Part of: LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

This prediction market covers the LPL Group Ascend League of Legends best-of-three match between Weibo Gaming and JD Gaming, scheduled for May 14 at 7:00 AM ET. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter is tracking $6,268 in smart money and 1 smart money signal, including sharp esports activity backing JD Gaming.

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 14 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,217.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial bettor

Serial cross-market esports bettor with huge lifetime profits is taking a $6.3k underdog position despite only a modest alert score.

  • This bettor is up $9.6M lifetime across over 1,200 resolved markets.
  • They have traded 334 related events and 490 markets, showing deep cross-market activity.
  • They bought Weibo at 32¢, an underdog price that implies about a 3.1x payout if right.

$6,268 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 58%

Elite 92% sports bettor

Surface: a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate bought JD Gaming at 69¢.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 347 events with over $4.0M in tracked volume.
  • Buying JD Gaming at 69¢ suggests confidence despite the market already pricing JD as the favorite.

$2,070 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 92%

Elite esports winners cluster

Three wallets bought JD Gaming together, led by an exceptionally profitable bettor with a 95% record and $432k lifetime profit plus another strong 94% winner.

  • The lead bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $432k lifetime.
  • A second wallet has won 15 of 16 resolved bets and is up $13k.
  • Three wallets bought the same side for $6.3k, entering around 67–69¢ on JD Gaming.

$6,325 on JD Gaming

95% winner backs JD

Elite cross-market esports bettor with a 95% win rate and $432k profit bought JD Gaming at 67¢.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $432,783 lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market record: 141 events and $408,927 traded with the same 95% hit rate.
  • Entry at 67¢ implies they still see value despite JD already being the favorite.

$3,333 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 95%

94% winner backing favorite

Sharp wallet with a 94% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought JD Gaming at 67¢, making the wallet track record the main signal despite modest trade size.

  • This bettor has won 15 of 16 resolved positions and is up $13.2K lifetime.
  • They bought JD Gaming at 67¢, close to the current 68% market price.
  • Their past wins came at much lower average odds, suggesting real edge rather than just buying heavy favorites.

$1,353 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial bettor

Profitable high-volume serial bettor is backing JD Gaming with a fresh $3.35k buy, supported by a strong long-term P&L record.

  • This bettor is up about $497k lifetime across 431 resolved markets.
  • They have traded 251 events and over $1.9M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports process.
  • They bought JD Gaming at 67¢, backing the favorite in a liquid market.

$3,350 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 62%

88% winner esports sharp

Sharp esports bettor with an 88% win rate and strong cross-market track record bought $3,000 of JD Gaming at 68%.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $43.5K lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market record: 35 events, $96K traded, and an 88% win rate.
  • They put $3,000 on JD Gaming at 68¢, above the current 66¢ market price.

$3,000 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Serial cross-market esports bettor with a long profitable record is buying JD Gaming at 66% despite only moderate alert strength.

  • This bettor has won 61% of 431 resolved bets and is up about $497k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with nearly $1.9M tracked across 249 events.
  • A $1.5k buy at 66¢ signals confidence in JD Gaming as the favorite.

$1,518 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 62%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ea...d96a Weibo Gaming, $20,643 (58% win rate)
  2. 0x4337...8882 Weibo Gaming, $18,219 (76% win rate)
  3. 0x9770...0ff5 JD Gaming, $9,092 (62% win rate)
  4. 0xa7df...5eee JD Gaming, $7,500 (49% win rate)
  5. 0x8e8c...65dd JD Gaming, $6,042 (47% win rate)
  6. 0x52a6...ab62 Weibo Gaming, $5,906 (70% win rate)
  7. 0xf7c2...9b8d JD Gaming, $5,663 (95% win rate)
  8. 0xef26...05ba Weibo Gaming, $5,001 (73% win rate)
  9. 0x34a5...9450 JD Gaming, $4,407 (88% win rate)
  10. 0x7dce...c58e JD Gaming, $4,184 (61% win rate)

Related Theses

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LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

3hLoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$27,217 tracked8 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
Weibo Gaming
33¢
JD Gaming
68¢

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 14 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “JD Gaming
70¢
59¢
48¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

11h ago

$6,268 on Weibo Gaming at 32¢

32¢33¢1¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

19h ago

$2,070 on JD Gaming at 69¢

69¢68¢1¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

21h ago

$6,325 on JD Gaming at 67¢

67¢68¢1¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

21h ago

$3,333 on JD Gaming at 67¢

67¢68¢1¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

21h ago

$1,353 on JD Gaming at 67¢

67¢68¢1¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

23h ago

$3,350 on JD Gaming at 67¢

67¢68¢1¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

1d ago

$3,000 on JD Gaming at 68¢

68¢68¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

1d ago

$1,518 on JD Gaming at 66¢

66¢68¢2¢

Related Theses