Part of: Spain vs. Argentina - More Markets

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

This prediction market tracks whether Spain will beat Argentina by 2 or more goals in their FIFA World Cup match scheduled for July 19 at 3:00 PM ET. It resolves to Spain if Spain cover the -1.5 spread, and to Argentina if Spain win by 1, draw, or lose, based on the official final score on fifa.com. PolySpotter is tracking $2,607 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 19 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Argentina". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,071.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

92% winner on spread

A highly proven sports/cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate and $319k profit bought Argentina on the spread at 80¢.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $319k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 150 events with the same 92% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • They bought Argentina at 80¢, backing Spain not to win by 2+ goals.

$2,607 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 92%

92% winner on spread

A highly proven sports/cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate and $319k profit bought Argentina on the spread at 80¢.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $319k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 150 events with the same 92% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • They bought Argentina at 80¢, backing Spain not to win by 2+ goals.

$2,897 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 92%

92% winner adding to position

Proven sports bettor with a 92% win rate and large lifetime profit is adding to an Argentina spread position at 80¢.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $320K lifetime.
  • They are adding to an existing Argentina position, now with over $13K total exposure around 80¢.
  • Their cross-market sports track record spans 151 events with the same 92% win rate.

$5,793 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 92%

92% winner on spread

A highly proven sports/cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate and $319k profit bought Argentina on the spread at 80¢.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $319k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 150 events with the same 92% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • They bought Argentina at 80¢, backing Spain not to win by 2+ goals.

$2,897 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 92%

88% win-rate sharp

A highly profitable, high-volume bettor with an 88% long-run win rate is buying Argentina on the spread at 80¢.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.66M lifetime.
  • They have a huge sample size: 2,097 resolved positions at an average winning price of 58¢.
  • This is part of a strong cross-market pattern, with 1,172 events traded and an 88% win rate.

$5,878 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x204f...5e14 Argentina, $341,495 (54% win rate)
  2. 0xb61b...8a06 Spain, $100,000 (94% win rate)
  3. 0x1136...0c2e Spain, $100,000 (46% win rate)
  4. 0x2c33...0563 Spain, $81,917 (58% win rate)
  5. 0xa080...234f Spain, $60,000 (49% win rate)
  6. 0x27f7...44b0 Argentina, $53,970 (88% win rate)
  7. 0xe275...f1ee Spain, $50,000 (81% win rate)
  8. 0x60c9...9e8a Spain, $39,604 (62% win rate)
  9. 0xefde...6505 Argentina, $25,500 (50% win rate)
  10. 0xecdb...c4c7 Spain, $20,001 (59% win rate)

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Spread: Spain (-1.5)

1dSpain vs. Argentina - More Markets$20,071 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Spain
20¢
Argentina
81¢

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 19 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Argentina". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Argentina
82¢
80¢
77¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

19h ago

$2,607 on Argentina at 80¢

80¢81¢1¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

1d ago

$2,897 on Argentina at 80¢

80¢81¢1¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

1d ago

$5,793 on Argentina at 80¢

80¢81¢1¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

1d ago

$2,897 on Argentina at 80¢

80¢81¢1¢

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

2d ago

$5,878 on Argentina at 80¢

80¢81¢1¢

Related Theses