What does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve on?

This market resolves based on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 PM ET on April 20, 2026. The outcome is Yes if the final Close price is above $74,000, and No if it is at or below that level.

Does Bitcoin need to trade above $74,000 at any point during the day?

No. The market only cares about the official Binance 1-minute candle Close at exactly 12:00 PM ET. Intraday moves above $74,000 do not matter unless the final close for that minute is higher than $74,000.

Where can I check the resolution price for this market?

The resolution source is Binance's BTC/USDT trading page with the 1-minute Candles view selected. Traders can monitor the relevant noon ET candle to see whether the closing price finishes above the strike.

When does the market resolve?

The listed resolution date is April 20, 2026, at 16:00 UTC, which corresponds to 12:00 PM ET. That is the timestamp used for the decisive Binance candle close.

Why are traders watching this Polymarket Bitcoin market?

This market offers a simple way to express a view on Bitcoin's short-term price direction around a specific level and time. It is especially useful for traders following BTC momentum, event-driven volatility, and Polymarket odds for near-dated crypto price outcomes.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 20?

This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will trade above $74,000 on April 20, 2026, using the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 PM ET as the official resolution price. If that final close is higher than $74,000, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No. Traders watching Bitcoin prediction market odds are using this market to gauge short-term BTC price expectations into the April 20 resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,464.

Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring

Notable Trades

79% win-rate serial bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate bought Yes at 81¢, making this worth surfacing despite only a moderate composite score.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades across 180 markets and is up $14.5k lifetime
They have traded 158 markets across 143 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
Bought Yes at 81¢ in a liquid market, implying they still see value even with the outcome already priced as likely

$1,973 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

94% win-rate BTC bettor

A serial cross-market trader with a 94% win rate bought Yes at 84¢ in a liquid BTC market, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite only one moderate-strength alert.

This bettor wins 94% of their resolved trades with $42.6k profit across 144 bets
They trade across 36 events and 63 markets, which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt
Bought Yes at 84¢ and the market is already 87¢, so the trade is moving their way

$2,491 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%