Part of: Luxembourg vs. Italy - More Markets
Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 2.5
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,284.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly
Notable Trades
96% winner exits Over
A highly profitable 96% winner sold Over, which is equivalent to buying Under at 72¢, though this looks more like exiting a prior Over position than a fresh large bet.
- This bettor has won 96% of resolved trades and is up $8.6K lifetime.
- Selling Over at 28¢ is equivalent to backing Under at 72¢.
- This is partly a position exit, but the bettor is cutting Over after a steep price drop.
$1,470 on Under | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A massively profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Under at 62¢, aligning with recent market movement toward the Under.
- This bettor has won 69% of over 10,000 resolved bets and is up $14.4M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 2,474 markets and $19.2M flagged in this pattern.
- The market has already moved toward Under, with Over down 13.5 points over the past day.
$1,556 on Under | Wallet win rate: 63%
Sharp sports bettor buying Under
Sharp sports bettor with an 86% record and strong lifetime profit bought Under 2.5 at 52¢ on Luxembourg vs. Italy.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $27.5k lifetime.
- They bought Under at 52¢, and the market has already moved to 54¢.
- Their average past entry was around 50¢, so the 19-for-22 record suggests real edge rather than just chasing heavy favorites.
$1,040 on Under | Wallet win rate: 86%
96% sports bettor buys Over
Surface because this is a proven profitable sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate buying Over despite the market moving lower.
- This bettor has won 51 of 53 resolved trades and is up $12.8K lifetime.
- They put $2.9K on Over, a meaningful size for this market at the time of entry.
- The market has moved against them from 55¢ to 46¢, so followers may be able to enter cheaper than the original bet.
$2,886 on Over | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a 65% win rate and +$449k lifetime P&L is taking the Under side in a relatively quiet market.
- This bettor has won 65% of 1,189 resolved bets and is up about $450k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 285 events and over $514k in tracked volume.
- Selling Over at 48¢ is equivalent to buying Under at 52¢.
$1,109 on Under | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports bettor traded meaningfully in a thin O/U market, though the same-wallet buy-then-sell sequence makes the directional signal less clean.
- This bettor is up about $450k lifetime with a 65% win rate across 1,189 resolved bets.
- They are a heavy cross-market sports trader, active across 285 events and over $513k in flagged cross-market volume.
- The latest move sold Over at 48¢, equivalent to buying Under at 52¢, but they had bought Over minutes earlier, so conviction is mixed.
$2,666 on Under | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable sharp buying Over
Profitable high-volume sports trader with a 65% win rate is making a large Over bet in a very quiet market.
- This bettor wins 65% of resolved trades and is up about $450k lifetime.
- The $1.6k Over bet is nearly 70x the market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
- They have traded across 284 events with over $500k in similar cross-market activity.
$1,557 on Over | Wallet win rate: 66%
Top Holders
- 0x1d3b...583b — Outcome 17121322, $5,000 (79% win rate)
- 0x6ef5...fc37 — Outcome 17121322, $1,438 (70% win rate)
- 0x8fe7...4f20 — Outcome 17121322, $784 (66% win rate)
- 0x374e...87c9 — Outcome 17121322, $702
- 0x6553...7a71 — Outcome 17121322, $460
- 0xe512...9761 — Outcome 17121322, $291
- 0x03ba...beba — Outcome 17121322, $283
- 0xb052...7ada — Outcome 17121322, $265
- 0x3f7a...0f82 — Outcome 17121322, $200
- 0xa902...d159 — Outcome 17121322, $189 (83% win rate)
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