Part of: US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Elena Rybakina. This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $258,670.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor adds to Sabalenka
A highly profitable bettor with 2,703 resolved trades and an 81% win rate is adding $33,930 to an existing Sabalenka position at 58%.
- This bettor has won 81% of 2,703 resolved trades and is up $6.3 million.
- The $33,930 purchase adds to an existing $58,500 Sabalenka position, signaling sustained conviction.
- Sabalenka is being bought at 58%, with the market currently pricing her near 57%.
$5,647 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 81%
Elite tennis bettor backs Rybakina
A highly profitable, extensively tracked bettor with an 87% win rate and substantial edge bought Elena Rybakina at 43%.
- This bettor wins 87% of 455 resolved positions and is up $2.75 million.
- The wallet has historically bought at an average 46% price while winning 87% of bets, indicating a substantial edge.
- A fresh $1,935 position backs Elena Rybakina at 43% in a liquid market with a tight 1-point spread.
$1,974 on Elena Rybakina | Wallet win rate: 87%
Five-wallet Rybakina conviction cluster
Five wallets committed $112,286 to Rybakina, including a 95% winner with meaningful prior exposure, creating a notable one-sided conviction signal despite some opposing flow.
- Five wallets bought Rybakina for a combined $112,286, far outweighing the $14,424 committed to Sabalenka.
- One buyer has won 95% of 19 resolved bets and added $42,000 at 70¢.
- The market has moved sharply to 66% for Rybakina, while several wallets are adding to existing positions rather than making isolated bets.
$112,467 on Elena Rybakina
Sharp bettor scales into Sabalenka
A proven bettor with an 83% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Sabalenka position at 57%.
- This bettor wins 83% of trades (30 of 36) and is up $21,814 lifetime.
- They are adding $1,200 to an existing Sabalenka position at 57%, signaling continued conviction.
- The 46% average entry price versus an 83% win rate indicates a strong historical edge.
$1,200 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 84%
Sharp bettor scales into Sabalenka
A proven bettor with an 83% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Sabalenka position at 57%.
- This bettor wins 83% of trades (30 of 36) and is up $21,814 lifetime.
- They are adding $1,200 to an existing Sabalenka position at 57%, signaling continued conviction.
- The 46% average entry price versus an 83% win rate indicates a strong historical edge.
$1,200 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 84%
Sharp bettors backing Sabalenka
An $51.5K one-sided Sabalenka cluster includes a highly profitable bettor with an 85% win rate and the flow coincided with a sharp price move.
- Eight wallets committed $51,521 to Sabalenka, while a $25,200 Rybakina sell is equivalent to buying Sabalenka.
- One participating bettor wins 85% of 721 resolved bets, is up $450,722, and buys at an average 55% price.
- The coordinated flow coincided with a 19-point Sabalenka price jump and a 16.6x volume spike.
$95,486 on Aryna Sabalenka
Sharp bettor adds to Sabalenka
A highly profitable bettor with 2,703 resolved trades and an 81% win rate is adding $33,930 to an existing Sabalenka position at 58%.
- This bettor has won 81% of 2,703 resolved trades and is up $6.3 million.
- The $33,930 purchase adds to an existing $58,500 Sabalenka position, signaling sustained conviction.
- Sabalenka is being bought at 58%, with the market currently pricing her near 57%.
$33,930 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 81%
87% winner scaling into Rybakina
A highly profitable serial trader with an 87% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an Elena Rybakina position at 43 cents.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $135,625 lifetime.
- They are adding $4,831 to an existing Rybakina position at 43¢, signaling increased conviction.
- The 41% average entry price across 62 resolved bets compares favorably with the 87% win rate.
$4,831 on Elena Rybakina | Wallet win rate: 87%
Elite tennis bettor backs Rybakina
A highly profitable, extensively tracked bettor with an 87% win rate and substantial edge bought Elena Rybakina at 43%.
- This bettor wins 87% of 455 resolved positions and is up $2.75 million.
- The wallet has historically bought at an average 46% price while winning 87% of bets, indicating a substantial edge.
- A fresh $1,935 position backs Elena Rybakina at 43% in a liquid market with a tight 1-point spread.
$1,935 on Elena Rybakina | Wallet win rate: 87%
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