Part of: LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffs

LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffs

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,568.

Categories: league of legends, Games, Sports, Esports

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster buying TLN

A coordinated TLN Pirates cluster combined with a major price jump and experienced, profitable bettors, though substantial opposing Karmine flow makes the signal less one-sided than it first appears.

  • Three wallets bought $5,959 of TLN Pirates, with entries from 45¢ to 60¢ as the market surged 22% to 64%.
  • One participating bettor wins 83% of 167 resolved markets, while another has earned $3.86 million across more than 2,000 markets.
  • Two wallets share a funder, but five other wallets also bought Karmine Corp Blue for $13,170, so the directional signal is contested.

$5,959 on TLN Pirates

Proven bettor scaling into TLN

A proven 83% bettor added to an existing TLN Pirates position amid coordinated buying, a major volume spike, and rapid upward price movement.

  • This bettor wins 83% of 166 resolved trades and is up $25,547 lifetime.
  • They added $1,875 at 50¢ to an existing TLN Pirates position while three wallets bought $6,327 in total.
  • Trading volume spiked 380x above normal, and TLN Pirates rose roughly 16.5% in four minutes.

$1,875 on TLN Pirates | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp bettors backing Karmine Blue

A concentrated $13,170 Karmine Corp Blue position includes several highly profitable, high-win-rate bettors, though opposing TLN Pirates flow and adverse price movement make the signal mixed.

  • Five wallets bought $13,170 of Karmine Corp Blue, including bettors with 81% and 84% win rates and substantial profits.
  • Several traders are adding to existing Karmine positions, showing increased conviction rather than a one-off small bet.
  • The market moved from roughly 56% to 44% for Karmine while $6,327 of opposing TLN Pirates buying appeared, so the thesis faces meaningful disagreement.

$13,170 on Karmine Corp Blue

90% winner adds to TLN Pirates

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 90% win rate and serial cross-market history is adding $1,564 to TLN Pirates despite the price falling to 42%.

  • This bettor has won 90% of 165 resolved trades and earned about $94,820.
  • They added $1,564 to TLN Pirates at 45%, increasing an existing $3,507 position.
  • The $1,564 bet is substantial relative to the market's $4,122 in 24-hour volume.

$1,564 on TLN Pirates | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd27c...c081 Outcome 82548923, $9,354 (81% win rate)
  2. 0xf23c...9f81 Outcome 82548923, $8,184 (66% win rate)
  3. 0xe2d0...7bbf Outcome 82548923, $6,395 (63% win rate)
  4. 0x8d9f...787a Outcome 82548923, $4,845 (86% win rate)
  5. 0x048f...9992 Outcome 82548923, $3,000
  6. 0x1fb8...5a88 Outcome 82548923, $2,970 (69% win rate)
  7. 0xd3f1...7535 Outcome 82548923, $2,400 (66% win rate)
  8. 0xdbaf...f5d1 Outcome 82548923, $2,393 (92% win rate)
  9. 0x00c8...9ccd Outcome 82548923, $2,326 (79% win rate)
  10. 0xb39b...9826 Outcome 82548923, $2,059 (98% win rate)

Related Theses

FUT Esports wins Map 1

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Aurora Gaming wins Map 2

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Vitality wins both maps

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FUT Esports wins Map 2

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Inner Circle wins the BO3 series

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DYNASTY advances despite Inner Circle wins

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Klim wins series, drops Game 2

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HULIGANI will win Game 1

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Vitality will win Map 2

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Level UP will win Game 1

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LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffs

ResolvedLoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffs$22,568 tracked4 signalsleague of legendsGamesSportsEsports

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between TLN Pirates and Karmine Corp Blue in the LFL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "TLN Pirates" if TLN Pirates win the match against Karmine Corp Blue. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp Blue" if Karmine Corp Blue win the match against TLN Pirates. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Karmine Corp Blue
67¢
61¢
54¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffs

10d ago

$5,959 on TLN Pirates at 50¢

LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffs

10d ago

$1,875 on TLN Pirates at 50¢

LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffs

10d ago

$13,170 on Karmine Corp Blue at 56¢

LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffs

11d ago

$1,564 on TLN Pirates at 45¢

Related Theses