Part of: FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC

Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $65,589.

Notable Trades

3-wallet anti-Porto cluster

Three wallets aligned on FC Porto 'No,' led by a high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-term record, and the market has already moved several cents in their favor.

Three wallets piled into No for $6.5k, including one bettor who has won 65% of 2,348 resolved trades and made nearly $398k.
The bets hit at 60-67¢ and No now trades at 68¢, so the market moved their way quickly.
This same flow shows up across 31 related markets and 25 events, suggesting a repeatable event-trading approach rather than a one-off bet.

$6,504 on No

91% win-rate serial timer

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 91% win rate and $2.69M profit bought FC Porto Yes at 48¢ just 2 minutes before resolution, matching a strong serial last-minute betting pattern.

This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up $2.69M across 291 resolved positions
They bought 3 times at 48¢ just 2 minutes before resolution, a pattern this wallet has repeated across 7 markets
Entry at 48¢ suggests they saw FC Porto as better than a coin flip right before the final whistle

$6,237 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%

Serial timer with 91% wins

A highly profitable live-sports bettor with a 91% win rate made a $4.8k near-resolution bet on FC Porto just 3.7 minutes before close, matching a proven last-minute betting pattern.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $2.69M lifetime.
They bought FC Porto at 48¢ just 3.7 minutes before resolution, a pattern they have repeated across 7 markets.
The market is deep and liquid, so this stands out more for the bettor’s proven edge and timing than for market impact.

$4,820 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%

89% win-rate soccer bettor

A small but credible sharp-bettor signal: a wallet with an 89% win rate bought No into a major pre-match volume spike at 53¢ on a liquid soccer market.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up about $45k across 19 settled markets
They bought No at 53¢ during a 19x pre-match volume surge, suggesting they see FC Porto as overpriced
The bet is modest versus market liquidity, but the track record makes this flow worth monitoring

$3,950 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

8-wallet linked buy cluster

An 8-wallet coordinated buy cluster hit FC Porto Yes during a major pre-match volume spike, and this wallet is a high-volume bettor with a solid 63% win rate across 4,285 resolved trades.

8 wallets piled into the same side for $32.8k, and 2 of them share a funder
This wallet has a 63% win rate over 4,285 resolved bets and is up $122.8k lifetime
Market volume is running 28.9x above normal, suggesting strong pre-match positioning

$1,759 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%

8-wallet linked buyer cluster

An 8-wallet one-sided cluster with linked funding bought Yes into a major pre-game volume spike, and this wallet is a proven profitable high-volume sports trader.

8 wallets all bought the same side for $32.8k, and 2 of them share a funder
This wallet has 543 resolved bets, wins 57% of them, and is up $52.5k
They bought at 45¢ while the market now sits around 46-47¢ during a 28.9x pre-game volume surge

$1,759 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 55%

Sharp bettor in 8-wallet cluster

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 90% win rate joined an 8-wallet linked cluster all buying Yes into a major pre-match volume spike, making this coordinated flow worth following despite the modest single-ticket size.

This bettor wins 90% of their trades and is up about $24k on nearly $89k invested
8 wallets all bought the same side for $32.8k total, and 2 of them share a funder
They bought Yes at 45¢ while the market now sits around 46-47¢ during a 28.9x pre-match volume surge

$1,967 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

3-wallet sharp No cluster

Three wallets piled into No around 59-61¢ before the market moved to 78¢, including one large proven winner and a serial cross-market bettor, making this coordinated move worth surfacing despite one weaker wallet in the cluster.

Three wallets bought No in a tight burst at 59-61¢, and the market is now 78¢.
One wallet wins 65% of 2,348 resolved bets and is up nearly $398k lifetime.
This group shows a repeat cross-market pattern across 25 events and 31 markets, suggesting a bettor with a consistent event-level thesis.

$7,978 on No

91% serial timer cluster

A high-scoring coordinated live-sports buy cluster is worth surfacing because it includes an elite 91% win-rate serial timer betting minutes before resolution alongside a sharp cross-market pattern and strong market momentum.

A bettor who wins 91% of trades and is up $2.69M joined this buy just 2 minutes before resolution.
6 wallets bought the same side for $15.6k as the market had a 12.8x volume spike and Yes jumped about 25 points.
Several buys hit around 48-50¢, which is a much better copy level than the late 72-73¢ prints.

$15,600 on Yes

93% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 93% win rate and strong edge is buying No at 56¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $115.8k on $238.7k invested
They have kept that record across 129 events, so this is a repeatable pattern rather than a one-off hit
Buying No at 56¢ means they likely see Porto's true win odds as meaningfully below 44%

$1,557 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 94536416, $40,755 (64% win rate)
0xe0a2...40d5 — Outcome 94536416, $29,314 (91% win rate)
0xed8f...5aa7 — Outcome 94536416, $12,399 (87% win rate)
0x1aa2...30cc — Outcome 94536416, $10,260 (91% win rate)
0xa85b...eb0e — Outcome 94536416, $10,217 (89% win rate)
0x0c84...a8ed — Outcome 94536416, $10,011 (94% win rate)
0xab10...9905 — Outcome 94536416, $9,834
0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 94536416, $9,444 (64% win rate)
0x525e...0b73 — Outcome 94536416, $9,432
0xf059...6dd9 — Outcome 94536416, $8,585 (95% win rate)

Related Theses

Celtic fail to win

Covers 1 related market

Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?

ResolvedFC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC$65,589 tracked13 signalsSportsGamesSoccerUEL

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 9, 2026 If FC Porto wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.