Part of: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers
This Polymarket MLB market covers the May 13 game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Texas Rangers, resolving to the team that wins the matchup. PolySpotter is tracking $7,200 in smart money and 1 smart money signal, with recent alerts pointing to notable bettor activity on Arizona. The market is scheduled to resolve after the game is completed, with special rules for postponement, cancellation, or a tie.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Texas Rangers, scheduled for May 13 at 8:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $78,023.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Million-dollar serial bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with nearly 3,000 resolved trades bought $7.2k of Arizona at even odds.
- This bettor has a long track record: 67% wins across 2,977 resolved bets and $1.28M in profit.
- They have traded across 1,522 events, suggesting a repeatable strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought Arizona at 50¢, meaning the position pays about 2x if the Diamondbacks win.
$7,200 on Arizona Diamondbacks | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Serial cross-market sports bettor with a large profitable history bought Texas at near-even odds, making the wallet track record the main signal despite only a modest alert score.
- This bettor has won 67% of 452 resolved bets and is up $248K lifetime.
- They have traded across 77 events with $298K in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
- Entry at 51¢ is near even money, so the bet implies they see Texas as better than a coin flip.
$1,060 on Texas Rangers | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable MLB bettors align
Three wallets bought Texas Rangers at 51¢, led by a highly profitable bettor with a 78% win rate across 1,521 resolved markets and $648k lifetime profit.
- A bettor who wins 78% of resolved bets is backing Texas, with $648k lifetime profit.
- Two serial sports bettors in this cluster are strongly profitable, with about $897k combined lifetime profit.
- Three wallets bought the same side within minutes at 51¢, pointing to coordinated conviction.
$5,249 on Texas Rangers
New repeat whale on Arizona
A 2-day-old repeat whale put $64.5k on Arizona amid a huge pre-event volume spike, despite limited and negative resolved track record.
- A 2-day-old wallet has already placed $105k in flagged bets and just added $64.5k here.
- This bet is large versus the market’s recent activity and coincides with a major pre-game volume spike.
- The wallet’s short resolved history is weak so far, but the size and repeat activity make the position worth watching.
$64,514 on Arizona Diamondbacks | Wallet win rate: 38%
Top Holders
- 0xb91a...3987 — Arizona Diamondbacks, $140,000 (38% win rate)
- 0x9495...9a27 — Texas Rangers, $55,485 (64% win rate)
- 0xd48a...6e90 — Arizona Diamondbacks, $14,639 (67% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — Texas Rangers, $9,413 (52% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Texas Rangers, $7,123
- 0xf152...64aa — Arizona Diamondbacks, $7,028 (67% win rate)
- 0x7dce...c58e — Texas Rangers, $6,214 (61% win rate)
- 0x6d3c...d294 — Texas Rangers, $5,879 (51% win rate)
- 0xd106...c79c — Texas Rangers, $5,767 (53% win rate)
- 0xc6ab...b16e — Texas Rangers, $5,514
Related Theses
High-scoring outcome volatility
Covers 3 related markets
