Part of: Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone

Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone

This prediction market covers the Swedish Open tennis match between Stefano Travaglia and Mariano Navone, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by July 22, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $22,400 in smart money and 1 signal on this market. Current market odds are not included in the provided metadata, but the page is designed for monitoring live Polymarket pricing and smart-money activity.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,538.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Perfect-record bettor doubling down

A perfect-record tennis bettor is adding a large Navone position despite the market moving sharply against him, making this a high-conviction but volatile sharp-money signal.

  • This bettor has won 22 of 22 resolved bets and is up about $120k lifetime.
  • They added $22.4k to Mariano Navone at 54¢, bringing this market position to over $41k invested.
  • The market now prices Navone around 24¢, so this is a sharp but high-risk contrarian position.

$22,400 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a 76% resolved win rate bought Navone, though the price has since moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up about $12K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 41 events, suggesting a repeat sports-betting process rather than a one-off pick.
  • The market has moved against their 75¢ entry, so this is more notable as a sharp-trader signal than pure momentum.

$1,138 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0x658e...d758 Outcome 37138939, $41,452 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x33c9...6f9a Outcome 37138939, $4,000 (79% win rate)
  3. 0x2f0b...5577 Outcome 37138939, $1,205 (94% win rate)
  4. 0xe9d3...079f Outcome 37138939, $920 (86% win rate)
  5. 0x2d3f...d6e2 Outcome 37138939, $634
  6. 0x3453...8524 Outcome 37138939, $602
  7. 0x61f1...7aef Outcome 37138939, $602
  8. 0x4c57...a7de Outcome 37138939, $400
  9. 0x976a...eee6 Outcome 37138939, $220
  10. 0xac36...b1e1 Outcome 37138939, $203

Related Theses

Navone beats Travaglia

Covers 1 related market

Norway advances, England shut out

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Navone beats Travaglia

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Etcheverry beats Merida Aguilar

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Zverev beats Sinner at Wimbledon

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Argentina advances past England

Covers 1 related market

United States won't win

Covers 1 related market

Dimitrov beats Mensik

Covers 1 related market

One team blanks in Switzerland-Algeria

Covers 1 related market

Casper Ruud beats Jaime Faria

Covers 1 related market

Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone

3dSwedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone$23,538 tracked2 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Stefano Travaglia and Mariano Navone in the Swedish Open, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefano Travaglia' if Stefano Travaglia advances against Mariano Navone. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Stefano Travaglia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone

3d ago

$22,400 on Mariano Navone at 54¢

Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navone

3d ago

$1,138 on Mariano Navone at 75¢

Related Theses