Part of: Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP - Map 1 Winner
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Team Falcons and NIP in the Thunderpick World Championship Group A, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 1 against NIP. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win Map 1 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,139.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Seven-wallet Falcons buying surge
Seven-wallet Falcons flow, a major volume spike, and several highly profitable bettors point to a notable Falcons thesis, though a separate concentrated NIP signal makes the market contested.
- Seven wallets put about $11,700 behind Falcons, with entries from 48¢ to 67¢ as the price climbed to 76¢.
- Several participants have strong records, including one bettor with 99% wins across 392 resolved positions and another with 76% wins across 688.
- Trading volume spiked 133×, but a separate signal shows substantial NIP buying, so the market has meaningful opposing flow.
$19,018 on Team Falcons
97% winner in four-wallet NIP cluster
A highly profitable bettor and three other wallets bought NIP amid a major volume spike, despite the price later falling sharply.
- This bettor has won 97% of 804 resolved positions and earned about $687,000.
- Four wallets bought NIP for a combined $20,066 as market volume spiked to 148 times its historical average.
- The bettor entered at 40¢, while NIP is now priced around 12¢—a substantial move against the position.
$1,187 on NIP | Wallet win rate: 96%
85% bettor leads three-wallet NIP cluster
Three wallets bought $8,688 of NIP, including a proven 85% bettor, while NIP rose from roughly 38¢ to 46¢.
- A bettor with 209 wins from 246 resolved positions bought NIP at 37¢.
- Three wallets put $8,688 on NIP, with entries around 37–38¢ as the price moved to 46¢.
- The strongest bettor is adding to an existing NIP position, reinforcing the same direction.
$8,688 on NIP
85% winner backing NIP
A highly profitable bettor with 246 resolved positions and an 85% win rate bought NIP at 37¢, making this a strong signal despite the modest position size.
- This bettor has won 209 of 246 resolved positions and earned $363,065 in profit.
- They bought NIP at 37¢, below the market’s current 36% implied odds only slightly, with a long record of finding value.
- The wallet has made bets across 59 events, suggesting its strong record extends beyond one market.
$1,246 on NIP | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0x3634...fa83 — NIP, $9,485 (79% win rate)
- 0x7124...cc9c — NIP, $6,541 (85% win rate)
- 0x9609...a48d — NIP, $4,607 (86% win rate)
- 0x8935...7daa — NIP, $3,977 (70% win rate)
- 0xeea1...9fac — NIP, $3,317
- 0x2787...e0c4 — NIP, $3,224 (81% win rate)
- 0x64c4...1018 — NIP, $3,000 (96% win rate)
- 0x54d4...406e — NIP, $2,475 (79% win rate)
- 0x9546...0bf9 — NIP, $2,071
- 0xc835...3911 — NIP, $2,000 (54% win rate)
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