Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

19 smart money signals detected, totaling $289,544.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Ecuador No at 77¢ across a broader event thesis, and the market has already moved to 82¢ with heavy pre-event volume.

This bettor has won 64% of 854 resolved bets and is up about $340K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with nearly $3.0M bet across 448 markets and positions in 3 markets for this event.
They bought No at 77¢ before the market moved to 82¢, alongside a 16x pre-event volume spike.

$2,950 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a massive long-term record is buying Ecuador No amid major event-wide positioning and a sharp volume spike.

This bettor has won 63% of 1,650 resolved bets and is up $10.8M lifetime.
They are active across 3 markets in this event, with $129.9K positioned around the same game.
They bought No at 70¢ and the market has already moved to 76¢, suggesting the trade is being validated.

$6,879 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Profitable serial trader exits Yes

Profitable serial cross-market trader sold $96K of Ecuador Yes, effectively backing No, with the move corroborated by a sharp price drop and volume spike, though it appears to be an unwind of a prior Yes position.

This bettor is up $523K lifetime and has won 73% of 56 resolved bets.
They sold $96K of Ecuador Yes, equivalent to backing No around 77¢.
The market is confirming the move: Ecuador is down 15 points today amid a 22.9x volume spike.

$96,367 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%

94% winner backing underdog

A highly profitable 94% win-rate sports bettor bought $10k of Ecuador Yes, with six wallets joining the same side.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $3.19M lifetime.
They bought $10k of Ecuador Yes around 31–32¢ despite the price falling this week.
Six wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $27.5k in coordinated flow.

$10,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

Sharp bettor joins 27-wallet Yes wave

A highly profitable 84% win-rate wallet bought Ecuador Yes while 27 wallets pushed the same side amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $344,697 lifetime.
27 wallets are buying the same Yes side, totaling about $285K in coordinated flow.
Market volume spiked 58x, suggesting a wave of fresh positioning before the match.

$1,950 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Sharp bettor joins 27-wallet Yes cluster

Sharp 76% lifetime bettor with $22.8M profit bought Ecuador Yes alongside a large 27-wallet one-sided cluster and major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $22.8M lifetime.
27 wallets bought the same Yes side for $284,925, including 4 linked wallets.
Market volume spiked 58x before the event, suggesting strong coordinated interest.

$3,543 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

98% winner joins Yes cluster

Elite 98% win-rate wallet bought Ecuador Yes into a large one-sided cluster and major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $464K lifetime.
26 wallets have bought the same side, totaling $323K in one-sided Yes flow.
The market saw a 98x volume spike before the match, while this sharp entered at 39¢.

$1,485 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%

26-wallet Yes surge

High-conviction coordinated Yes flow with 26 wallets totaling $323k, plus a new repeat bettor with early profits buying Ecuador despite current price weakness.

26 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling about $323k on Ecuador Yes.
This 3-day-old bettor is already 5-for-5 on resolved bets and up $1,761.
Market volume spiked 98x above normal before the match, suggesting heavy pre-game positioning.

$1,861 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

26-wallet Yes cluster

Surfacing because a large 26-wallet one-sided cluster is buying Ecuador Yes into a major pre-event volume spike, despite the specific wallet having a poor long-term record.

26 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling about $323k on Ecuador Yes.
Market volume spiked 98x versus its normal pace, suggesting a sudden rush of pre-game positioning.
The main wallet paid 38–39¢, while the market is now around 34–35¢, giving a cheaper entry than the cluster average.

$35,325 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 48%

87% sharp buying No

A highly profitable 87% win-rate sports bettor made a large BUY No bet, supported by one-sided flow from other wallets and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $2.1M lifetime.
They put $16.4K on No at 62¢, adding conviction from a proven sports trader.
Three wallets are all buying No, while market volume is running 94x above its historical pace.

$16,430 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 12239249, $522,650
0x076d...8d4c — Outcome 28508563, $327,208 (65% win rate)
0x8b5a...00f2 — Outcome 28508563, $313,119 (47% win rate)
0x37e4...c991 — Outcome 28508563, $244,535 (76% win rate)
0xefdd...017f — Outcome 28508563, $216,906 (95% win rate)
0x1117...3532 — Outcome 28508563, $150,000 (66% win rate)
0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 28508563, $80,087 (94% win rate)
0xdd88...dadb — Outcome 28508563, $60,000 (68% win rate)
0xffe9...a70e — Outcome 28508563, $55,000 (74% win rate)
0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 28508563, $38,521

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Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

ResolvedCôte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador$289,544 tracked19 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 14, 2026 If Ecuador wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.