Part of: LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,303.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial esports trader

A profitable serial cross-market esports trader bought Top Esports at 59¢ before a major collapse to 4¢, but the current market has moved sharply against the trade.

This bettor has a long track record: 185 resolved bets, 58% winners, and about $53.9K profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 83 events with over $509K in detected volume.
The trade is risky to copy now: they entered at 59¢, but Top Esports has collapsed to about 4¢.

$1,364 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 57%

Serial trader fades Top Esports

Serial cross-market esports trader sold Top Esports into a sharp pre-event move with heavy volume and price confirmation, despite poor lifetime P&L.

This is a very active cross-market bettor with $3.5M traded across 601 events, now fading Top Esports.
The market saw a 38x volume spike and Top Esports dropped 18 points in 5 minutes, supporting the same direction.
Selling Top Esports at 56¢ is equivalent to buying Ninjas in Pyjamas at 44¢, versus current odds near 55¢.

$2,047 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 60%

Sharp-led esports cluster

A six-wallet same-side cluster bought Top Esports for $11.6k, including a proven profitable bettor with an 80% win rate, though most entries are now badly underwater after a sharp odds drop.

Six wallets bought the same side for $11.6k, with two linked by the same funder.
One buyer wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $322k lifetime.
The market moved hard against them, but the latest entry at 20¢ is now near the current 28¢ price.

$11,588 on Top Esports

90% winner buys underdog

Sharp esports bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and strong profit bought the underdog despite the market moving away from their entry.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up about $190,720 lifetime.
They bought Ninjas in Pyjamas at 33¢, taking the underdog against current market odds of 26¢.
The market saw a 73x pre-event volume spike, adding momentum around this match.

$4,304 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

0xb10b...0b04 — Outcome 11141213, $16,162 (80% win rate)
0x3a09...f9f7 — Outcome 11141213, $10,357 (53% win rate)
0xe04a...f990 — Outcome 11141213, $9,540
0x913c...39b3 — Outcome 11141213, $6,500 (63% win rate)
0x5054...0aaf — Outcome 11141213, $5,218 (59% win rate)
0xa14c...23a1 — Outcome 11141213, $5,107 (58% win rate)
0xcfde...3f9c — Outcome 11141213, $5,014 (68% win rate)
0x2842...fb48 — Outcome 11141213, $5,000
0x4b8f...de20 — Outcome 11141213, $5,000 (98% win rate)
0xa2e4...bf9d — Outcome 11141213, $5,000 (58% win rate)

Related Theses

LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedLoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$19,303 tracked4 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 12 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 1 against Ninjas in Pyjamas. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 1 against Top Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Ninjas in Pyjamas”

102¢

63¢

25¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction