Part of: National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez
This prediction market covers the National Bank Open tennis match between Mirra Andreeva and Leylah Fernandez, scheduled for August 8, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances, with resolution scheduled for August 15, 2026; PolySpotter tracks $53,472 in smart money across three signals, including notable buying activity for Andreeva and Fernandez.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $110,220.
Categories: Games, Sports, Tennis
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor leads Leylah cluster
A four-wallet tennis cluster is strongly backing Leylah Fernandez, including a highly profitable 82% bettor, amid a 127x volume spike and sharp repricing against Mirra Andreeva.
- A bettor with an 82% win rate and $818,000 profit bought Leylah Fernandez at 48¢.
- Four wallets expressed the same Leylah thesis through direct buys or selling Mirra, totaling $11,472.
- The market saw a 127x volume surge while Mirra’s price fell 28%, corroborating the coordinated move.
$11,472 on Leylah Fernandez
96% winner backs Mirra
A highly profitable serial trader with a 96% win rate committed $39,000 to Mirra Andreeva alongside two other buyers despite the price falling sharply.
- This bettor has won 173 of 180 resolved trades, with nearly $7.0M in lifetime profit.
- The wallet committed $39,000 to Mirra Andreeva, joined by two other wallets for roughly $44,000 of one-sided buying.
- The position was built around a 54¢ weighted average while the market has fallen to 44¢, creating a cheaper entry but also signaling meaningful market disagreement.
$39,000 on Mirra Andreeva | Wallet win rate: 96%
Three-wallet Mirra buying cluster
A three-wallet Mirra buying cluster and extreme pre-event volume spike indicate a notable directional thesis, despite this wallet adding to an underwater position.
- Three wallets bought Mirra for nearly $44,000 amid a 127x surge over normal volume.
- This bettor has 244 resolved trades and is up $54,880, though the 64% win rate is only moderate.
- The wallet added at 55¢ while Mirra later fell to 44¢, making this a higher-risk contrarian position.
$3,000 on Mirra Andreeva | Wallet win rate: 65%
Profitable bettor scales into Mirra
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor added $15,000 to an existing Mirra Andreeva position amid a 169x volume spike.
- This bettor has won 78% of 179 resolved trades and earned nearly $490,000 in profit.
- They added $15,000 to an existing Mirra Andreeva position, signaling increased conviction despite the market already pricing her at 78%.
- Trading volume surged to roughly 169 times its historical average, reinforcing the significance of the move.
$40,000 on Mirra Andreeva | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable bettor scales into Mirra
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor added $15,000 to an existing Mirra Andreeva position amid a 169x volume spike.
- This bettor has won 78% of 179 resolved trades and earned nearly $490,000 in profit.
- They added $15,000 to an existing Mirra Andreeva position, signaling increased conviction despite the market already pricing her at 78%.
- Trading volume surged to roughly 169 times its historical average, reinforcing the significance of the move.
$15,000 on Mirra Andreeva | Wallet win rate: 78%
Perfect-record bettor adds to Andreeva
A highly profitable bettor with a perfect 42-0 record and substantial edge is adding to an existing Mirra Andreeva position at 75%.
- This bettor has won 100% of 42 resolved positions, earning $107,213 on $330,792 invested.
- The wallet is adding $1,748 to an existing Andreeva position, showing continued conviction at 75%.
- They have traded across 28 events with a 100% historical win rate, while Andreeva has recently risen 8.5%.
$1,748 on Mirra Andreeva | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 14810039, $72,963 (96% win rate)
- 0xdbbb...05a8 — Outcome 14810039, $68,798 (78% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 14810039, $18,029 (63% win rate)
- 0xf377...4159 — Outcome 14810039, $15,504 (82% win rate)
- 0x2f90...90cc — Outcome 14810039, $7,098 (75% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 14810039, $6,907 (99% win rate)
- 0xbe02...b9f5 — Outcome 14810039, $6,667 (52% win rate)
- 0xf83b...44a2 — Outcome 14810039, $4,108 (84% win rate)
- 0xa50f...8e6f — Outcome 14810039, $3,872 (88% win rate)
- 0x5108...29cb — Outcome 14810039, $3,628 (86% win rate)
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