Part of: Mexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,164.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
85% winner buying Over
Sharp serial cross-market sports bettor with an 85% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Over 0.5 goals at 84¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $21.4K lifetime.
- They have traded across 30 events and 32 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports betting approach.
- Entry at 84¢ is a high-confidence favorite bet with a clear liquid market to copy.
$3,024 on Over | Wallet win rate: 85%
80% winner buying longshot Under
Surfaced because the bettor has a strong 12-of-15 resolved track record and is buying the contrarian Under at 16¢ despite a liquid market.
- This bettor has won 12 of 15 resolved bets and is up $3.5K lifetime.
- Their past wins came at much longer odds on average, suggesting real edge rather than just backing favorites.
- Buying Under at 16¢ implies they see the 0-0 outcome as underpriced.
$1,120 on Under | Wallet win rate: 87%
Sharp cluster buying Under
Three profitable wallets, including one up $1.7M lifetime, are coordinating on Under 0.5 goals at 16¢ with broader cross-market positioning on the same match.
- Three wallets are all buying Under at 16¢, including bettors with 87% and 78% lifetime win rates.
- One wallet is up $1.7M lifetime, making this more than a simple small underdog punt.
- The group has also traded 6 related markets on this match, totaling nearly $25k in event exposure.
$4,323 on Under
Serial sports bettors cluster
Three wallets, including two profitable high-volume serial sports bettors, clustered on Over 0.5 with related cross-market positioning on the same match.
- Two bettors in this cluster win about 70–74% of resolved trades and are up a combined $136K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $5.7K at 85–86¢, showing coordinated conviction on at least one goal.
- The strongest wallets are serial cross-market sports traders with hundreds of events and over $2M combined deployed.
$5,697 on Over
Top Holders
- 0x122b...ac59 — Outcome 69401439, $50,000 (69% win rate)
- 0xf031...c80c — Outcome 69401439, $23,810 (90% win rate)
- 0x2ec5...fd53 — Outcome 69401439, $18,706 (64% win rate)
- 0x1d16...212e — Outcome 69401439, $15,278 (91% win rate)
- 0xdb85...152f — Outcome 69401439, $10,000 (81% win rate)
- 0x3cd6...18e4 — Outcome 69401439, $7,000 (87% win rate)
- 0xa87d...e4bf — Outcome 69401439, $6,000 (63% win rate)
- 0x41de...3930 — Outcome 69401439, $5,000 (42% win rate)
- 0xbb8a...2562 — Outcome 69401439, $3,667 (76% win rate)
- 0x1ab8...1b4a — Outcome 69401439, $3,409 (55% win rate)
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