Part of: Luxembourg vs. Italy - More Markets

Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 2.5

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,284.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly

Notable Trades

96% winner exits Over

A highly profitable 96% winner sold Over, which is equivalent to buying Under at 72¢, though this looks more like exiting a prior Over position than a fresh large bet.

  • This bettor has won 96% of resolved trades and is up $8.6K lifetime.
  • Selling Over at 28¢ is equivalent to backing Under at 72¢.
  • This is partly a position exit, but the bettor is cutting Over after a steep price drop.

$1,470 on Under | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A massively profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Under at 62¢, aligning with recent market movement toward the Under.

  • This bettor has won 69% of over 10,000 resolved bets and is up $14.4M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 2,474 markets and $19.2M flagged in this pattern.
  • The market has already moved toward Under, with Over down 13.5 points over the past day.

$1,556 on Under | Wallet win rate: 63%

Sharp sports bettor buying Under

Sharp sports bettor with an 86% record and strong lifetime profit bought Under 2.5 at 52¢ on Luxembourg vs. Italy.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $27.5k lifetime.
  • They bought Under at 52¢, and the market has already moved to 54¢.
  • Their average past entry was around 50¢, so the 19-for-22 record suggests real edge rather than just chasing heavy favorites.

$1,040 on Under | Wallet win rate: 86%

96% sports bettor buys Over

Surface because this is a proven profitable sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate buying Over despite the market moving lower.

  • This bettor has won 51 of 53 resolved trades and is up $12.8K lifetime.
  • They put $2.9K on Over, a meaningful size for this market at the time of entry.
  • The market has moved against them from 55¢ to 46¢, so followers may be able to enter cheaper than the original bet.

$2,886 on Over | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a 65% win rate and +$449k lifetime P&L is taking the Under side in a relatively quiet market.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 1,189 resolved bets and is up about $450k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 285 events and over $514k in tracked volume.
  • Selling Over at 48¢ is equivalent to buying Under at 52¢.

$1,109 on Under | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports bettor traded meaningfully in a thin O/U market, though the same-wallet buy-then-sell sequence makes the directional signal less clean.

  • This bettor is up about $450k lifetime with a 65% win rate across 1,189 resolved bets.
  • They are a heavy cross-market sports trader, active across 285 events and over $513k in flagged cross-market volume.
  • The latest move sold Over at 48¢, equivalent to buying Under at 52¢, but they had bought Over minutes earlier, so conviction is mixed.

$2,666 on Under | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable sharp buying Over

Profitable high-volume sports trader with a 65% win rate is making a large Over bet in a very quiet market.

  • This bettor wins 65% of resolved trades and is up about $450k lifetime.
  • The $1.6k Over bet is nearly 70x the market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
  • They have traded across 284 events with over $500k in similar cross-market activity.

$1,557 on Over | Wallet win rate: 66%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1d3b...583b Outcome 17121322, $5,000 (79% win rate)
  2. 0x6ef5...fc37 Outcome 17121322, $1,438 (70% win rate)
  3. 0x8fe7...4f20 Outcome 17121322, $784 (66% win rate)
  4. 0x374e...87c9 Outcome 17121322, $702
  5. 0x6553...7a71 Outcome 17121322, $460
  6. 0xe512...9761 Outcome 17121322, $291
  7. 0x03ba...beba Outcome 17121322, $283
  8. 0xb052...7ada Outcome 17121322, $265
  9. 0x3f7a...0f82 Outcome 17121322, $200
  10. 0xa902...d159 Outcome 17121322, $189 (83% win rate)

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Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 2.5

ResolvedLuxembourg vs. Italy - More Markets$12,284 tracked7 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFifa Friendly

In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Luxembourg and Italy, scheduled for June 3 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Luxembourg and Italy combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 2.5

28d ago

$1,470 on Under at 72¢

Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 2.5

28d ago

$1,556 on Under at 62¢

Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 2.5

28d ago

$1,040 on Under at 52¢

Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 2.5

28d ago

$2,886 on Over at 55¢

Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 2.5

29d ago

$1,109 on Under at 52¢

Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 2.5

29d ago

$2,666 on Under at 52¢

Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 2.5

29d ago

$1,557 on Over at 50¢

Related Theses