Part of: World Cup Winner
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $460,954.
Categories: Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Tournament Futures
Notable Trades
New wallet World Cup thesis
New 8-day wallet is repeatedly building World Cup positions, including a $3k England Yes buy, but without a resolved track record and in a very liquid market this is mainly a thesis-follow signal rather than proven sharp action.
- This 8-day-old wallet has now made 6 flagged large bets totaling $26.4k.
- The bettor is spreading a World Cup thesis across 5 related markets, with $12.9k in event exposure.
- Entry around 13¢ implies a long-shot England title bet with roughly 7.7x upside if it wins.
$8,083 on Yes
New whale building World Cup book
A very new wallet with $108k in repeat flagged World Cup futures activity is adding England as part of a broader cross-market position, despite no resolved track record yet.
- This 12-day-old wallet has already made $108k in flagged large bets across World Cup markets.
- They are positioned across 5 related markets, suggesting a deliberate futures portfolio rather than a one-off punt.
- England was bought at 11¢, implying a long-shot bet with roughly 9x upside if it wins.
$4,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 6%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Surface because a proven profitable bettor with a 79% record and extensive cross-market history is buying England at 10¢ despite the market being highly liquid.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $40,576 lifetime.
- They have traded across 42 events with a strong record, making the wallet itself the signal.
- Entry at 10¢ implies a 10x payout if England wins the World Cup.
$3,345 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
95% winner backing England
Elite sharp wallet with 95% historical win rate and $4.5M profit bought England Yes despite the market being highly liquid and long-dated.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $4.5M lifetime.
- They have traded across 643 events with $8.7M total volume, suggesting a proven cross-market edge.
- Entry at 7¢ is a long-shot position with roughly 14x payout if England wins.
$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
92% winner buying longshot
A proven profitable bettor with a 92% resolved-bet win rate bought England Yes at 7%, making the wallet track record the main signal despite the modest stake and liquid market.
- This bettor has won 24 of 26 resolved bets and is up $5.1K lifetime.
- They bought England at 7¢, a longshot entry with large upside if their edge is real.
- The market is very liquid, so the signal is the bettor’s track record rather than price impact.
$2,444 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
Profitable World Cup sharp
Proven profitable serial cross-market bettor bought $48k of England Yes and has a 76% resolved-bet win rate with $907k lifetime profit.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $907k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.2M deployed across 45 events.
- This is part of a broader World Cup position, with $149k spread across 3 related markets.
$30,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable World Cup sharp
Proven profitable serial cross-market bettor bought $48k of England Yes and has a 76% resolved-bet win rate with $907k lifetime profit.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $907k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.2M deployed across 45 events.
- This is part of a broader World Cup position, with $149k spread across 3 related markets.
$12,592 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp World Cup positioner
A proven profitable wallet with an 85% resolved-bet win rate is buying England at 8¢ as part of a broader 7-market World Cup thesis.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $169K lifetime.
- They have put $42K across 7 World Cup markets, suggesting a broader tournament thesis.
- Entry at 8¢ is a long-shot bet with large upside if their read on England is right.
$10,660 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Surface because a proven profitable bettor with a 79% record and extensive cross-market history is buying England at 10¢ despite the market being highly liquid.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $40,576 lifetime.
- They have traded across 42 events with a strong record, making the wallet itself the signal.
- Entry at 10¢ implies a 10x payout if England wins the World Cup.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable World Cup sharp
Proven profitable serial cross-market bettor bought $48k of England Yes and has a 76% resolved-bet win rate with $907k lifetime profit.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $907k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.2M deployed across 45 events.
- This is part of a broader World Cup position, with $149k spread across 3 related markets.
$25,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 77121637, $52,325,774
- 0x8372...5223 — Outcome 11555626, $3,462,119 (81% win rate)
- 0xf031...c80c — Outcome 11555626, $3,041,766 (88% win rate)
- 0xbddf...c684 — Outcome 11555626, $1,287,313 (89% win rate)
- 0x4c83...320e — Outcome 11555626, $1,108,272
- 0xe0f4...e55f — Outcome 11555626, $1,000,001 (100% win rate)
- 0x21a2...5f83 — Outcome 11555626, $757,527 (76% win rate)
- 0x94e4...87e0 — Outcome 11555626, $700,616 (24% win rate)
- 0x2cff...59db — Outcome 11555626, $681,324 (100% win rate)
- 0x0dcf...c556 — Outcome 11555626, $622,553 (88% win rate)
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