Part of: LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,741.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

93% win-rate bettor scaling into Top Esports

A highly profitable esports bettor with a 93% win rate added to an existing Top Esports position during a major volume spike, and the market has since moved from 72% to 82%.

  • This bettor has won 93% of 128 resolved positions and earned $221,277 in profit.
  • They added $2,000 to an existing Top Esports position at 72%, showing increased conviction.
  • Trading volume surged to 206 times its recent average, while Top Esports rose to 82%.

$2,000 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 90%

Serial bettor scaling into Top Esports

A profitable serial cross-market bettor added to a large Top Esports position during a major volume surge, with the price subsequently rising from 72% to 82%.

  • This bettor is up $221,142 across 151 resolved trades and has traded 96 markets across 67 events.
  • They added $3,923 to an existing $110,366 Top Esports position, signaling continued conviction rather than a one-off bet.
  • The market saw a 205.9× volume spike, and Top Esports rose from 72% to 82% after the entry.

$3,923 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 66%

Sharp bettor adds to ThunderTalk

A proven bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial edge added to an existing ThunderTalk position, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor has won 85% of 13 resolved trades and is up $32,705 overall.
  • The $1,278 purchase adds to an existing $6,245 ThunderTalk position, showing continued conviction despite the price falling from 31¢ to 18¢.
  • A 206x volume spike suggests unusually heavy activity around the match, although the trade has not been validated by subsequent price movement.

$1,278 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 76%

25-0 sharp scaling into Top Esports

A highly profitable 25-0 bettor with a substantial edge is adding to a Top Esports position amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 100% of 25 resolved positions, with a 45-point edge over the odds paid and $24,282 in profit.
  • The $1,377 purchase adds to an existing Top Esports position, signaling continued conviction rather than a one-off wager.
  • Market volume is running 65.5 times its usual level, supporting the directional signal despite the position already being open.

$1,377 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 100%

Coordinated Top Esports conviction

Three wallets deployed $9.2K on Top Esports alongside a major volume spike, including a 25-for-25 bettor and serial cross-market traders.

  • Three wallets bought Top Esports for a combined $9,163, with the trades arriving during a 516x volume spike.
  • One bettor is 25-for-25 with a 100% win rate and $24,282 in profit.
  • The broader traders have extensive histories across hundreds of events, adding support to the one-sided position.

$9,163 on Top Esports

Top Holders

  1. 0xba72...e5a2 Outcome 11306817, $22,530
  2. 0xc44f...d49f Outcome 11306817, $21,594 (79% win rate)
  3. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 11306817, $14,776 (64% win rate)
  4. 0xdaef...54e9 Outcome 11306817, $14,284 (67% win rate)
  5. 0xf201...527e Outcome 11306817, $12,857 (71% win rate)
  6. 0x4c3d...3735 Outcome 11306817, $12,261 (89% win rate)
  7. 0xf28e...e305 Outcome 11306817, $9,362 (76% win rate)
  8. 0x52ec...a6f3 Outcome 11306817, $6,602 (70% win rate)
  9. 0x93bc...8ca3 Outcome 11306817, $6,000 (79% win rate)
  10. 0x8fd1...bfe8 Outcome 11306817, $4,027 (68% win rate)

Related Theses

KT wins series despite Hanjin edge

Covers 5 related markets

Top Esports win series 3-2

Covers 5 related markets

Nongshim wins after Game 1 loss

Covers 3 related markets

T1 wins series 3-1

Covers 4 related markets

Gen.G wins games, Hanwha wins group

Covers 3 related markets

ThunderTalk takes Game 1, TES series

Covers 3 related markets

Nongshim wins series and both games

Covers 3 related markets

BLG wins series after Game 1

Covers 3 related markets

Split series: Galions first, Pirates second

Covers 2 related markets

Hanjin Brion Wins Game 1

Covers 1 related market

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$17,741 tracked5 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 9 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win Game 1 against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 1 against ThunderTalk Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$2,000 on Top Esports at 72¢

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$3,923 on Top Esports at 72¢

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$1,278 on ThunderTalk Gaming at 31¢

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$1,377 on Top Esports at 73¢

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$9,163 on Top Esports at 72¢

Related Theses

KT wins series despite Hanjin edge
Wallet_0x141a5 trades 5 related markets
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRIO…LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRIO…LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRIO…
Top Esports win series 3-2
Wallet_0x141a5 trades 5 related markets
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming…LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming…LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming…
Nongshim wins after Game 1 loss
Wallet_0xa7590 trades 3 related markets
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Re…LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Re…LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Re…
T1 wins series 3-1
Wallet_0x141a5 trades 4 related markets
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 …LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 …LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 …
Gen.G wins games, Hanwha wins group
Wallet_0xa7590 trades 3 related markets
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Ge…LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Ge…LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Ge…
ThunderTalk takes Game 1, TES series
Wallet_0x141a5 trades 3 related markets
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTal…LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTal…LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTal…
Nongshim wins series and both games
Wallet_0xa7590 trades 3 related markets
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim …LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim …LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim …
BLG wins series after Game 1
Wallet_0x141a5 trades 3 related markets
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibi…LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibi…LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibi…
Split series: Galions first, Pirates second
Wallet_0x141a5 trades 2 related markets
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions - …LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions - …
Hanjin Brion Wins Game 1
Wallet_0x141a5 trades 1 related market
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DR…