Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Lehecka
Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Lehecka
This Polymarket tennis market tracks who will advance in the Roland Garros ATP match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Jiri Lehecka, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who wins and advances, with resolution expected by May 31, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $27,941 in smart money across 4 signals, including profitable whale and underdog-backing alerts.
26 smart money signals detected, totaling $539,818.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
80% winner flips sides
Sharp 80% lifetime winner with six-figure profit and extensive cross-market history made an $8.5k buy on Carreno Busta despite the market later slipping below entry.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $110k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 115 events with $1.58M bet historically.
- The $8.5k buy is now below their 79¢ entry, offering a cheaper follow if the thesis is still right.
$8,500 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable serial trader caught move
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Jiri Lehecka at 11¢ before the market moved sharply to 28¢, alongside a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 71% of 8,616 resolved bets and is up $12.3M lifetime.
- They bought Jiri Lehecka at 11¢ before the price jumped to 28¢.
- The market saw a 10x pre-event volume spike, suggesting broader momentum behind the move.
$2,223 on Jiri Lehecka | Wallet win rate: 71%
80% winner backing favorite
Sharp 80% lifetime bettor with strong tennis/sports-style cross-market history put $12.2k effectively on Pablo Carreno Busta despite the market later drifting below his entry.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $117k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 115 events with $1.6M total volume.
- They put $12.2k behind Pablo Carreno Busta at roughly 78¢, while the current market is cheaper around 68¢.
$12,218 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 80%
80% serial sports winner
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 80% win rate and $534k lifetime profit bought Pablo Carreno Busta despite a liquid market and recent price volatility.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $534k lifetime.
- They have traded across 751 events with nearly $4M deployed, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry was 78¢, while the market is now around 68¢, offering a better price than the sharp bettor paid.
$5,000 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 81%
80% winner fades Lehecka
Sharp wallet with an 80% win rate and +$117k P&L is effectively buying Pablo Carreno Busta amid a major pre-event volume spike and sharp price move.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $117k lifetime.
- They effectively bought Pablo Carreno Busta at 75¢ by selling Jiri Lehecka.
- The market has seen a 39x volume spike and a major price move before the match.
$3,718 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market sports bettor is buying into a major volume spike and 25-point move toward Pablo Carreno Busta.
- This bettor has traded 66 events and is up $26K across nearly $891K invested.
- The market is seeing a 39x volume spike with Pablo Carreno Busta moving up 25 points.
- Entry at 69¢ follows strong momentum, with current odds implying Carreno Busta is now the clear favorite.
$2,250 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 62%
Profitable whale joins cluster
A highly profitable high-volume sports bettor bought $39k of Jiri Lehecka amid a 6-wallet same-side flow and major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor is up $6.6M lifetime across more than 1,100 resolved bets.
- They bought $39k of Jiri Lehecka at 56¢, and the market has since moved to 63¢.
- Six wallets bought the same side for $51.9k during a 44x pre-event volume spike.
$38,980 on Jiri Lehecka | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial sports whale
High-conviction tennis bet from a massively profitable serial sports trader, reinforced by six-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 71% of 8,616 resolved bets and is up $12.3M lifetime.
- Six wallets bought the same side for $51.9K, suggesting strong coordinated conviction.
- They entered Jiri Lehecka at 31¢ before the market moved to 63¢.
$4,113 on Jiri Lehecka | Wallet win rate: 71%
Six-wallet tennis surge
High-composite tennis alert driven by six-wallet one-sided buying, a 44x volume spike, and a seasoned profitable wallet entering Jiri Lehecka before a major move from 32¢ to 63¢.
- Six wallets bought the same side for about $51.9K, suggesting coordinated conviction.
- This bettor has 3,627 resolved trades, wins 66% of them, and is up $10.7K lifetime.
- They entered at 32¢ before the market moved to 63¢, so the edge may already be partly priced in.
$1,099 on Jiri Lehecka | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable cluster buying underdog
High-score one-sided tennis cluster with $51.9k on Jiri Lehecka, including highly profitable serial sports traders and late entries near the current 32¢ price.
- Six wallets put $51.9k on Jiri Lehecka in the same direction.
- One late buyer has won 71% of 8,616 resolved bets and is up $12.3M lifetime.
- The latest sharp entries were at 31–32¢, close to the current 32¢ price.
$51,885 on Jiri Lehecka
Top Holders
- 0x65b5...e82f — Outcome 42201375, $486,688 (100% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 42201375, $19,849 (71% win rate)
- 0x84cb...28ad — Outcome 42201375, $18,182 (99% win rate)
- 0xde19...3c92 — Outcome 42201375, $17,500 (83% win rate)
- 0xeaf3...e802 — Outcome 42201375, $7,900 (89% win rate)
- 0xd123...d341 — Outcome 42201375, $6,738 (71% win rate)
- 0x979f...4032 — Outcome 42201375, $6,250 (93% win rate)
- 0x2ee3...3a0a — Outcome 42201375, $5,018 (89% win rate)
- 0x5ad8...3eeb — Outcome 42201375, $5,000
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 42201375, $4,921 (60% win rate)
