Part of: LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Natus Vincere and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Movistar KOI. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $44,886.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

95% winner scaling into KOI

A highly successful serial bettor with a 95% win rate is adding to an existing Movistar KOI position at 63%, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 89 of 94 resolved trades and is up $495,459.
  • They are adding $4,914 to an existing Movistar KOI position, bringing total investment to $9,300.
  • The 63¢ entry is below the current 64% market price, with a 1¢ spread and strong liquidity.

$4,914 on Movistar KOI | Wallet win rate: 94%

Three-wallet Natus Vincente conviction cluster

Three profitable wallets added $60,361 to Natus Vincente at roughly 38.6 cents during a 240x volume spike, making this a strong coordinated conviction signal despite existing positions.

  • Three wallets bought $60,361 of Natus Vincente, including one bettor with a 100% record across nine resolved bets.
  • The trades arrived during a 240x historical volume spike, while Natus Vincente’s price rose roughly 3% over the day.
  • All three wallets were adding to existing Natus Vincente positions, signaling increased conviction rather than routine entry.
  • copy_action

$3,603 on Natus Vincente

Serial trader scaling into Natus Vincere

A highly experienced serial trader is adding to a large Natus Vincere position during an extreme 324x pre-event volume spike, though the market is liquid and the trader's edge is modest.

  • This bettor has a 66% win rate across 32,659 resolved trades and is up $7.65M lifetime.
  • The trader added $13,319 at 36¢ to an existing $37,080 Natus Vincere position.
  • Market activity is running 324x above its historical average, suggesting unusually strong pre-match interest.

$6,926 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 69%

96% winner adds to Natus Vincere

A highly experienced serial trader with a 96% win rate is adding to a 36% Natus Vincere position during an exceptional pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 96% of 1,644 resolved trades and is up $156,330 lifetime.
  • They are adding $1,418 to Natus Vincere at 36¢, despite the market pricing Movistar KOI as the 64% favorite.
  • Trading activity is running at 325 times its historical average, providing strong confirmation of unusual interest in this match.

$1,418 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 97%

Serial trader scaling into Natus Vincere

A highly experienced serial trader is adding to a large Natus Vincere position during an extreme 324x pre-event volume spike, though the market is liquid and the trader's edge is modest.

  • This bettor has a 66% win rate across 32,659 resolved trades and is up $7.65M lifetime.
  • The trader added $13,319 at 36¢ to an existing $37,080 Natus Vincere position.
  • Market activity is running 324x above its historical average, suggesting unusually strong pre-match interest.

$13,319 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 69%

Sharp bettor doubles down on KOI

A highly experienced, profitable sports-market trader with an 80% win rate is adding to an existing Movistar KOI position at a near-market price.

  • This bettor has won 80% of 410 resolved trades and is up $71,501 lifetime.
  • The wallet is adding to an existing Movistar KOI position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
  • The trader has positions across 87 markets and 76 events, showing a substantial repeatable cross-market track record.

$1,307 on Movistar KOI | Wallet win rate: 80%

Serial esports bettor scaling into KOI

A highly experienced sports trader with 79% wins is adding $13.4K to an existing Movistar KOI position at 66%, despite the bet exceeding twice the market's 24-hour volume.

  • This bettor has won 79% of 416 resolved trades and is up $41,339 lifetime.
  • They added $13,399 to Movistar KOI at 66%, a bet worth 253% of the market's 24-hour volume.
  • The new purchase increases an existing $20,214 position, showing continued conviction rather than a one-off wager.

$13,399 on Movistar KOI | Wallet win rate: 81%

Related Theses

Belgium won't beat Egypt

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Germany dominates Curaçao shutout

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Cloud9 wins a five-game series

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KOI wins series after 1-1 start

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Cloud9 beats LYON in series

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Team WE stages impossible comeback

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MOUZ rallies from Map 1 loss

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MOUZ wins Map 1, Spirit series

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NAVI wins the series and Map 2

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LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$44,886 tracked7 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
Natus Vincere
0¢
Movistar KOI
100¢

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Natus Vincere and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Movistar KOI. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

2026-09-18 15:18 UTC

$4,914 on Movistar KOI at 63¢

63¢→100¢↑37¢

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

2026-09-18 17:30 UTC

$3,603 on Natus Vincente at 39¢

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

2026-09-18 14:39 UTC

$6,926 on Natus Vincere at 36¢

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

2026-09-18 14:33 UTC

$1,418 on Natus Vincere at 36¢

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

2026-09-18 14:27 UTC

$13,319 on Natus Vincere at 36¢

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

2026-09-18 10:23 UTC

$1,307 on Movistar KOI at 65¢

65¢→100¢↑35¢

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

2026-09-16 18:45 UTC

$13,399 on Movistar KOI at 66¢

66¢→100¢↑34¢

Related Theses

Belgium won't beat Egypt
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Germany dominates Curaçao shutout
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Cloud9 wins a five-game series
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