Part of: Madrid Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

Madrid Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

This market refers to the tennis match between Roberto Bautista Agut and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Bautista Agut' if Roberto Bautista Agut advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Roberto Bautista Agut. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $32,102.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

New wallet buying the dip

A 13-day-old wallet has repeatedly made sizable bets and just put $3.1k into a longshot tennis side after a sharp 27.5-point drop, suggesting fresh conviction worth monitoring despite no proven track record yet.

A 13-day-old wallet has already been flagged 4 times for large bets, showing unusually aggressive early activity.
This bettor just put $3.1k on Roberto Bautista Agut at 10-11¢ after the price fell 27.5 points in a day.
Buying at 11¢ means they see a heavily discounted underdog with outsized upside if the market is wrong.

$3,114 on Roberto Bautista Agut | Wallet win rate: 87%

99% win-rate tennis bettor

A wallet with an extraordinary 99% win rate and strong realized profits bought Thiago Agustin Tirante at 63¢, and the market has already moved in their favor.

This bettor has won 272 of 276 resolved trades and is up about $50.7k lifetime
They bought Thiago Agustin Tirante at 63¢, and the price has already moved up to 68¢
This is a fresh $1.8k position in a liquid tennis market, so the signal comes from the trader's track record more than market dislocation

$1,780 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 99%

$6.1M winning serial bettor

A very high-volume serial sports trader with a 73% win rate and $6.1M in profit is backing Thiago Agustin Tirante, making this worth surfacing despite only one detection signal.

This bettor has won 2,397 of 3,305 resolved trades and is up $6.1M lifetime
They trade heavily across markets and events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
They bought Thiago Agustin Tirante at 64¢, a meaningful stake in a liquid tennis market

$1,887 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 64%

Pro sports sharp on Tirante

A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a 73% win rate and $6.1M P&L just put nearly $14k on Tirante at 63-64¢, a meaningful signal despite only moderate composite score.

This bettor has won 73% of 3,305 resolved trades and is up $6.1M lifetime.
They just bought nearly $14k of Tirante at 63-64¢ in a single burst, a sizable stake for this match market.
This wallet has traded 1,029 markets across 848 events, pointing to a repeatable sports betting edge rather than a one-off punt.

$13,959 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 64%

3-wallet Tirante cluster

Three wallets put over $11k behind Tirante during an 88x volume spike, including a very active bettor with solid profits, creating a meaningful one-sided sports signal.

Three wallets piled into Tirante with $11.4k total as market activity jumped 88x above normal.
One bettor in the group has over 1,000 resolved bets and is up $123k lifetime, which gives this cluster more weight than random flow.
One trade was a sell of Bautista Agut at 35¢, which is effectively the same as buying Tirante around 65¢.

$11,362 on Thiago Agustin Tirante