Part of: Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

20 smart money signals detected, totaling $51,867.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Serial esports winner

Serial cross-market esports bettor with a strong 219-market track record is effectively adding to Aurora at 82¢ by selling PARIVISION.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 219 resolved bets and is up $64.5K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 79 events with $651K in similar activity.
  • Selling PARIVISION at 18¢ is effectively buying Aurora at 82¢, matching the market favorite.

$1,009 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 66%

80% serial esports trader

Serial cross-market trader with an 80% record and positive lifetime P&L is effectively backing Aurora by selling PARIVISION, despite this being a relatively modest single trade.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $22.7k lifetime.
  • They have traded 266 markets across 187 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
  • Selling PARIVISION at 30¢ is equivalent to backing Aurora at 70¢, now trading around 84¢.

$1,335 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable serial esports trader

A profitable serial cross-market esports trader bought PARIVISION at 36%, but the signal is modest and the price has moved against them to 27%.

  • This bettor has a large track record: 676 resolved bets, 57% winners, and about $72k profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 49 events, suggesting a repeatable strategy rather than a one-off bet.
  • The entry was 36¢ on PARIVISION, though the market has since moved down to 27¢.

$1,500 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 58%

80% winner flips sides

Serial cross-market esports trader with an 80% resolved win rate flipped from Aurora into PARIVISION, though the entry has moved against them.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades across 327 markets and is up $23,038 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.33M deployed across 187 events.
  • They closed an Aurora position and bought PARIVISION at 37¢, signaling a side flip despite the market now sitting near 32¢.

$1,637 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 80%

80% serial esports trader

Serial cross-market bettor with an 80% record is effectively taking PARIVISION at 26¢ by selling Aurora, though this may partly be profit-taking from an earlier Aurora position.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades across 327 markets and is up $23K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.3M deployed across 187 events.
  • Selling Aurora at 74¢ converts to buying PARIVISION at 26¢, though they previously held Aurora from 52¢.

$3,289 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 80%

Proven esports cross-market sharp

Surfaced because this is a highly experienced cross-market sports/esports trader with a strong positive track record, despite the position moving against them since entry.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 63% wins across 562 resolved bets and +$477k lifetime profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with nearly $962k traded across 266 related markets.
  • The 43¢ entry implies they saw PARIVISION as materially undervalued, though the market has since moved down to 34¢.

$3,728 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 65%

87% winner buying underdog

Sharp esports bettor with an 87% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought PARIVISION at 49¢ despite only a modest alert score.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $52.8K lifetime.
  • They have a large 101-bet track record, beating typical odds by about 28 points.
  • Entry at 49¢ suggests they see PARIVISION as better than a coin flip.

$1,104 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable serial esports trader

A high-volume serial cross-market esports trader with nearly $200k lifetime profit is taking a fresh $4.5k position on PARIVISION at 48¢.

  • This bettor is up about $199k lifetime across 768 resolved bets.
  • They have traded 42 markets across 38 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
  • Entry at 48¢ implies they see PARIVISION as better than a coin flip despite the market pricing Aurora slightly ahead.

$4,462 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 57%

87% esports sharp

Sharp wallet override: this trader has an 87% record over 101 resolved bets with strong positive P&L and is buying PARIVISION at 48%.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $52.8K lifetime.
  • They have beaten market odds by a wide margin, winning at prices that averaged around 59%.
  • Entry at 48¢ makes this a near-even-money copy of a proven bettor’s PARIVISION position.

$1,200 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 90%

80% esports serial trader

Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 80% win rate is buying Aurora Gaming amid a large pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades across 327 markets and is up $22K lifetime.
  • They are a major serial cross-market trader, with $1.3M deployed across 186 events.
  • Market volume is running 23.5x above normal, adding momentum to the Aurora Gaming buy.

$2,311 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdd88...dadb Outcome 31085505, $22,677 (59% win rate)
  2. 0x0352...86b0 Outcome 31085505, $11,920 (84% win rate)
  3. 0xa69d...509b Outcome 31085505, $10,200 (59% win rate)
  4. 0x28e9...1ffa Outcome 31085505, $4,457
  5. 0xef26...05ba Outcome 31085505, $4,312 (73% win rate)
  6. 0x3763...345f Outcome 31085505, $4,191 (58% win rate)
  7. 0x835b...6f16 Outcome 31085505, $3,848 (36% win rate)
  8. 0xcc6e...fa6f Outcome 31085505, $3,191 (45% win rate)
  9. 0xc44f...d49f Outcome 31085505, $2,954 (68% win rate)
  10. 0xf394...cdb1 Outcome 31085505, $2,949 (44% win rate)

Related Theses

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Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

ResolvedCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$51,867 tracked20 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between PARIVISION and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2d ago

$1,009 on Aurora Gaming at 82¢

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2d ago

$1,335 on Aurora Gaming at 70¢

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2d ago

$1,500 on PARIVISION at 36¢

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2d ago

$1,637 on PARIVISION at 37¢

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2d ago

$3,289 on PARIVISION at 26¢

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2d ago

$3,728 on PARIVISION at 43¢

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2d ago

$1,104 on PARIVISION at 49¢

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2d ago

$4,462 on PARIVISION at 48¢

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2d ago

$1,200 on PARIVISION at 48¢

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2d ago

$2,311 on Aurora Gaming at 52¢

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2d ago

$6,972 on PARIVISION at 48¢

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2d ago

$1,163 on Aurora Gaming at 53¢

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2d ago

$5,615 on Aurora Gaming at 53¢

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2d ago

$1,117 on PARIVISION at 48¢

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2d ago

$1,007 on Aurora Gaming at 53¢

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2d ago

$3,178 on PARIVISION at 47¢

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2d ago

$4,794 on PARIVISION at 47¢

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2d ago

$1,964 on PARIVISION at 47¢

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2d ago

$2,027 on PARIVISION at 47¢

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2d ago

$2,455 on PARIVISION at 47¢

Related Theses