Part of: Ecuador vs. Curaçao - More Markets
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)
15 smart money signals detected, totaling $231,282.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
12-wallet spread push
Strong one-sided pre-game flow: 12 wallets bought Ecuador -2.5 for about $70k while market volume spiked sharply, despite this specific wallet lacking a strong long-term record.
- 12 wallets are all buying Ecuador to cover, totaling about $70k in the same direction.
- Trading volume spiked 45x to 104x versus normal levels before the match.
- This wallet added a smaller Ecuador cover bet alongside larger related under bets, suggesting a specific game-script view.
$9,097 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 53%
Coordinated anti-Ecuador flow
Coordinated same-side flow, cross-market positioning, and a large volume spike align with a sharp move against Ecuador covering.
- Four wallets are betting the same way, totaling $37.9k on the low-scoring/anti-Ecuador angle.
- This wallet spread $46.9k across 7 markets in the same match, suggesting a clear game script.
- The market has already moved hard this way, with Ecuador cover odds down 27 points in 24h.
$28,593 on Curaçao | Wallet win rate: 53%
89% win-rate sports sharp
Elite profitable wallet with an 89% win rate and $1.31M lifetime profit bought Ecuador -2.5 despite the market moving against Ecuador recently.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $1.31M lifetime.
- They have traded across 248 events with the same strong record, suggesting repeatable sports-market edge.
- Entry at 26¢ implies a high-upside position on Ecuador covering by 3+ goals.
$1,351 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 87%
One-sided cluster on underdog cover
High-score soccer alert driven by one-sided cluster flow, a 31x pre-event volume spike, and a serial cross-market trader buying Curaçao across the event.
- Three wallets put $66K on the same side, all buying Curaçao to cover the spread.
- Pre-game volume is 31x normal, and this trade is already up from 60¢ to 64¢.
- This wallet is a very active cross-market trader, with 1,282 resolved bets and positions across 5 markets in this event.
$1,061 on Curaçao | Wallet win rate: 62%
12-wallet spread push
Strong one-sided pre-game flow: 12 wallets bought Ecuador -2.5 for about $70k while market volume spiked sharply, despite this specific wallet lacking a strong long-term record.
- 12 wallets are all buying Ecuador to cover, totaling about $70k in the same direction.
- Trading volume spiked 45x to 104x versus normal levels before the match.
- This wallet added a smaller Ecuador cover bet alongside larger related under bets, suggesting a specific game-script view.
$10,326 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 53%
88% sports sharp on underdog
Sharp sports bettor with an 88% long-term win rate and strong cross-market history bought Curaçao against the spread before the price moved up.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $100,581 lifetime.
- They have a strong sports pattern across 59 events, with $119,078 in cross-market bets tracked.
- They bought Curaçao at 57¢ and the market has already moved to 62¢.
$1,184 on Curaçao | Wallet win rate: 88%
98% win-rate sports sharp
Elite sharp wallet with a 98% resolved win rate and $483k lifetime profit bought Ecuador -2.5 at 43¢.
- This bettor has won 190 of 193 resolved bets and is up $483k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 175 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 43¢ implies they see Ecuador covering by 3+ as underpriced.
$3,809 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 98%
90% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a 90% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Ecuador -2.5 at 41¢.
- This bettor has won 28 of 31 resolved trades and is up $44,678 lifetime.
- Their average winning entry was 37¢, showing a strong record on plus-money style bets.
- They bought Ecuador -2.5 at 41¢, implying a roughly 2.4x payout if Ecuador win by 3+.
$2,316 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 91%
86% sports bettor
High-volume sports market trade from a bettor with an 86% hit rate over 206 resolved positions, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades across 206 positions.
- They bought Ecuador -2.5 at 40¢, implying they see value despite the market drifting down 6% today.
- The stake is modest at $1.2K, but the wallet’s long track record makes the entry worth watching.
$1,200 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 87%
Sharp serial sports bettor
A proven sports bettor with a 79% resolved win rate and extensive cross-market history is buying Ecuador -2.5 amid a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 79% of 24 resolved bets despite average entry odds near 51%.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $594k deployed across 25 events.
- Market volume is running 21.5x above its historical pace before kickoff.
$3,311 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 85439444, $119,048 (94% win rate)
- 0x6c8c...6b71 — Outcome 85439444, $75,575 (100% win rate)
- 0x83b4...23fe — Outcome 85439444, $23,720 (84% win rate)
- 0xb0a2...353a — Outcome 85439444, $21,000 (85% win rate)
- 0x94d7...bef5 — Outcome 85439444, $20,157 (87% win rate)
- 0xee0b...e6d4 — Outcome 85439444, $18,812 (68% win rate)
- 0xa6d1...286a — Outcome 85439444, $15,126 (79% win rate)
- 0x1d16...212e — Outcome 85439444, $13,540 (88% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 85439444, $13,460 (76% win rate)
- 0x82ba...afea — Outcome 85439444, $11,905 (85% win rate)
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