Part of: Ethereum Up or Down on May 30?
Ethereum Up or Down on May 30?
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT May 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 30 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT May 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 30 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,641.
Categories: Up or Down, Daily, Crypto Prices, Ethereum, Today 🚀, Crypto, Recurring, Daily-Close
Notable Trades
Profitable serial timer
Profitable serial near-resolution trader bought Down 38 minutes before close and the market has already moved from 77¢ to 85¢.
- This bettor is up $225,832 lifetime and has made 40 near-resolution bets across 15 markets.
- They bought Down at 77¢ just 38 minutes before resolution, and it has already moved to 85¢.
- The market is thin with only $1,307 liquidity, so a $1,217 entry is a meaningful conviction bet.
$1,217 on Down | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial crypto bettor
Serial cross-market trader with a large profitable history bought Down at 85¢ and the market has already moved to 94¢ in their favor.
- This bettor has 4,643 resolved trades and is up $231K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 142 events, with 67% of resolved bets winning.
- Bought Down at 85¢ and the market has already moved to 94¢.
$1,647 on Down | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial crypto bettor
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader is buying Down, but the edge signal is moderate because this is a short-priced favorite and the bet size is not especially large for the market.
- This bettor has a long record across 4,643 resolved trades and is up about $231K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 142 events with $776K in flagged flow.
- Buying Down at 84¢ means they are backing the already favored side, with limited upside but clear directional conviction.
$1,957 on Down | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
Profitable, high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Down in a relatively quiet ETH market, though the sizing is moderate and entry is near current odds.
- This bettor is up $576k across 1,598 resolved markets.
- They have a long cross-market history: 71 events and $823k in flagged related trades.
- The $1.4k Down buy is meaningful for a quiet ETH market with only about $7.2k total volume.
$1,440 on Down | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable serial trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Down in a moderately quiet ETH market, but the bet size and signal strength are modest.
- This bettor has a long record: 4,620 resolved bets and $234K in lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $773K tracked across 140 events.
- Bought Down at 78¢, implying a relatively high-confidence view before tomorrow’s ETH close.
$1,379 on Down | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0xbf8d...80c8 — Up, $5,779 (68% win rate)
- 0x06ab...c964 — Up, $1,121
- 0x102f...7a56 — Up, $950 (71% win rate)
- 0xe9c6...95c9 — Up, $658 (54% win rate)
- 0xa12f...e012 — Up, $495
- 0x1f39...921f — Up, $458
- 0xc800...4117 — Up, $249 (71% win rate)
- 0x3b32...64d0 — Up, $125
- 0xb39c...1315 — Up, $113
- 0x3329...43a6 — Up, $100
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