Part of: LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
This prediction market covers the League of Legends LPL Group Ascend best-of-three match between Weibo Gaming and JD Gaming, scheduled for May 14 at 7:00AM ET. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter is tracking $3,660 in smart money and 1 smart money signal, including recent sharp activity around underdog and favorite positioning.
This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 14 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
24 smart money signals detected, totaling $122,048.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial bettor cluster
Four wallets pushed the same JD Gaming side, led by a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 77% win rate and $260k lifetime profit, alongside a fast 12-point price move.
- A bettor with a 77% win rate and $260k profit is buying JD Gaming here.
- Four wallets put $8.7k on the same side, and JD Gaming moved from about 54¢ to 66¢ in minutes.
- The lead trader has bet across 290 events with $5.0M in volume, suggesting this is a repeat specialist rather than a one-off wager.
$8,652 on JD Gaming
77% serial esports sharp
Proven 77% win-rate cross-market bettor bought JD Gaming at 63¢, with the trade contributing to a rapid 12-point upward move.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $257k lifetime across more than $5.4M invested.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 289 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
- The JD Gaming price moved up 12 points in under 4 minutes, and this buy came near 63¢ before current odds reached 64%.
$3,660 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable serial esports trader
Experienced cross-market esports trader with positive lifetime P&L is fading JD after a sharp upward move, effectively buying Weibo at 39¢.
- This active cross-market bettor is up $50.9k lifetime across 643 resolved trades.
- They have traded 96 related events and 118 markets, suggesting a specialized event-driven strategy.
- Selling JD at 61¢ is equivalent to buying Weibo at 39¢ after JD’s price jumped 12 points in under 4 minutes.
$1,813 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable esports power bettor
Serial high-volume cross-market trader with a long profitable record is buying Weibo despite recent downside momentum, making the wallet track record the key signal.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 1,298 resolved bets, 58% wins, and about $10.0M lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 339 events with $14.6M tracked in similar activity.
- They bought Weibo at 63¢ after heavy event-level positioning, implying conviction even though the market has slipped to 58¢.
$1,540 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable serial whale
Serial cross-market esports whale with massive lifetime profit is adding Weibo exposure amid a large pre-event volume spike and strong price momentum.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 1,298 resolved bets, 58% wins, and about $10.0M lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $14.5M across 339 events, and have $287K positioned across this event.
- Market activity is surging, with volume 32.7x above normal and Weibo’s price up 29 points in the last day.
$4,211 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 58%
Fresh wallet joins momentum
A brand-new wallet bought Weibo amid a large pre-match volume surge and a 29-point price move, though the wallet has no track record yet.
- A brand-new wallet put $3,000 on Weibo within minutes of being created.
- The market has seen a 32.7x volume spike and Weibo’s price is up 29 points in the last day.
- Entry at 62¢ came just below the current 64¢ market price.
$3,000 on Weibo Gaming
88% sharp esports bettor
Sharp esports bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and strong cross-market track record bought JD Gaming at 42% despite market odds around 40%.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $43.5K lifetime.
- They have a strong serial cross-market record across 36 events with $99K traded.
- Entry at 42¢ implies they see JD Gaming as underpriced despite Weibo’s recent 26-point move.
$2,000 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 88%
98% winner buying favorite
Sharp esports bettor with a 98% record and strong lifetime profit bought JD Gaming before the price moved from 66¢ to 76¢.
- This bettor has won 45 of 46 resolved bets and is up $101k lifetime.
- They bought JD Gaming at 66¢, and the market has already moved to 76¢.
- A linked-wallet signal adds support, with this funder cluster seen in prior runs.
$2,167 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 98%
Sharp cluster buying underdog
High-scoring esports cluster with three wallets buying Weibo, including two strong winning bettors and a serial cross-market trader, now available below their entry prices.
- Two bettors in this cluster win 93% and 81% of resolved trades and are up about $306K combined.
- Three wallets bought the same underdog for $5.8K, with two wallets linked to the same funder.
- They paid 33–37¢ for Weibo, while the market now offers the same side around 24–25¢.
$5,821 on Weibo Gaming
81% winner backing favorite
Sharp wallet with an 81% resolved win rate and +$100k P&L bought JD Gaming amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $100k lifetime.
- They put $3.4k on JD Gaming at 68¢, showing conviction despite the market now sitting near 65¢.
- Market volume is surging 170x above its historical average before the match.
$3,382 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Weibo Gaming, $304,317 (58% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Weibo Gaming, $35,141 (87% win rate)
- 0xc44f...d49f — JD Gaming, $34,134 (69% win rate)
- 0x40ea...832f — JD Gaming, $25,000 (35% win rate)
- 0xef27...381b — JD Gaming, $24,638 (41% win rate)
- 0x6bac...6fb7 — JD Gaming, $19,000 (95% win rate)
- 0x6918...782b — JD Gaming, $16,377 (67% win rate)
- 0xa2e4...bf9d — JD Gaming, $15,974 (58% win rate)
- 0x4337...8882 — Weibo Gaming, $15,460 (76% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — JD Gaming, $15,300 (80% win rate)
