Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $97,997.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable regular backing favorite

Profitable high-volume bettor backed Vitality before a sharp move higher, though the stake is modest relative to market liquidity.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 1,271 resolved trades and is up about $608k lifetime.
  • They bought Vitality at 85¢ before the market moved to 92¢.
  • This wallet is a serial cross-market trader with $1.47M in flagged activity across 124 events.

$1,472 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable bettor caught move

Profitable high-sample bettor bought Vitality at 63¢ before a sharp move to 92¢, though the current price is far above their entry.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $75.5K lifetime.
  • They bought Vitality at 63¢ before the market jumped to 92¢.
  • The edge was strongest near their entry, so chasing far above 69¢ is less attractive.

$1,063 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 79%

9-wallet sharp cluster

High-score Vitality cluster is worth surfacing because 9 wallets bought the same side, including several profitable high-win-rate esports traders, though opposing NaVi flow makes it a contested setup.

  • Nine wallets bought the same side for $17.4k, with most entries around 60–61¢.
  • Several buyers have strong records, including one winning 94% of resolved bets and another up $120k lifetime.
  • Three wallets share the same funder, suggesting one coordinated bettor is adding conviction.

$17,361 on Vitality

Profitable sharp backs underdog

A proven profitable bettor with an 80% resolved-bet record is taking a $3,000 underdog position despite the alert's low composite score.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $106K lifetime.
  • They bought Natus Vincere at 21¢, backing the underdog against a 77% favorite.
  • Entry at 21¢ implies a nearly 5x payout if Natus Vincere wins.

$3,000 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 80%

78% serial cross-market sharp

Worth surfacing because a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 78% resolved-bet win rate is buying Vitality despite the market already being fairly liquid.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $268K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 327 events with $616K in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports process.
  • Entry at 80¢ is not cheap, but their track record implies confidence that Vitality is still underpriced.

$1,610 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable new funded cluster

High-score esports bet from a repeat new-wallet whale with early profits and linked-wallet corroboration, though the entry is on a heavy favorite in a liquid market.

  • This new bettor is already up $12.9K and has won all 3 resolved bets.
  • The wallet has been flagged 19 times for large new-wallet bets, totaling $99.5K.
  • Three wallets sharing the same funder have put $12.9K behind this side.

$4,341 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp cluster buying underdog

Four wallets are buying the Natus Vincere underdog side, including two highly profitable bettors with 82% and 92% historical win rates plus strong cross-market sports track records.

  • Two proven bettors in this cluster win 82% and 92% of their resolved trades, with nearly $489K combined profit.
  • Four wallets put $8.1K on Natus Vincere at 20–24¢ while the market has already moved to 28¢.
  • One trader has bet across 115 events with a 92% record, suggesting this is part of a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt.

$8,060 on Natus Vincere

8-wallet cluster backs favorite

An 8-wallet common-funder cluster put $50k on Vitality, making this worth surfacing despite the wallet’s only modest standalone track record.

  • Eight wallets funded by the same source are tied to this $50k Vitality position.
  • The bet is large for the market, equal to about 18% of total volume.
  • The bettor paid 82¢ while the market is near 80¢, showing conviction in the favorite.

$50,000 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 62%

94% winner backing underdog cluster

A profitable 94% wallet and two other wallets put $8.4k on Natus Vincere, a 22¢ underdog, creating coordinated one-sided flow with a strong copy-trade signal.

  • A bettor who wins 94% of their resolved trades and is up $80k is backing Natus Vincere.
  • Three wallets put $8.4k on the same side, buying the 22¢ underdog against market favorite Vitality.
  • Entry around 21–23¢ implies they see a roughly 4.5x payout opportunity if Natus Vincere wins.

$8,436 on Natus Vincere

94% winner backing underdog

Sharp esports bettor with a 94% resolved win record and strong lifetime profit is buying the 23¢ underdog.

  • This bettor has won 30 of 32 resolved positions and is up $80K lifetime.
  • They are buying Natus Vincere at 23¢ despite the market pricing them as a 24% underdog.
  • Their past wins came at much tougher average odds, suggesting a real track record rather than just favorites.

$1,223 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0ef2...79f9 Outcome 57691498, $40,691 (62% win rate)
  2. 0xdc40...89cf Outcome 57691498, $35,000 (47% win rate)
  3. 0xa5ea...d96a Outcome 57691498, $34,385 (58% win rate)
  4. 0x1e8c...6323 Outcome 57691498, $24,000 (77% win rate)
  5. 0x9a8c...ba13 Outcome 57691498, $22,500 (68% win rate)
  6. 0xf070...ac55 Outcome 57691498, $22,222 (88% win rate)
  7. 0x7128...75a2 Outcome 57691498, $17,348
  8. 0xa35b...60e9 Outcome 57691498, $14,853 (46% win rate)
  9. 0xb4e7...6a52 Outcome 57691498, $14,141 (90% win rate)
  10. 0x1a47...235b Outcome 57691498, $10,044 (44% win rate)

Related Theses

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Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs$97,997 tracked11 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Natus Vincere and Vitality in the BLAST Rivals Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 3 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Vitality. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

9d ago

$1,472 on Vitality at 85¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

9d ago

$1,063 on Vitality at 63¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

9d ago

$17,361 on Vitality at 61¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

9d ago

$3,000 on Natus Vincere at 21¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

9d ago

$1,610 on Vitality at 80¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

9d ago

$4,341 on Vitality at 81¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

9d ago

$8,060 on Natus Vincere at 23¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

9d ago

$50,000 on Vitality at 82¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

10d ago

$8,436 on Natus Vincere at 22¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

10d ago

$1,223 on Natus Vincere at 23¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

10d ago

$1,431 on Natus Vincere at 22¢

Related Theses