Part of: SMU vs. Florida State
Spread: SMU (-4.5)
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $234,622.
Categories: Sports, CFB, Games
Notable Trades
Thin-market whale scaling into SMU
A heavily loss-making whale added roughly $78,000 to SMU in an exceptionally thin market, driving a sharp repricing despite opposing Florida State flow from three other wallets.
- The wallet added about $78,000 to SMU around 50¢ and already held roughly $145,000, showing substantial conviction.
- The market had only $525 in 24-hour volume, while SMU rose about 24.5 percentage points to 66% after the buying.
- This is worth studying rather than blindly copying: the bettor has a 47% win rate and is down nearly $12.9 million historically.
$77,098 on SMU | Wallet win rate: 46%
Thin-market whale scaling into SMU
A heavily loss-making whale added roughly $78,000 to SMU in an exceptionally thin market, driving a sharp repricing despite opposing Florida State flow from three other wallets.
- The wallet added about $78,000 to SMU around 50¢ and already held roughly $145,000, showing substantial conviction.
- The market had only $525 in 24-hour volume, while SMU rose about 24.5 percentage points to 66% after the buying.
- This is worth studying rather than blindly copying: the bettor has a 47% win rate and is down nearly $12.9 million historically.
$77,154 on SMU | Wallet win rate: 46%
Thin-market whale scaling into SMU
A heavily loss-making whale added roughly $78,000 to SMU in an exceptionally thin market, driving a sharp repricing despite opposing Florida State flow from three other wallets.
- The wallet added about $78,000 to SMU around 50¢ and already held roughly $145,000, showing substantial conviction.
- The market had only $525 in 24-hour volume, while SMU rose about 24.5 percentage points to 66% after the buying.
- This is worth studying rather than blindly copying: the bettor has a 47% win rate and is down nearly $12.9 million historically.
$78,230 on SMU | Wallet win rate: 46%
Serial trader catches sharp SMU move
A serial cross-market trader placed a $2,140 bet at 45¢ in an exceptionally thin market, followed by a 24.5-point price rise to 66¢.
- A $2,140 bet was more than four times the market's prior 24-hour volume.
- SMU rose from 45¢ to 66¢ after the purchase, a 21-point gain in the market price.
- This bettor has traded 1,087 events and is up $2.1 million, though the 60% win rate is only moderate.
$2,140 on SMU | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0xbca0...9705 — Outcome 22836166, $4,756 (60% win rate)
- 0xd3e7...bf64 — Outcome 22836166, $476 (63% win rate)
- 0x9311...7c73 — Outcome 22836166, $200
- 0x9527...888b — Outcome 22836166, $30
- 0x0fde...0258 — Outcome 22836166, $27
- 0x16be...d68c — Outcome 22836166, $23
- 0x47c9...2038 — Outcome 22836166, $13
- 0xeeaa...15ce — Outcome 22836166, $9
- 0xaf1f...4af9 — Outcome 22836166, $6
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