Part of: Ecuador vs. Curaçao - More Markets

Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

15 smart money signals detected, totaling $231,282.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games

Notable Trades

12-wallet spread push

Strong one-sided pre-game flow: 12 wallets bought Ecuador -2.5 for about $70k while market volume spiked sharply, despite this specific wallet lacking a strong long-term record.

  • 12 wallets are all buying Ecuador to cover, totaling about $70k in the same direction.
  • Trading volume spiked 45x to 104x versus normal levels before the match.
  • This wallet added a smaller Ecuador cover bet alongside larger related under bets, suggesting a specific game-script view.

$9,097 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 53%

Coordinated anti-Ecuador flow

Coordinated same-side flow, cross-market positioning, and a large volume spike align with a sharp move against Ecuador covering.

  • Four wallets are betting the same way, totaling $37.9k on the low-scoring/anti-Ecuador angle.
  • This wallet spread $46.9k across 7 markets in the same match, suggesting a clear game script.
  • The market has already moved hard this way, with Ecuador cover odds down 27 points in 24h.

$28,593 on Curaçao | Wallet win rate: 53%

89% win-rate sports sharp

Elite profitable wallet with an 89% win rate and $1.31M lifetime profit bought Ecuador -2.5 despite the market moving against Ecuador recently.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $1.31M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 248 events with the same strong record, suggesting repeatable sports-market edge.
  • Entry at 26¢ implies a high-upside position on Ecuador covering by 3+ goals.

$1,351 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 88%

One-sided cluster on underdog cover

High-score soccer alert driven by one-sided cluster flow, a 31x pre-event volume spike, and a serial cross-market trader buying Curaçao across the event.

  • Three wallets put $66K on the same side, all buying Curaçao to cover the spread.
  • Pre-game volume is 31x normal, and this trade is already up from 60¢ to 64¢.
  • This wallet is a very active cross-market trader, with 1,282 resolved bets and positions across 5 markets in this event.

$1,061 on Curaçao | Wallet win rate: 62%

12-wallet spread push

Strong one-sided pre-game flow: 12 wallets bought Ecuador -2.5 for about $70k while market volume spiked sharply, despite this specific wallet lacking a strong long-term record.

  • 12 wallets are all buying Ecuador to cover, totaling about $70k in the same direction.
  • Trading volume spiked 45x to 104x versus normal levels before the match.
  • This wallet added a smaller Ecuador cover bet alongside larger related under bets, suggesting a specific game-script view.

$10,326 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 53%

88% sports sharp on underdog

Sharp sports bettor with an 88% long-term win rate and strong cross-market history bought Curaçao against the spread before the price moved up.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $100,581 lifetime.
  • They have a strong sports pattern across 59 events, with $119,078 in cross-market bets tracked.
  • They bought Curaçao at 57¢ and the market has already moved to 62¢.

$1,184 on Curaçao | Wallet win rate: 88%

98% win-rate sports sharp

Elite sharp wallet with a 98% resolved win rate and $483k lifetime profit bought Ecuador -2.5 at 43¢.

  • This bettor has won 190 of 193 resolved bets and is up $483k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 175 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 43¢ implies they see Ecuador covering by 3+ as underpriced.

$3,809 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 98%

90% win-rate sports sharp

Sharp sports bettor with a 90% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Ecuador -2.5 at 41¢.

  • This bettor has won 28 of 31 resolved trades and is up $44,678 lifetime.
  • Their average winning entry was 37¢, showing a strong record on plus-money style bets.
  • They bought Ecuador -2.5 at 41¢, implying a roughly 2.4x payout if Ecuador win by 3+.

$2,316 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 91%

86% sports bettor

High-volume sports market trade from a bettor with an 86% hit rate over 206 resolved positions, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades across 206 positions.
  • They bought Ecuador -2.5 at 40¢, implying they see value despite the market drifting down 6% today.
  • The stake is modest at $1.2K, but the wallet’s long track record makes the entry worth watching.

$1,200 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 87%

Sharp serial sports bettor

A proven sports bettor with a 79% resolved win rate and extensive cross-market history is buying Ecuador -2.5 amid a pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 79% of 24 resolved bets despite average entry odds near 51%.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $594k deployed across 25 events.
  • Market volume is running 21.5x above its historical pace before kickoff.

$3,311 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcd65...ee96 Outcome 85439444, $119,048 (94% win rate)
  2. 0x6c8c...6b71 Outcome 85439444, $75,575 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x83b4...23fe Outcome 85439444, $23,720 (77% win rate)
  4. 0xb0a2...353a Outcome 85439444, $21,000 (85% win rate)
  5. 0x94d7...bef5 Outcome 85439444, $20,157 (88% win rate)
  6. 0xee0b...e6d4 Outcome 85439444, $18,812 (68% win rate)
  7. 0xa6d1...286a Outcome 85439444, $15,126 (79% win rate)
  8. 0x1d16...212e Outcome 85439444, $13,540 (88% win rate)
  9. 0x160b...4296 Outcome 85439444, $13,460 (76% win rate)
  10. 0x82ba...afea Outcome 85439444, $11,905 (85% win rate)

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Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

ResolvedEcuador vs. Curaçao - More Markets$231,282 tracked15 signalsSportsFIFA World CupSoccerGames

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 20 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ecuador" if Ecuador win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Curaçao". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

11d ago

$9,097 on Ecuador at 37¢

Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

11d ago

$28,593 on Curaçao at 82¢

Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

11d ago

$1,351 on Ecuador at 26¢

Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

11d ago

$1,061 on Curaçao at 60¢

Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

11d ago

$10,326 on Ecuador at 37¢

Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

11d ago

$1,184 on Curaçao at 57¢

Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

11d ago

$3,809 on Ecuador at 43¢

Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

11d ago

$2,316 on Ecuador at 41¢

Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

11d ago

$1,200 on Ecuador at 40¢

Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

11d ago

$3,311 on Ecuador at 38¢

Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

11d ago

$13,315 on Ecuador at 36¢

Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

11d ago

$80,142 on Curaçao at 62¢

Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

11d ago

$64,672 on Curaçao at 62¢

Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

11d ago

$9,864 on Ecuador at 44¢

Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

14d ago

$1,040 on Curaçao at 52¢

Related Theses