Part of: How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?

Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO?

This Polymarket market asks whether Anthropic’s IPO will raise between $105 billion and $115 billion in gross proceeds, based on shares sold at the final offering price. The supplied metadata does not include current odds; the market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028, and excludes greenshoe shares and secondary sales from the calculation.

This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by Anthropic in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing. The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered. Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered. Shares sold in any private placement concurrent with the IPO will not be considered. If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If Anthropic does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $6,482.

Categories: AI, IPO, IPOs, Dario, Claude, Finance, Big Tech, Anthropic, Anthropic IPO

Notable Trades

Experienced trader makes oversized No bet

A profitable, highly experienced trader placed $6,482 on No in a thin market, far exceeding its recent trading volume, though the wallet’s overall win rate does not show a clear edge.

  • The trader put $6,482 on No—about 25 times the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • This wallet has earned $231,269 across more than 2,800 resolved bets, though its 50% win rate offers limited evidence of a strong edge.
  • The market has only $2,435 in liquidity, so the large position stands out but may be difficult to copy at a similar price.

$6,482 on No | Wallet win rate: 49%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $3,549
  2. 0x3492...7f3b — Yes, $2,083
  3. 0x21ff...0d71 — Yes, $650
  4. 0xad53...ef24 — Yes, $551
  5. 0xcaab...24dd — No, $402 (79% win rate)
  6. 0x1cfc...2111 — Yes, $267
  7. 0x9611...78ee — Yes, $133
  8. 0xe8fc...0d3b — Yes, $120
  9. 0x5937...11da — Yes, $56
  10. 0x4c9a...0cd4 — Yes, $50

Related Theses

iShowSpeed will not win award

Covers 1 related market

Moraes remains a Supreme Court justice

Covers 1 related market

CDU will win 8–11%

Covers 2 related markets

Shabana Mahmood won’t leave first

Covers 1 related market

Zateslo will not win nomination

Covers 1 related market

SPD will win outside 26-29 seats

Covers 1 related market

Fujimori wins Peru presidency

Covers 2 related markets

None of These Albums Will Win

Covers 3 related markets

Morgan Wallen tops Billboard in 2026

Covers 1 related market

Ornn B200 Index misses target range

Covers 1 related market

Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO?

How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?$6,482 tracked1 signalAIIPOIPOsDarioClaudeFinanceBig TechAnthropicAnthropic IPO
Yes
14¢
No
87¢

This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by Anthropic in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing. The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered. Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered. Shares sold in any private placement concurrent with the IPO will not be considered. If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If Anthropic does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No”
88¢
69¢
50¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO?

2026-10-29 10:00 UTC

$6,482 on No at 83¢

83¢→87¢↑4¢

Related Theses