Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

In the upcoming FA Cup game, scheduled for April 4 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Arsenal FC" if Arsenal FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Southampton FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on thefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,369.

Notable Trades

96% win-rate sports sharp

A proven elite sports trader with a 96% win rate sold Arsenal -1.5 after a sharp collapse, which converts to a buy on Southampton at roughly 88¢.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved markets and is up $6.2M across 185 settled positions.
  • They trade heavily across hundreds of related markets, suggesting a repeatable sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • This sale came after Arsenal -1.5 crashed 31 points, so the copyable side is Southampton around 88¢.

$1,283 on Southampton FC | Wallet win rate: 96%

43-0 sharp bettor

A perfect-record wallet with 43 resolved wins bought Southampton FC +1.5 into a major pre-match volume spike, suggesting a sharp bettor fading Arsenal cover at 57¢.

  • This bettor has won 43 of 43 resolved trades and is up $2.56M lifetime
  • They bought Southampton FC +1.5 at 57¢, a price that implies Arsenal are too likely to win by 2+
  • The market is seeing an unusual burst of action, with volume running about 1,699x its normal pace

$1,086 on Southampton FC | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8372...5223 Southampton FC, $35,611 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Arsenal FC, $33,377 (51% win rate)
  3. 0x37c1...c53a Southampton FC, $18,018 (66% win rate)
  4. 0x8a6c...0b3f Arsenal FC, $6,121 (96% win rate)
  5. 0x204f...5e14 Arsenal FC, $5,973 (54% win rate)
  6. 0x1050...43af Arsenal FC, $3,000 (100% win rate)
  7. 0x7ea5...de7b Southampton FC, $2,868 (62% win rate)
  8. 0xaf78...7736 Southampton FC, $2,698 (85% win rate)
  9. 0x01c7...e995 Arsenal FC, $1,944 (62% win rate)
  10. 0xfc25...1f7f Southampton FC, $1,661 (91% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

Resolved$2,369 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFA Cup
Arsenal FC
0¢
Southampton FC
100¢

In the upcoming FA Cup game, scheduled for April 4 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Arsenal FC" if Arsenal FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Southampton FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on thefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

1h ago

$1,283 on Southampton FC at 88¢

88¢100¢12¢

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

7h ago

$1,086 on Southampton FC at 57¢

57¢100¢43¢

Related Theses

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | PolySpotter