Part of: Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,297.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable wallets buying underdog
Four wallets, including two profitable high-volume bettors, collectively took $18.7k of Felix exposure during a major tennis market repricing.
- Four wallets put $18.7k behind Felix, mostly at 14–21¢, and the market has already moved to 38¢.
- One bettor is up $1.25M lifetime, and another is up $104k with a 61% win rate.
- This came during a huge volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction around a fast-changing match price.
$18,675 on Felix Auger-Aliassime
Profitable new wallet fading favorite
A 5-day-old wallet with $78.7k profit and repeated large flagged bets sold Felix amid a massive pre-match volume spike and major price move.
- This new bettor is already up $78.7k with 8 wins and 0 losses on resolved trades.
- The wallet has been flagged 20 times in 5 days, with $141.9k total in notable bets.
- Felix’s price collapsed from the 78–88¢ range, alongside a 3,223x volume spike.
$1,128 on Aleksandar Kovacevic | Wallet win rate: 97%
News-driven tennis repricing
Market-wide volume and price collapse suggest new information against Felix, but the individual wallet has negative lifetime P&L and appears to be closing a losing Felix position.
- Felix’s price fell sharply from the 78–88¢ range, with a 3,223x volume spike before the match.
- The trade effectively backs Kovacevic at 86¢ after a major market repricing.
- Caution: this bettor is down $79k lifetime and was closing a prior Felix position bought around 94¢.
$1,470 on Aleksandar Kovacevic | Wallet win rate: 69%
Proven 80% sports winner
A highly proven serial sports trader with 80% wins and +$464k lifetime P&L bought $5k of Felix Auger-Aliassime at 78¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $464k lifetime.
- They have traded across 711 events with $3.7M total volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- The $5k buy at 78¢ is already better than the current 80¢ market price.
$5,000 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 82%
86% win-rate bettor
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 86% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L, making even a modest $1,025 favorite bet worth surfacing.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $6,122 lifetime.
- They put $1,025 on Felix at 88¢, a large bet versus the market’s recent quiet activity.
- The entry is on a heavy favorite, but this wallet has a long 125-bet track record.
$1,025 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0x8394...1f61 — Outcome 11267521, $10,011
- 0x112a...679d — Outcome 11267521, $10,000
- 0xbf9f...d173 — Outcome 11267521, $10,000
- 0x8006...2fe0 — Outcome 11267521, $8,943 (0% win rate)
- 0x8bfe...2d74 — Outcome 11267521, $7,928 (97% win rate)
- 0x479e...91c3 — Outcome 11267521, $6,410 (82% win rate)
- 0x21f7...4c3a — Outcome 11267521, $5,000
- 0x5822...8774 — Outcome 11267521, $4,824 (100% win rate)
- 0x2cc5...c33b — Outcome 11267521, $4,719
- 0x45e1...5934 — Outcome 11267521, $4,660 (99% win rate)
