Part of: Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by...?

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 15, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,059.

Categories: Movies, Culture, Box Office, Spider-Man

Notable Trades

Thin-market bettor scaling into Yes

A proven, active bettor added over $1,000 to Yes in a very thin market, though the wallet’s historical edge is modest at its typical entry prices.

This bettor has won 78% of 352 resolved trades and is adding to an existing Yes position.
The $1,059 purchase was more than seven times the market’s entire 24-hour volume, in a book with only $684 liquidity.
Yes jumped 24% over the past day, corroborating the bettor’s bullish positioning, though the 11-point bid-ask spread makes execution risky.

$1,059 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%