Part of: Argentina vs. Algeria
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $98,851.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
82% winner buying longshot
Sharp wallet with an 82% resolved win rate and positive P&L bought a low-priced Yes longshot amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $2.1K on $8.5K invested.
- They bought the draw at 4¢ while market volume spiked 43x above normal.
- Entry at 4¢ is a longshot bet with high upside if the market is mispriced.
$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
4-wallet funded cluster
Surfaced because a 4-wallet funded cluster is taking the same No side, though the market is liquid and the visible wallet has only modest historical edge.
- Four wallets tied to the same funder have been flagged around this position, suggesting coordinated conviction.
- The buyer put $8.8k on No at 86¢ in a very liquid soccer market.
- The wallet is profitable overall, up about $47k across $4.7M invested.
$8,772 on No | Wallet win rate: 49%
Perfect-record wallet joins draw cluster
Five wallets put $63k on Yes amid a 49x volume spike, including a bettor with a perfect 13-for-13 resolved record and $82k profit.
- A bettor who is 13-for-13 on resolved trades and up $82k joined the Yes side.
- Five wallets put $63k on the same outcome, with most of the money buying Yes at 24¢.
- Market volume spiked 49x versus normal activity, suggesting a sudden wave of conviction.
$63,284 on Yes
Five-wallet draw cluster
Five wallets put $18.7k on the draw at 14¢, backed by cross-market positioning and several profitable high-volume bettors.
- Five wallets all backed the same 14¢ outcome with $18.7k in combined exposure.
- The flow also spans 3 markets in this event, and the linked cross-market profile has won 76% of resolved bets.
- Several wallets in the cluster are profitable long-term, including one up $346k and another up $115k.
$18,696 on Yes
83% winning bettor
Surfaced via sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 83% record on 18 resolved bets with positive P&L and is buying No on a liquid soccer draw market.
- This bettor has won 15 of 18 resolved bets and is up $3.3K lifetime.
- Their past wins came at 67¢ on average, suggesting a meaningful edge beyond just backing heavy favorites.
- They bought No at 78¢, effectively betting Argentina vs. Algeria does not end in a draw.
$4,846 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
77% winner buying draw
Sharp wallet with a 77% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought the draw at 22%, making this a copy-worthy soccer position despite modest size.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved positions and is up $11,068 lifetime.
- Their past bets beat market odds by a wide margin: 77% wins at 46% average entry odds.
- Entry at 22¢ implies a potential 4.5x payout if Argentina vs. Algeria finishes level.
$1,753 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0x91ce...16ec — Outcome 72072713, $200,000 (54% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10044985, $138,295
- 0xb254...3115 — Outcome 72072713, $100,000
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 72072713, $74,085 (66% win rate)
- 0x8b2c...d7e6 — Outcome 72072713, $42,200 (100% win rate)
- 0xe43b...f955 — Outcome 72072713, $41,123 (82% win rate)
- 0xf031...c80c — Outcome 72072713, $39,885 (92% win rate)
- 0xf59d...8f85 — Outcome 10044985, $30,000
- 0x2117...5c26 — Outcome 72072713, $18,304 (45% win rate)
- 0xfed7...b06a — Outcome 72072713, $16,667 (52% win rate)
Related Theses
Austria and Jordan draw
Covers 1 related market
