Part of: Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D
Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $227,839.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Four-wallet contrarian magic bet
Four wallets coordinated roughly $80,000 of contrarian buys on magic during a 128.7x volume spike, though the main bettor was averaging down from a large existing position and has a mixed record.
- Four wallets bought magic for about $80,000 as its price fell to 20%, signaling coordinated contrarian conviction.
- The market saw a 128.7x historical volume spike, making this more notable than an isolated whale trade.
- The lead wallet is adding to a $242,000 magic position and is up $2.47 million lifetime, but its 48% win rate makes this a high-risk signal.
$70,675 on magic | Wallet win rate: 47%
Elite serial bettor backs TheMongolz
A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and 23-point edge bought TheMongolz amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 82% of 1,536 resolved trades and is up $4.45 million.
- The $1,400 purchase of TheMongolz came during a 26.3x surge in market activity.
- The entry at 56¢ implies this proven trader sees meaningful value despite the match being a liquid, heavily traded market.
$1,400 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 82%
95% winner scales into TheMongolz
Three wallets committed $37.4K to TheMongolz, including a 95% historical winner adding to an existing position, alongside a major volume spike.
- A bettor with a 95% win rate across 176 resolved positions bought $15,192 at 55¢ and is adding to an existing position.
- Three wallets committed $37,395 to TheMongolz at 55–56¢, while market activity surged to 32 times its historical average.
- The position aligns with the current 56% market price, but the coordinated buying and elite track record indicate meaningful conviction.
$37,395 on TheMongolz
81-0 sharp scaling into magic
A proven 81-0 bettor with a substantial historical edge is adding to an existing magic position during a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won all 81 resolved positions, earning $181,958 while buying at an average price of 43%.
- They are adding $2,700 to an existing $6,000 magic position at 45%, signaling increased conviction.
- The market saw a 32.4x historical volume spike, providing additional confirmation of unusually strong activity.
$2,700 on magic | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp cluster backing magic
A high-volume one-sided magic cluster includes a bettor with an 87% win rate and substantial coordinated buying, despite significant opposing flow and the market moving below most entries.
- Five wallets bought $88,196 of magic, including a bettor with an 87% win rate across 67 resolved positions.
- The market saw a 317x volume spike and a sharp 27-point move toward magic, signaling unusually concentrated conviction.
- The main buyer already held a large magic position, while three wallets also bought TheMongolz, so the signal is strong but contested.
$93,583 on magic
Elite 95% win-rate bettor backs magic
A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial positive edge is making a fresh $1,507 purchase of magic at 47%.
- This bettor has won 95% of 1,635 resolved positions and is up nearly $779,000.
- Their results indicate a strong edge over the average price paid, making this fresh 47¢ magic position notable.
- The $1,507 trade backs magic despite the market pricing them as a 46% underdog.
$1,507 on magic | Wallet win rate: 94%
98% win-rate esports specialist
A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate and substantial implied edge placed an $8,792 fresh bet on TheMongolz.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved positions—93 of 95—and is up $1.35 million.
- The wallet has traded 62 markets across 59 events, showing a repeatable cross-market record rather than a one-off bet.
- It placed $8,792 on TheMongolz at 53%, making this a concentrated position in a near-evenly priced match.
$8,792 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 98%
Profitable serial trader adds to TheMongolz
A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with a 72% win rate and $683,676 profit is adding $11,787 to an existing TheMongolz position at 53%.
- This bettor wins 72% of 3,012 resolved bets and is up $683,676 lifetime.
- They added $11,787 to an existing $22,240 TheMongolz position, signaling increased conviction.
- The trader has positioned across 92 events and 102 markets, making this more credible than a one-off bet.
$11,787 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0xf559...f462 — Outcome 71132722, $21,277 (91% win rate)
- 0xeac2...dddc — Outcome 71132722, $14,516 (70% win rate)
- 0x6b97...8d30 — Outcome 71132722, $7,500 (86% win rate)
- 0xda34...01a8 — Outcome 71132722, $6,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x8cbf...0eb4 — Outcome 71132722, $5,275 (74% win rate)
- 0xdcaf...e271 — Outcome 71132722, $5,000 (58% win rate)
- 0x8adb...e4f6 — Outcome 71132722, $4,500 (72% win rate)
- 0x7645...3117 — Outcome 71132722, $4,000 (51% win rate)
- 0xdbaf...f5d1 — Outcome 71132722, $3,994 (92% win rate)
- 0x21b7...c861 — Outcome 71132722, $3,500 (40% win rate)
Related Theses
FUT wins in three maps
Covers 3 related markets
FUT sweeps EDward Gaming
Covers 3 related markets
Monte beats paiN
Covers 4 related markets
Team Liquid beats Spirit
Covers 3 related markets
G2 sweeps BIG
Covers 3 related markets
TYLOO sweeps 9z
Covers 3 related markets
FUT wins in three maps
Covers 4 related markets
Falcons sweep G2 convincingly
Covers 4 related markets
Spirit sweeps Natus Vincere
Covers 3 related markets
B8 and Mongolz split maps
Covers 3 related markets
