Eight wallets put $46k on the same Yes side, including large No sells that are equivalent to buying Yes. A 6-day-old repeat bettor has already placed $47k across 9 flagged positions, suggesting a fresh high-conviction account. The cluster entered around 21¢ while Yes is now 14¢, making this a cheaper follow than their average entry.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $374,576 lifetime. They are a serial sports trader across 124 events with the same 94% hit rate. Entry at 84¢ suggests they see South Africa not winning as highly likely.

Part of: South Africa vs. Canada

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?

16 smart money signals detected, totaling $156,596.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

80% serial winner buying No

Surface because a high-volume serial cross-market bettor with an 80% record and positive lifetime P&L bought No despite an already liquid market.

This bettor has won 80% of 920 resolved trades and is up about $27.9K lifetime.
They are a major serial trader across 419 events with $2.8M deployed, so the wallet’s pattern is the signal.
Market volume is spiking nearly 20x ahead of the match while they entered No at 82¢.

$7,689 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

8-wallet Yes cluster

High-score cluster: 8 wallets put $46k on South Africa Yes, backed by a repeat new-wallet signal and cross-market activity despite weak records for several wallets.

Eight wallets put $46k on the same Yes side, including large No sells that are equivalent to buying Yes.
A 6-day-old repeat bettor has already placed $47k across 9 flagged positions, suggesting a fresh high-conviction account.
The cluster entered around 21¢ while Yes is now 14¢, making this a cheaper follow than their average entry.

$56,709 on Yes

Sharp cluster buying underdog

Seven wallets, including multiple highly profitable sports bettors, are buying South Africa Yes around 21–23¢ amid a 33.8x pre-event volume spike.

Several proven bettors are on the same side, including one up $1.5M with an 89% record and another winning 98% of 63 resolved bets.
Seven wallets bought the same outcome for $33k, with the biggest trades effectively adding Yes at 21–22¢.
Market volume is surging 33.8x above normal and the Yes price is already up 5 points in the last day.

$33,129 on Yes

Elite 93% winner buys underdog

Sharp profitable sports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and $2.46M lifetime profit bought South Africa Yes at 17¢.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $2.46M lifetime.
They bought South Africa at 17¢, taking a contrarian underdog position.
The market is very liquid, so the edge comes from the wallet’s strong track record rather than market impact.

$2,085 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

94% sharp buys No

Elite sports bettor with a 94% win rate and $374k lifetime profit bought South Africa No at 84¢ amid a major pre-game volume spike.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $374,576 lifetime.
They are a serial sports trader across 124 events with the same 94% hit rate.
Entry at 84¢ suggests they see South Africa not winning as highly likely.

$2,016 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

Elite 88% sports bettor

Elite sports bettor with an 88% win rate and nearly $1M profit bought $6.7k of No on a high-volume South Africa win market amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $965k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 255 events with the same 88% hit rate.
A $6.7k buy at 84¢ backs No, while market volume spiked 83x before the game.

$6,720 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Experienced profitable cross-market bettor bought No at 84¢ amid a large pre-game volume spike, though the position is modest relative to market liquidity.

This bettor has a long track record: 1,427 resolved trades, 58% winners, and $39k profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 204 events with $428k tracked in similar positioning.
The bet came during an 83x pre-game volume spike, suggesting broader market attention on the same matchup.

$2,352 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%

93% winner buys No

Sharp sports bettor with a 93% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought No at 84% amid a large pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $229,853 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market sports trader across 100 events with the same 93% win rate.
Market volume is spiking 47x above normal before kickoff, and this sharp wallet is backing South Africa not to win.

$2,688 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%

Perfect-record sports bettor

Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 73-0 resolved record with positive lifetime P&L and is buying No on South Africa at 85¢.

This bettor has won 73 of 73 resolved bets and is up $13.8K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 51 events with a perfect resolved record.
Buying No at 85¢ shows confidence South Africa does not win in regulation.

$1,700 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

89% cross-market winner

Sharp-wallet override: a serial cross-market trader with an 89% record over 265 resolved bets is buying No at 85¢ despite only a moderate alert score.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets across 265 markets and is profitable lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 25 events and $70,939 in tracked related bets.
The trade backs the heavy favorite side at 85¢, suggesting a high-confidence position rather than a long-shot punt.

$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 40789634, $465,103 (51% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 56933877, $296,528
0xce80...9a82 — Outcome 40789634, $99,125 (68% win rate)
0xf031...c80c — Outcome 40789634, $74,338 (91% win rate)
0x1a7b...0d1c — Outcome 40789634, $67,645 (39% win rate)
0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 40789634, $49,946 (71% win rate)
0xfa21...1438 — Outcome 40789634, $28,378 (86% win rate)
0xa3e1...97bc — Outcome 40789634, $11,111
0x8a38...513a — Outcome 40789634, $10,375 (14% win rate)
0x8a79...b1a8 — Outcome 40789634, $10,000 (77% win rate)

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Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?

ResolvedSouth Africa vs. Canada$156,596 tracked16 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 28, 2026 If South Africa wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No”