Part of: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-09-19?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,099.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Bundesliga

Notable Trades

Sharp bettors scaling into No

Three wallets committed $8,339 to No, including two highly profitable serial traders, though the market has since moved sharply against their position.

Two participating bettors have exceptional records: 82% across 276 bets and 95% across 21 bets.
Three wallets bought No together at 67–70%, adding to existing No positions and showing substantial conviction.
The market now prices No at only 20% after a 37-point move toward Yes, making this a notable contrarian trade but not a currently actionable entry at the original price.

$8,339 on No

Sharp bettor scales into Mainz Yes

A proven 82% bettor with substantial positive edge is adding to an existing Mainz Yes position despite the market moving below their entry.

This bettor has won 82% of 39 resolved trades and is up $14,064 lifetime.
They are adding $1,760 to an existing Yes position, showing increased conviction despite the price falling to 40%.
The trader has positioned across 27 events and 33 markets, indicating a repeatable active strategy rather than a one-off bet.

$1,760 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Serial sharp scaling into No

A proven 82% winner with a meaningful edge is adding $5,000 to an existing No position at 55¢.

This bettor has won 82% of 274 resolved trades and is up $67,107 lifetime.
The wallet is adding $5,000 to an existing No position, bringing its investment to over $14,000.
Its 51-event cross-market trading history suggests a repeatable directional process rather than a one-off bet.

$5,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

0x2fa9...a486 — Outcome 29469049, $16,282 (82% win rate)
0x8806...2e83 — Outcome 29469049, $8,092 (79% win rate)
0x67bf...f983 — Outcome 29469049, $6,690 (64% win rate)
0x840d...45b2 — Outcome 29469049, $6,547 (95% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 29469049, $2,973
0x2220...1a0f — Outcome 29469049, $2,742 (63% win rate)
0x33bc...37dc — Outcome 29469049, $2,000 (62% win rate)
0x29b1...f737 — Outcome 29469049, $1,818 (59% win rate)
0x224a...a3d5 — Outcome 29469049, $1,549 (66% win rate)
0xd202...1ef5 — Outcome 29469049, $1,370 (68% win rate)

Related Theses

Switzerland and Algeria both score

Covers 1 related market

Mainz 05 will win September 19

Covers 1 related market

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-09-19?

ResolvedBorussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05$15,099 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerBundesliga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 19, 2026 If 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Price History — “No”

61¢

57¢

53¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction