Part of: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

This Counter-Strike 2 prediction market covers the best-of-three PGL Astana Group Stage match between FURIA and Heroic, originally scheduled for May 10 at 7:00 AM ET. The market resolves to FURIA if FURIA win the match, or Heroic if Heroic win, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter currently tracks $7,032 in smart money and 1 smart money signal, including sharp buying on FURIA.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between FURIA and Heroic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 10 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Heroic. This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against FURIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $70,156.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

98% winner buying FURIA

Elite 98% winner and serial cross-market trader bought $7k of FURIA, with linked-wallet clustering adding conviction despite price moving slightly against entry.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $184k lifetime.
  • They have traded 37 related events with a 98% hit rate, suggesting a strong esports edge.
  • Three linked wallets share the same funder, adding coordinated conviction behind the FURIA side.

$7,032 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 98%

Serial sports bettor backs favorite

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 63% long-run win rate bought $7.1k of FURIA amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has 1,000 resolved trades, wins 63% of them, and is up $122k lifetime.
  • They are highly active across 190 events with nearly $3.9M in tracked cross-market bets.
  • FURIA saw a 46x pre-event volume spike, and this wallet bought $7.1k at 71¢.

$7,098 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 63%

Serial esports trader

Serial cross-market esports trader with a solid 67% record bought FURIA amid a major pre-event volume spike, suggesting informed directional momentum despite modest bet size.

  • This bettor has traded 38 events and wins 67% of resolved bets across 222 markets.
  • FURIA saw a 46x pre-event volume spike, showing a sudden rush of money before the match.
  • Entry at 72¢ matches current market price and reflects confidence in the favorite.

$2,303 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 67%

Serial esports sharp

Serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-run record bought FURIA amid a major pre-event volume spike, making this worth surfacing despite moderate single-trade size.

  • This bettor has traded 269 markets across 189 events, with a 63% record and $122K profit.
  • They bought FURIA at 70¢ as volume spiked 41x above normal before the match.
  • Entry is close to the market at 71%, suggesting a direct favorite-side conviction rather than chasing a wide spread.

$2,614 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 63%

Sharp esports bettor

Sharp esports wallet with an 84% resolved win rate bought $3.5k of FURIA during a major pre-match volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $763k lifetime.
  • They bought $3.5k of FURIA at 71¢ ahead of the match.
  • Market volume is surging 41x above normal, supporting the move.

$3,500 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 84%

Elite esports sharp

Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 86% record bought Heroic during a major pre-event volume spike, and the price has already moved in their favor.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $5.38M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 219 events with nearly $2.9M in flagged activity.
  • Bought Heroic at 28¢ before the market moved to 30¢, during a 135x pre-event volume spike.

$6,056 on Heroic | Wallet win rate: 86%

Sharp esports whale

Sharp CS bettor with an 84% track record placed a $32.6k FURIA bet alongside a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $763k lifetime.
  • They put $32.6k on FURIA at 72¢, a large single-ticket bet in a liquid esports market.
  • Market volume spiked 465x before the match, suggesting strong fresh interest on this side.

$32,553 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 84%

New repeat whale on underdog

A 3-day-old repeat-flagged wallet made a $9,000 contrarian bet on Heroic at 30%, suggesting early high-conviction positioning despite no resolved track record.

  • A 3-day-old wallet is already making repeat large bets, with $11.6K flagged so far.
  • This is a $9K contrarian buy on Heroic at 30¢ in a liquid esports market.
  • The bet implies they see meaningful upside on the underdog versus FURIA’s 70% market price.

$9,000 on Heroic

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe9c...4cb4 FURIA, $76,900
  2. 0x5966...f804 FURIA, $57,808 (84% win rate)
  3. 0x5e6e...be00 Heroic, $40,000 (51% win rate)
  4. 0x9d09...2543 Heroic, $30,000
  5. 0x1341...0853 Heroic, $28,688 (86% win rate)
  6. 0xe7e1...ec43 Heroic, $23,106 (64% win rate)
  7. 0x30c7...ac3b Heroic, $22,926 (62% win rate)
  8. 0xcd66...664f FURIA, $20,047 (65% win rate)
  9. 0x21ec...5348 FURIA, $15,000 (57% win rate)
  10. 0x67bb...b6ef FURIA, $14,156 (63% win rate)

Related Theses

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Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2hCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$70,156 tracked8 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
FURIA
100¢
Heroic
0¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between FURIA and Heroic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 10 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Heroic. This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against FURIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “FURIA
102¢
85¢
68¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2h ago

$7,032 on FURIA at 79¢

79¢100¢21¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3h ago

$7,098 on FURIA at 71¢

71¢100¢29¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3h ago

$2,303 on FURIA at 72¢

72¢100¢28¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3h ago

$2,614 on FURIA at 70¢

70¢100¢30¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3h ago

$3,500 on FURIA at 71¢

71¢100¢29¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3h ago

$6,056 on Heroic at 28¢

28¢0¢28¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3h ago

$32,553 on FURIA at 72¢

72¢100¢28¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

5h ago

$9,000 on Heroic at 30¢

30¢0¢30¢

Related Theses