Part of: Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $417,130.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Elite bettor's massive Falcons miss
A historically exceptional bettor and coordinated 38-wallet flow committed roughly $181,000 to Falcons, making this a highly notable but ultimately failed conviction trade.
- This bettor has won 98% of 590 resolved positions, with $9.4 million in lifetime profit and a 40-point edge over average entry odds.
- The wallet committed roughly $181,000 while 38 wallets bought Falcons for more than $209,000 combined, indicating unusually strong coordinated conviction.
- Falcons have since fallen to 0%, so this is more valuable as a study of a rare sharp-bettor miss than as a live copy opportunity.
$181,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 98%
94% bettor joins 38-wallet Falcons cluster
A highly profitable 94% bettor added to a large, coordinated 38-wallet Falcons position, making this a notable high-conviction trade despite the market moving against it.
- This bettor has won 94% of 279 resolved positions and earned about $520,000 in profit.
- Thirty-eight wallets bought Team Falcons for a combined $209,422, including wallets linked to the same funder.
- The trader added $1,016 at 70¢ to an existing $10,424 Falcons position, signaling unusually strong conviction.
$1,016 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 94%
16-wallet Falcons conviction cluster
A large, coordinated Falcons position includes several highly profitable bettors and preceded a sharp move from roughly 60% to 76%.
- 16 wallets committed $69,364 to Team Falcons, with entries mostly around 60–62%.
- Several participants have exceptional records, including 98% wins across 394 bets and 94% across 256 bets.
- Falcons rose to 76% after the buying, so the original edge is compelling but the market has already repriced.
$69,364 on Team Falcons
98% win-rate esports bettor buys Falcons
A highly profitable, 98% win-rate bettor deployed $60,000 on Team Falcons alongside a major event-wide position and a sharp volume surge.
- This bettor has won 581 of 590 resolved positions and is up $9.4 million.
- They concentrated $60,000 on Team Falcons while placing $166,000 across three markets in the same event.
- The market saw a 443x volume spike, and the position was entered around 62¢ with a tight spread.
$5,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 98%
98% win-rate esports bettor buys Falcons
A highly profitable, 98% win-rate bettor deployed $60,000 on Team Falcons alongside a major event-wide position and a sharp volume surge.
- This bettor has won 581 of 590 resolved positions and is up $9.4 million.
- They concentrated $60,000 on Team Falcons while placing $166,000 across three markets in the same event.
- The market saw a 443x volume spike, and the position was entered around 62¢ with a tight spread.
$60,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 98%
Sharp cluster backed Team Liquid
A large coordinated Team Liquid position was reinforced by multiple highly profitable bettors and preceded a 51-point price surge to resolution.
- 21 wallets committed nearly $100,000 to Team Liquid, with several trades entered around 37–40¢.
- Two participating bettors had 95% and 91% win rates with substantial lifetime profits.
- Team Liquid’s price rose 51 percentage points and ultimately resolved at 100%, confirming the coordinated thesis.
$99,616 on Team Liquid
Perfect-record bettor backs Falcons
A proven 21-0 bettor with a 51-point edge is adding to a Falcons position amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won all 21 resolved positions, entering at an average price of 49%.
- They are adding to an existing Falcons position with $1,134 at 63¢.
- Market volume is running 210x above its 24-hour average, reinforcing the directional signal.
$1,134 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Outcome 38490490, $122,822 (98% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 38490490, $46,666 (96% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 38490490, $31,231 (63% win rate)
- 0x2146...d41b — Outcome 38490490, $23,786 (64% win rate)
- 0xc44f...d49f — Outcome 38490490, $20,000 (78% win rate)
- 0x57b4...b46b — Outcome 38490490, $20,000 (93% win rate)
- 0x5a56...10f5 — Outcome 38490490, $17,758 (79% win rate)
- 0xd06c...cdaf — Outcome 38490490, $14,603 (91% win rate)
- 0xf201...527e — Outcome 38490490, $14,229 (70% win rate)
- 0x3413...8ff2 — Outcome 38490490, $14,000 (97% win rate)
