Part of: National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
This prediction market covers the National Bank Open match between Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova, scheduled for August 9, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with resolution scheduled for August 16, 2026; current smart-money tracking shows $1,345 across one signal.
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $49,632.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Serial 86% winner adds to Sabalenka
A highly experienced 86% winner is adding to an existing Sabalenka position amid a 203x pre-event volume spike, though the modest edge and high entry price warrant caution.
- This bettor has won 86% of 465 resolved bets across 279 events and is adding to an existing position.
- A 203x surge over the historical trading baseline supports the timing of the Sabalenka purchase.
- The 84¢ entry offers limited upside at an already strong favorite price, so copying should use a strict ceiling.
$1,345 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 86%
Sharp bettor joins four-wallet Aryna push
A highly profitable sharp bettor added to Aryna Sabalenka alongside three other wallets during a major volume surge.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $23,187, with an average win entry of just 41¢.
- Four wallets bought Aryna Sabalenka for nearly $8,000 as 24-hour market volume surged to $388,000.
- The wallet is adding to an existing Aryna position first entered around 56¢, reinforcing its conviction despite the price rising to 60¢.
$2,021 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 92%
Serial winner scaling into Sabalenka
A highly profitable serial trader added to an existing Sabalenka position at 44% amid a four-wallet one-sided buying cluster and a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 85% of 991 resolved trades and has made $213,724 lifetime.
- Four wallets bought Sabalenka for nearly $8,000 total, while market volume surged to 30 times its historical average.
- The trader added at 44% to an existing position, and the outcome has since risen to about 60%.
$2,635 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 85%
Serial trader joins four-wallet Sabalenka push
A serial cross-market trader with a profitable 79-bet record bought Sabalenka at a major discount amid a four-wallet one-sided surge.
- Four wallets bought Sabalenka, committing nearly $8,000 to the same outcome.
- This trader has won 72% of 79 resolved bets and is up $81,505 lifetime.
- The position was added at 49¢ while the market has risen to 60¢, signaling strong conviction.
$2,443 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 72%
Sharp bettor joins four-wallet Aryna push
A highly profitable sharp bettor added to Aryna Sabalenka alongside three other wallets during a major volume surge.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $23,187, with an average win entry of just 41¢.
- Four wallets bought Aryna Sabalenka for nearly $8,000 as 24-hour market volume surged to $388,000.
- The wallet is adding to an existing Aryna position first entered around 56¢, reinforcing its conviction despite the price rising to 60¢.
$1,800 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 92%
Sharp bettors buying Sabalenka value
A strong 92% win-rate bettor and other experienced traders added nearly $8,000 to Sabalenka despite a sharp price decline, making this coordinated value-seeking flow worth monitoring.
- A bettor with a 92% win rate across 37 resolved positions joined the $7,953 Sabalenka buying cluster.
- Four wallets bought the same outcome while Sabalenka’s price had fallen 36.5% over the day, suggesting buyers viewed the decline as value.
- Three participating wallets were adding to existing Sabalenka positions, reinforcing conviction rather than indicating routine one-off trading.
$12,572 on Aryna Sabalenka
Sharp bettor buys the dip
A proven bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial edge added to an existing Sabalenka position after a sharp price drop.
- This bettor has won 88% of 42 resolved trades while entering at average odds of just 54%.
- They added $1,057 to an existing Sabalenka position after her price fell 23 percentage points in about four minutes.
- The trade was entered at 72¢, implying the bettor sees meaningful value despite Sabalenka being priced as a 74% favorite.
$1,057 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 88%
Three proven bettors back Alexandrova
Three highly profitable wallets concentrated $6,539 on Alexandrova, including a 97% winner, while Sabalenka fell 19.5 percentage points.
- Three wallets with 71%–97% win rates collectively put $6,539 behind Alexandrova.
- The strongest bettor has won 97% of 268 resolved trades and is up $947,381 lifetime.
- Alexandrova fell from roughly 36–37¢ entries to 26¢ while Sabalenka dropped 19.5 percentage points, making this a strong contrarian move.
$9,456 on Ekaterina Alexandrova
Profitable new wallet scaling into Sabalenka
A very new, profitable repeat bettor added $3,000 to an existing Sabalenka position, though the trade has moved sharply against them and the track record is still small.
- This one-day-old wallet is up $2,935 after winning 4 of 5 resolved bets and has already repeated large bets five times.
- The bettor added $3,000 to an existing Sabalenka position, bringing total exposure to roughly $12,000.
- Sabalenka fell from the bettor’s 86¢ entry to about 70¢, so the position is under pressure despite the added conviction.
$3,000 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 80%
Serial 86% winner adds to Sabalenka
A highly experienced 86% winner is adding to an existing Sabalenka position amid a 203x pre-event volume spike, though the modest edge and high entry price warrant caution.
- This bettor has won 86% of 465 resolved bets across 279 events and is adding to an existing position.
- A 203x surge over the historical trading baseline supports the timing of the Sabalenka purchase.
- The 84¢ entry offers limited upside at an already strong favorite price, so copying should use a strict ceiling.
$1,915 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 36677880, $50,696 (63% win rate)
- 0xd849...6ac7 — Outcome 36677880, $37,560 (72% win rate)
- 0xab82...abe5 — Outcome 36677880, $36,091 (59% win rate)
- 0xb272...5030 — Outcome 36677880, $12,500 (43% win rate)
- 0x6195...b9e3 — Outcome 22153942, $9,345 (69% win rate)
- 0xccd8...f4de — Outcome 36677880, $8,464 (46% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 36677880, $8,000 (99% win rate)
- 0xe394...289c — Outcome 36677880, $6,000 (85% win rate)
- 0x191b...5b67 — Outcome 36677880, $5,000 (50% win rate)
- 0x5455...8b2a — Outcome 36677880, $5,000 (72% win rate)
