirit, $20,000 (34% win rate)
- 0xdb83...1e50 — Spirit, $9,870 (68% win rate)
- 0xab3e...de25 — Team Falcons, $9,300
- 0xcd3f...8e2b — Team Falcons, $7,600 (96% win rate)
- 0x076d...8d4c — Spirit, $7,122 (64% win rate)
- 0xd055...28d0 — Team Falcons, $6,023 (71% win rate)
Related Theses
Spirit sweeps Team Falcons
Covers 3 related markets
