Part of: France vs. England - Halftime Result
England leading at halftime?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $62,037.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Eight-wallet England Yes surge
Eight wallets concentrated $54.7K on Yes, alongside a sharp bettor and a 214x volume spike that drove Yes up 37 percentage points.
- Eight wallets committed $54,743 to Yes, creating strong one-sided conviction in a relatively thin market.
- One bettor wins 82% of 45 bets at an average 56% entry price, with $17,269 in profit.
- Volume surged 214x above its recent average while Yes jumped 37 percentage points to 96%.
$54,743 on Yes
95% winner takes a contrarian No
A proven 95% win-rate bettor made a large, coordinated No bet, but the market has since moved sharply against the position.
- This bettor has won 95% of 76 resolved positions and is up $317,571.
- Six wallets bought No for $18,783 amid a 214.8x volume spike, signaling coordinated conviction.
- The $5,000 No entry at 44¢ is now around 4¢ after a 37-point move toward Yes, making this a notably risky and possibly stale copy trade.
$5,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
Six-wallet No coalition
A six-wallet, $18,783 one-sided No flow and a 214.8x volume spike are compelling, though this wallet's individual sale was profit-taking from an existing Yes position.
- Six wallets bought No for a combined $18,783, indicating concentrated downside conviction despite Yes trading near 96%.
- Trading volume spiked 214.8x above its recent average, with the market moving sharply during the activity.
- This wallet sold an existing Yes position bought at 58¢, so its trade is profit-taking rather than a fresh standalone signal.
$1,060 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%
Proven sharp bettor buys No
A highly profitable, large-sample bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial edge is buying No near the current market price.
- This bettor wins 79% of 9,197 resolved trades and is up $578,438.
- The 26-point edge over average implied odds makes this a strong sharp-bettor signal.
- They have traded across 142 events and 175 markets, showing a sustained pattern rather than a one-off bet.
$1,234 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 34680546, $40,191 (55% win rate)
- 0xc289...ab37 — Outcome 34680546, $11,364 (95% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 34680546, $10,543
- 0x56f4...9ec5 — Outcome 34680546, $8,429 (73% win rate)
- 0x2d6a...8add — Outcome 34680546, $5,388 (57% win rate)
- 0x6d3c...d294 — Outcome 34680546, $4,956 (51% win rate)
- 0x8325...19cc — Outcome 34680546, $3,794 (60% win rate)
- 0x0852...655c — Outcome 34680546, $2,405 (37% win rate)
- 0xcf73...0215 — Outcome 34680546, $2,258 (56% win rate)
- 0x91fe...c1c6 — Outcome 34680546, $1,792 (77% win rate)
Related Theses
Argentina advances in goalfest
Covers 5 related markets
Egypt advances in goalfest
Covers 4 related markets
Argentina wins in a high-scoring match
Covers 3 related markets