Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5

17 smart money signals detected, totaling $429,892.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

95% sharp joins Over cluster

Elite 95% win-rate wallet bought Over at 58¢ alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major volume spike, though the market has already moved to 100%.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up about $1.3M lifetime.
Eight wallets bought the same Over side for nearly $59K total, showing strong one-way conviction.
Entry was 58¢ and the market has since moved to 100%, so the useful copy range was near the original price.

$9,900 on Over | Wallet win rate: 96%

Sharp bettor in 8-wallet surge

Sharp profitable wallet bought Over at 58¢ alongside a strong 8-wallet one-sided surge, and the market has since moved to 100¢.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $360k lifetime.
8 wallets bought the same side, totaling about $59k on Over.
Entry at 58¢ was followed by a move to 100¢, showing the trade was quickly validated.

$5,950 on Over | Wallet win rate: 87%

Fresh whale chasing goals

A brand-new wallet is making repeated large sports bets, with $17.2k on Over amid a major pre-game volume spike, though the market has moved against its 66¢ entry.

This 6-hour-old wallet has already had $58k in large flagged bets, suggesting high conviction despite being new.
The bettor put $17.2k on Over at 66¢ in a very active market.
Volume is running 38x above normal, but Over has since dropped to 57¢, offering a cheaper entry than the whale paid.

$17,238 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%

Linked wallets fading goal surge

High-scoring coordinated Under flow from linked wallets and several strong sports traders, though some Over sells may be profit-taking rather than fresh Under conviction.

Six wallets put $25k on Under after a huge move toward Over.
Several wallets in the flow have strong records, including one up $39.6k with 82% wins.
The market just swung hard toward Over, so this looks like a coordinated fade at much cheaper Under prices.

$25,033 on Under

Coordinated Over surge

High-scoring alert driven by coordinated Over buying, major volume spikes, and a sharp price move, despite this specific wallet having poor long-term results.

Six wallets are buying Over together, including two linked wallets, for about $19K in same-direction flow.
The market has seen huge pre-game volume spikes and Over has jumped roughly 47 percentage points in the last day.
This specific wallet is not sharp historically, but the broader one-sided flow and price move are the signal here.

$6,545 on Over | Wallet win rate: 53%

Linked wallets piling Over

High-conviction Over flow from 11 wallets, including a linked 8-wallet funder cluster, drove a major price move and volume spike on a live sports total.

11 wallets bought $32.8k of Over, with 8 linked to the same funder.
Over jumped from as low as 35¢ to 86¢ as volume spiked 41x above normal.
Several buyers have strong records, including one up $3.7M lifetime and another winning 84% of resolved bets.

$32,839 on Over

94% winner leads Over cluster

High-conviction Over cluster led by a highly profitable 94% winner, with $71.7k of same-side flow during a major pre-event volume spike despite the price moving lower afterward.

A bettor who has won 94% of 304 resolved bets and is up $3.9M put $25k on Over.
Seven wallets backed the same Over side for $71.7k during a 244x volume spike.
The market has since dropped from their 37¢ entry to about 30¢, offering a cheaper copy price than the cluster paid.

$71,675 on Over

94% winner scaling in

Elite 94% win-rate wallet with $3.9M lifetime profit placed $150k across the game, backed by major volume spikes and one-sided Norway flow.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $3.9M lifetime.
They put $150k across the same game, including $50k on Over 3.5 and $100k on Norway.
Volume spiked up to 390x normal, with 16 wallets also buying Norway.

$150,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%

Linked sharps buying Under

High-score coordinated Under move from linked wallets and proven sports/cross-market bettors, with entries around 15–16¢ before the market moved to 24¢.

4 wallets are all taking Under, including linked accounts sharing the same funder.
One bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $39.6k lifetime.
They entered around 15–16¢ and Under has already moved to 24¢, suggesting momentum behind the trade.

$14,175 on Under

98% win-rate sports sharp

Elite sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Under 3.5 at 64¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 57 of 58 resolved bets and is up $53K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 47 events with the same 98% win rate.
Entry at 64¢ implies a high-conviction Under position before a 100x volume spike.

$3,094 on Under | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

0xe549...2d54 — Outcome 94366031, $339,334 (100% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 94366031, $136,172 (65% win rate)
0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 94366031, $43,723 (66% win rate)
0xe5f7...7714 — Outcome 94366031, $17,870 (57% win rate)
0x6d4e...6478 — Outcome 94366031, $15,000 (51% win rate)
0xf021...e900 — Outcome 94366031, $10,000 (66% win rate)
0xf68a...5b1b — Outcome 94366031, $10,000 (51% win rate)
0x9f0c...7ca5 — Outcome 94366031, $9,087 (80% win rate)
0x224f...514a — Outcome 94366031, $8,000 (78% win rate)
0x69b2...5f6b — Outcome 94366031, $7,813

Related Theses

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Argentina dominates high-scoring match

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Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5

ResolvedIraq vs. Norway - More Markets$429,892 tracked17 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Iraq and Norway, scheduled for June 16 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Iraq and Norway combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.