Part of: Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils
15 smart money signals detected, totaling $81,257.
Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
96% win-rate sports bettor
A highly proven sports bettor with a 96% win rate bought Arthur Fils before a sharp move higher, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market already repricing.
- This bettor wins 96% of 1,610 resolved markets and is up $82.5k lifetime
- They put $8.3k on Arthur Fils at 71¢, and the price has already jumped to 84¢ after the buy
- This wallet has made 69 cross-market bets with the same 96% hit rate, pointing to repeatable edge rather than a one-off trade
$8,289 on Arthur Fils | Wallet win rate: 95%
Sharp-led 4-wallet cluster
Four wallets piled into Rafael Jodar for $13.5k during a 24.7x volume spike, led by a high-volume bettor with a 73% win rate and $334k profit.
- A bettor who wins 73% of 651 resolved trades and is up $334k was part of this same-way cluster
- Four wallets put $13.5k on Rafael Jodar in minutes as volume surged 24.7x above normal
- Most buys hit around 61-63¢, suggesting the cluster was comfortable backing Jodar near current price
$13,506 on Rafael Jodar
73% win-rate sports grinder
A high-volume serial sports trader with a 73% win rate sold Arthur Fils, which translates to buying Rafael Jodar around 67¢, making this a solid follow despite only moderate signal diversity.
- This bettor has won 472 of 651 resolved markets and is up about $335k overall.
- The trade is effectively a buy on Rafael Jodar at 67¢ after selling Arthur Fils at 33¢.
- This wallet has traded 483 markets across 366 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting edge rather than a one-off punt.
$3,435 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 72%
79% serial sports bettor
A very high-volume serial sports trader with a 79% hit rate bought Rafael Jodar before a sharp 19-point move, making this a followable momentum-style signal despite the modest ticket size.
- This wallet has won 79% of 3,660 resolved bets across 316 markets and has traded over $3.6M across 201 events
- They bought Rafael Jodar at 62¢ before the market moved up 19 points, and the price is now 64¢
- The bet is small versus this trader's history, but it came from a proven cross-market bettor who is active at scale
$1,433 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 71%
Sharp cluster piled into favorite
A 5-wallet burst piled into Arthur Fils before a 22-point move, led by one exceptionally sharp 96% win-rate bettor and another strong serial trader, making this coordinated momentum worth surfacing.
- One wallet wins 96% of its bets across 1,610 resolved markets and bought Arthur Fils before the price jumped from 71¢ to 90¢.
- Five wallets put in $20.8k on the same side within minutes, and the market moved 22 points upward right after.
- A sell of Rafael Jodar at 17¢ is effectively the same Arthur Fils view, so all five trades point the same way.
$20,832 on Arthur Fils
79% serial sports bettor
A very active sports trader with a 79% hit rate bought Rafael Jodar before a sharp volume surge and already got a favorable move from 43¢ to 47¢.
- This bettor has won 79% of 3,660 resolved markets and has traded across 315 markets in 200 events.
- They bought Rafael Jodar at 43¢, and the market is already up to 47¢ after a 17.2x volume spike.
- The bet is small versus this wallet's history, but the timing suggests they may have spotted value before broader interest hit the market.
$1,393 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 71%
Pro trader flips sides
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 73% win rate flipped from Arthur Fils into Rafael Jodar during a pre-match volume spike, making this a notable side switch worth tracking despite the modest size.
- This bettor has won 1,935 of 2,662 resolved markets and is up $5.1M lifetime.
- They closed an earlier Arthur Fils position and reopened on Rafael Jodar at 46¢, showing a fresh view rather than routine holding.
- The market saw a 12.2x volume spike, suggesting active repricing around this side switch.
$1,307 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable new sports whale
A 2-day-old wallet that has already deployed large size across dozens of flagged bets and is profitable is making another fresh directional sports bet, suggesting a new high-conviction bettor worth tracking.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 34 large-bet alerts totaling $363k and is up $25.6k early
- It is buying Rafael Jodar at 41¢, a clear underdog price that implies a roughly 2.4x payout if right
- This is a fresh position from a new wallet showing unusually aggressive sizing across markets
$2,940 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 85%
84% win-rate sharp
A proven sharp sports-style bettor with an 84% win rate and strong historical edge is taking Rafael Jodar at 41¢, making this a copy-worthy underdog position despite the single trade.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $78.6k on nearly $452k invested
- They have tracked positions across 98 markets in 72 events, which points to a repeatable event-trading edge
- Buying Rafael Jodar at 41¢ means they see the underdog as materially mispriced versus the current market
$2,014 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 85%
Repeat new-wallet whale
A 2-day-old wallet has already put up large repeat size across 31 flagged bets and is now taking Rafael Jodar at 41¢, suggesting a highly active new bettor with real conviction.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 31 large-bet alerts for $354.8k total
- It is buying Rafael Jodar at 41¢, pricing in a clear upset shot against a 60¢ favorite
- Early results are strong: 2 wins, 0 losses and +$25.5k on $63.0k invested
$2,014 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 43323059, $26,547 (73% win rate)
- 0xafe6...8192 — Outcome 43323059, $16,139 (85% win rate)
- 0x8a67...e403 — Outcome 43323059, $12,082 (85% win rate)
- 0x336b...1233 — Outcome 43323059, $10,000 (47% win rate)
- 0x0977...c370 — Outcome 43323059, $7,023
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 43323059, $2,891 (64% win rate)
- 0x27b0...fc67 — Outcome 43323059, $2,358 (71% win rate)
- 0xede0...ff11 — Outcome 43323059, $2,340 (82% win rate)
- 0x661d...4dc6 — Outcome 43323059, $2,290 (68% win rate)
- 0x4b49...0397 — Outcome 43323059, $2,000 (77% win rate)
Related Theses
Iran leadership changes by December
Covers 6 related markets
