What is the Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz Map 1 prediction market?

This market lets traders predict which team will win Map 1 of the Counter-Strike match between Natus Vincere and TheMongolz at IEM Cologne Major Stage 3.

How will the NAVI vs TheMongolz Map 1 market resolve?

The market resolves to “Natus Vincere” if NAVI win Map 1, or to “TheMongolz” if TheMongolz win Map 1. If the match starts and Map 1 is completed, the winner of that map determines the outcome.

When does this Counter-Strike prediction market resolve?

The listed resolution date is June 13, 2026 at 13:00 UTC. Resolution depends on the official completion and result of Map 1.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking on this market?

PolySpotter is tracking $25,223 in smart money and 4 signals for this market, including one-sided flow and activity from profitable esports bettors.

Where can I find Polymarket odds for Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz?

This PolySpotter market page tracks the Polymarket odds, smart money alerts, and trading signals for the Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz Map 1 winner market.

Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner

This prediction market covers the Map 1 winner between Natus Vincere and TheMongolz in their Counter-Strike Round 3 match at IEM Cologne Major Stage 3. It resolves to the team that wins Map 1, with resolution expected on June 13, 2026, and PolySpotter currently tracks $25,223 in smart money across 4 signals.

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $80,241.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp 10-wallet esports push

Strong copy-trade signal: 10 wallets bought $42k of TheMongolz with multiple highly profitable sharp bettors, an 18x volume spike, and a 25-point price move.

10 wallets put $42k on the same side, creating a strong one-way flow before the match.
Several proven bettors joined, including one who wins 93% of 645 bets and another up $159k lifetime.
Volume spiked 18x and the price moved up 25 points, suggesting the market repriced around this buying.

$42,089 on TheMongolz

98% winner joins one-sided flow

Elite profitable wallet with a 98% resolved win record bought Natus Vincere alongside one-sided pre-match flow from six wallets.

This bettor has won 245 of 249 resolved bets and is up $793k lifetime.
Six wallets are all buying Natus Vincere, totaling $17.7k in the same direction.
The market saw a 49x pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction before the match.

$1,217 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 98%

Million-profit serial bettor

High-score esports alert led by a highly profitable serial trader, plus six-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-match volume spike on Natus Vincere.

This bettor has a long record: 1,675 resolved bets, 62% winners, and about $1.16M in profit.
Six wallets bought the same side, totaling $17.7K on Natus Vincere.
Market volume spiked 49x before the match, suggesting fresh pre-event conviction.

$2,137 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 62%

Six-wallet one-sided flow

Strong one-sided esports flow with 6 wallets buying Natus Vincere, a 49x pre-event volume spike, and a bettor with a 12-of-15 resolved track record despite negative lifetime P&L.

Six wallets bought the same side for $17.7k, creating a clear one-way betting cluster.
Pre-match volume spiked 49x, which suggests the market is drawing fresh informed attention.
This bettor has won 12 of 15 resolved bets and entered at 70¢, while the market is now cheaper around 60¢.

$2,434 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 80%

97% winner backing underdog

Sharp esports bettor with a 97% record is buying TheMongolz at 40¢, alongside one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 35 of 36 resolved bets and is up $85,067 lifetime.
They are backing TheMongolz at 40¢, implying a 2.5x payout if Map 1 hits.
Four wallets are buying the same side, with $11,509 total on TheMongolz and a 446x volume spike.

$2,182 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 97%

Sharp cluster buying NAVI

Strong one-sided Natus Vincere flow from six wallets, including a highly profitable 98% winner, alongside a 39x pre-event volume spike.

A bettor who has won 98% of 249 resolved positions and is up $793K joined this side.
Six wallets bought $17.7K of Natus Vincere, creating strong one-sided flow before Map 1.
Volume is running 39x above normal, and most entries came at the current 60¢ price.

$17,741 on Natus Vincere

Profitable esports cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor placed a meaningful contrarian TheMongolz bet in a thin esports map market, though price has moved against the entry.

This bettor is up $590k across 236 resolved bets, with a 69% win rate.
They put $4.2k on TheMongolz in a thin market, equal to more than half of reported 24h volume.
The price has dropped from their 49¢ entry to 34¢, so the market now offers a cheaper copy entry but with adverse movement.

$5,926 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 69%

Profitable serial esports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought TheMongolz in a relatively thin esports market with a trade equal to about half of recent volume.

This bettor has won 73% of 1,082 resolved bets and is up $1.43M lifetime.
They are a very active cross-market trader, with $2.9M deployed across 599 markets.
This $2.3K buy was about 52% of the market’s recent daily volume, showing meaningful conviction.

$2,296 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable esports cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor placed a meaningful contrarian TheMongolz bet in a thin esports map market, though price has moved against the entry.

This bettor is up $590k across 236 resolved bets, with a 69% win rate.
They put $4.2k on TheMongolz in a thin market, equal to more than half of reported 24h volume.
The price has dropped from their 49¢ entry to 34¢, so the market now offers a cheaper copy entry but with adverse movement.

$4,220 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

0xee00...cea1 — Outcome 75213796, $39,540 (62% win rate)
0xec98...afcd — Outcome 75213796, $9,134 (48% win rate)
0x2d39...6053 — Outcome 75213796, $8,374 (50% win rate)
0x336b...1233 — Outcome 75213796, $8,000 (47% win rate)
0x3471...f17e — Outcome 75213796, $8,000 (51% win rate)
0xca62...ac37 — Outcome 75213796, $4,500
0xc3df...9945 — Outcome 75213796, $4,281 (87% win rate)
0xd32f...1496 — Outcome 75213796, $4,237 (50% win rate)
0xb6ce...7a7d — Outcome 75213796, $4,061 (49% win rate)
0x4572...83ff — Outcome 75213796, $3,687 (98% win rate)

Related Theses

G2 wins in three maps

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B8 wins maps, FUT series

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TheMongolz sweep NAVI

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FUT sweeps G2

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Monte sweeps BetBoom

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FURIA wins in three

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Monte wins in three maps

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Legacy sweeps Natus Vincere

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TYLOO maps, paiN match

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Aurora wins Game 2

Covers 1 related market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner

11mCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$80,241 tracked9 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Natus Vincere and TheMongolz in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 13 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 1 against TheMongolz. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 1 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.